NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400 Odds and Picks – Austin Dillon’s Time to Shine
- The Dixie Vodka 400 is set for Sunday, February 28th with the race starting at 1:30 PM EST
- Traditionally, this race is held in November but was raced in June last year due to COVID-19
- Which drivers are a good bet for this Sunday? Check out the odds, analysis, and best bets below
After an extended stay in Daytona Beach, Florida, the drivers now head to Miami for the Dixie Vodka 400. Denny Hamlin won this race last June and is favored to repeat in the Dixie Vodka 400 odds.
The race will take place at Miami-Homestead Speedway this Sunday, February 28th with the start time of 1:30 PM EST.
Christopher Bell won last week’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 253, but Chase Elliott is still the favorite in the NASCAR Cup Series odds.
Is Hamlin the best bet, or is there value with some of the other drivers?
Dixie Vodka 400 Odds
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +500 |
| Chase Elliott | +600 |
| Kevin Harvick | +600 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +700 |
| Kyle Larson | +800 |
| Kyle Busch | +1000 |
| Joey Logano | +1000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1300 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +2200 |
| Christopher Bell | +2800 |
| William Byron | +2800 |
| Alex Bowman | +3300 |
| Aric Almirola | +4000 |
| Kurt Busch | +4000 |
| Austin Dillon | +4000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +6000 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | +6600 |
Odds taken Feb. 25 at DraftKings
Hop On Denny Hamlin
Not many drivers are performing better than Denny Hamlin these days as his results so far are a fifth at the Daytona 500 (where he led 98 laps) and a third at the Daytona Road Course last week (where he led for five laps). Those are the main reasons why he’s favored to win on Sunday.
The other big reason is that Hamlin performs well at Homestead. He won the race here last June and has been in the top 10 in seven of his last eight outings here, with the lone miss being a 12th. In that span, he has two wins here. The way he’s racing these days, it is tough to bet against him.
Pick: Denny Hamlin Outright Winner (+500)
Bet On Kyle Busch?
Few drivers have done better at Homestead than Kyle Busch. Since the start of 2018, he has the best average driver finish of anyone at this track at 3.67, leading for a whopping 17.85% of the laps. Over his last six showings here, he’s been in the top six every time while collecting two wins and a runner-up.
The concern with betting him for outrights is that he hasn’t looked great to start the season. He was 35th last week and 14th at the Daytona 500. Last week’s result isn’t all too concerning, though, as it was a road course. The 10/1 payout on him winning looks appetizing, but a safer play is Busch to finish in the top 10.
Pick: Kyle Busch Top 10 (-225)
Dixie Vodka 400 Past Winners
| Year | Driver |
|---|---|
| 2020 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2019 | Kyle Busch |
| 2018 | Joey Logano |
| 2017 | Martin Truex Jr. |
| 2016 | Jimmie Johson |
Austin Dillon’s Favorite Track
If you’re looking for a flier this week, consider betting on Austin Dillon to crack the Top 10. He’s only done it twice (his last two races here), but he’s been in that range since 2015. Over his last six starts at Homestead, he’s gone seventh, eighth, 11th, 11th, 12th, and 14th. Over the last three years, this is his best track, with an average driver finish of 8.67.
Dillon has done alright so far this season, finishing 11th at The Clash, winning The Duel #2, and placing third at the Daytona 500. He finished 34th last Sunday, but that can be omitted as it was a road course. He’s a bit of a longshot here, but it feels like a calculated play to bet him for the Top 10 prop.
Pick: Austin Dillon Top 10 (+150)
For over 15 years, Dave has been working in mainstream media and sports betting. He hosted a station on Sirius Satellite Radio for four years, and is currently a senior writer for AskMen. He's interviewed hundreds of hundreds of high-profile sports stars like Shaquille O'Neal and Floyd Mayweather.
