Upcoming Match-ups

England’s 2020 Six Nations Odds Shorter Than Even-Money After Run to World Cup Finals

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Rugby

Nov 23, 2019 · 6:43 AM PST

England rugby team sings national anthem
England is the opening -140 favorite to win the 2020 Six Nations rugby title. Photo by Diallo25 (Wiki Commons)
  • England is the -140 favorite to win the 2020 Six Nations rugby title.
  • The English most recently won the Six Nations in 2017
  • Read below for the odds, analysis and the best value bet for the Six Nations

England are the odds-on favorites to win the 2020 Six Nations rugby championship.

Coming off the best showing by the country at the Rugby World Cup in over a decade, England’s average line has dropped from +160 to -120 in the 2020 Six Nations odds. The Six Nations gets underway Feb. 1.

England most recently won the Six Nations in 2017, posting a 4-1-0 record.

2020 Six Nations Rugby Odds

Country Odds
England -140
Ireland +330
Wales +450
France +1000
Scotland +2000
Italy +50000

Odds taken on November 23

South Africa defeated England 32-12 in the 2019 RWC final.

Does RWC Run Lead to Six Nations Success?

Logic would suggest England’s strong showing in the RWC would be followed up with an impressive Six Nations performance but lately, that’s not been the case at all.

England crashed out of the 2015 RWC in the group stage, and yet rebounded to win the 2016 Six Nations. France lost the 2011 RWC final to New Zealand, but the French finished fourth in the 2012 Six Nations with a 2-2-1 slate.

After a second-place finish behind South Africa in the 2007 RWC, the English also ended up second behind Wales in the 2008 Six Nations.

England

Already there’s been a scare for England’s Six Nations hopes but one that appears to have been quelled. Penalized 35 points for violating the salary cap rules of the Rugby Premiership, Saracens are bottom of the table. They must win 10 of their remaining 18 matches to avoid relegation.

Six of England’s starting 15 in the RWC final play for Saracens. That includes stars Jamie George, Mako Vunipola and Owen Farrell.

However, Saracens coach Mark McCall confirmed to England boss Eddie Jones that he won’t prohibit his players from joining the England side for the Six Nations.

Ireland

The Irish were left in a shambles following the RWC. Ireland lost to Japan in the group stage and were routed 46-14 by New Zealand in the quarterfinals.

Coach Joe Schmidt is gone after six-and-a-half years in charge. Captain Rory Best retired from rugby following the World Cup.

Ireland’s average Six Nations increased from +200 to +410.

Wales

The Welsh will also be under new leadership. Warren Gatland stepped down as coach following the RWC. Scarlets boss Wayne Pivac is the new coach.

Martyn Williams, who won 100 caps for Wales and captained the side, is the new national team manager.

Pivac called up five players to make their Wales debut in the Nov. 30 match against the Barbarians in Cardiff.

Wales also shows a significant uptick in average odds from +250 to +410.

France

France will host the 2023 RWC. There were positive signs in Japan that the French were getting back on track after a decade in the doldrums. The French reached the quarterfinals before being edged by Wales.

Fabien Galthié is the new coach, with Shaun Edwards brought in as defensive coach. Tough defense was once a French trademark but France was outscored 42-9 in the second half of its last three RWC matches.

The French saw their Six Nations line reduced from +1600 to +1300.

Scotland

The Scots failed to advance past the group stage at the RWC, losing to Ireland and Japan.

Scotland was 1-3-1 in the 2019 Six Nations.

Italy

Italy appeared to be closing the gap with the big five but that’s no longer the case.

The Italians were 0-5 in the 2019 Six Nations, posting a horrid minus-88 point differential.

Six Nations Prediction

Injuries hampered Wales at the RWC. A healthy Welsh side might’ve won it all.

Take the value bet of +450 on Wales.

Author Image