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Jockey Made in America 250 Odds and Picks – Kyle Busch Offering Value at +800

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Jul 1, 2021 · 7:03 AM PDT

Kyle Busch celebrating
Kyle Busch celebrates beside the trophy after winning a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Pocono Raceway, Sunday, June 27, 2021, in Long Pond, Pa. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
  • Chase Elliott is the favorite this week at the Jockey Made In America 250 on July 4th, 2021
  • Both Busch drivers could finish well this week but Kurt Busch as a top ten pick may be worth a look Sunday
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race at Road America

NASCAR heads to Wisconsin with a Sunday afternoon road race after last week’s weekend at Pocono where blown tires and fuel issues plagued the weekend. Chase Elliott is a +250 favorite to win yet another road race in the Jockey Made in America 250 odds.

Kyle Busch (+800) could be an intriguing pick given how he has performed since Darlington. His odds to finish in the top three are listed at +215. Also, watch for drivers like his brother Kurt on the Road America course.

Let’s take a look at the odds for the NASCAR Jockey Made in America 250 and figure out which drivers are the best bets.

Jockey Made in America 250 Odds

Driver Odds to Win at DraftKings Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top 10
Chase Elliott +250 -143 -835
Kyle Larson +350 +100 -590
Martin Truex Jr. +600 +160 -360
Kyle Busch +800 +215 -278
Joey Logano +1200 +325 -195
Denny Hamlin +1400 +375 -162
William Byron +2200 +600 -118
Alex Bowman +2500 +650 -106
AJ Almendinger +2500 +650 -106
Ryan Blaney +3000 +800 +110
Kevin Harvick +3000 +800 +110
Brad Keselowski +3500 +850 +125
Christopher Bell +4000 +1000 +140
Kurt Busch +4000 +1000 +140
Austin Cindric +4000 +1000 +140
Ross Chastain +6600 +1600 +210
Tyler Reddick +6600 +1600 +210
Chris Buescher +8000 +1800 +245
Michael McDowell +8000 +1800 +245

Odds as of July 1st

Chase Elliott Favored to Win at Road America

NASCAR drivers run on the 4.048-mile-long road track when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning around 3:30 PM EST. Road tracks have been very good to Elliott, who has won six times since 2018. That features a NASCAR best average finish of 6.9. Elliott did not win at Sonoma but he did finish in second in June. The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver won the rain-shortened road race at Austin in May.

Even in 2021, few can dispute Elliott’s ability to race on road courses. The 14-turn course at Road America should be tailored-made for the No. 9 on Sunday.

He has the ability to lead laps (302 of 1356 laps), and Elliott should qualify very high on Sunday and perform quite well on the Wisconsin road course.

The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver was great at staying near the front of the field. Kyle Larson may have the faster car, but Elliott on this Road America course may have the equalizer with more elevation changes.

Jockey Made in America 250 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2020 No race data — New Race No race data No race data

The good news is that NASCAR has raced here with the Xfinity Series since 2010. The 14-turn course features a total elevation change of 160 feet. There will be what they call “The Kink” (Turn 11). It is a nasty turn where braking can sometimes become an adventure. This will be quite a test for some NASCAR drivers. However, drivers like Christopher Bell and Austin Cindric have conquered it well. Also, they are the last two winners of the Henry 180.

Should Kyle Busch Be the Actual Favorite?

Sports bettors have little history to draw on as the race stays with the original 14-turn format this year. The younger Busch has taken another turn in the NASCAR Cup Series odds, and the No. 18 has contended in the last few road races (10th at Austin, 5th at Sonoma.) The Joe Gibbs Racing driver comes off an incredible weekend at Pocono where he followed up a second on Saturday by winning the race on Sunday. That vaulted him to fifth in the points race.

Give Kyle Busch a ton of credit. Not many race drivers could have pulled off what he did with persistent shifter issues. Yes, he won last Sunday’s race while being “stuck in high gear”. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver also won the fuel strategy game as Denny Hamlin ran out of gas. To be fair, it did appear that Busch had the faster car and likely would have passed him anyway.

Can Martin Truex Jr. Snap Out of His Funk?

The driver of the No. 19 has been incredible on road courses for the most part in the last three seasons. Lately, he has been struggling mightily overall, however.

Truex Jr. did not fall completely down the standings this time. He dropped to seventh after Stage 2 and ultimately finished 11th. His car ran like a top-five or top ten car all day. That was encouraging given before this race, the No. 19 finished 18th or worse in five of his previous six races (3rd at Sonoma).

While some will debate that there are better candidates out there to do well, there is a reason why Martin Truex Jr. is as high up on the odds list. Since 2018, the Joe Gibbs Racing driver has an average finish of 7.9 on road courses which is third-best among all NASCAR drivers. This could be a week that the No. 19 snaps out of his funk finally and nets another top-three road result.

The Picks: Kyle Busch to win (+800);  Martin Truex Jr. to finish Top Three (+160); Denny Hamlin to finish Top Ten (-162)

Top Pick: Chase Elliott to finish Top Three (-143)

Longshot: Kurt Busch (+4000)


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