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2019 Premier League Scoring Race: Odds Favor Salah & Agüero With 19 Goals

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Apr 6, 2020 · 10:35 AM PDT

Man City's Sergio Aguero
Man City's Sergio Aguero leads the English Premier League's goalscoring charts with Liverpool's Mo Salah. Photo from Rodolfohdz2419 (wiki commons).
  • Salah and Aguero neck and neck
  • Aubameyang and Mane waiting to pounce
  • The value with Hazard at +3300

It’s fitting that Mo Salah and Sergio Agüero are battling it out for this season’s English Premier League Golden Boot, given that their two teams have been locked, almost all season, in a two-way battle for the Premier League title.

But while these gladiators are slugging it out at the top of the goalscoring table, breathing down their necks are a group of players, all within a few goals of getting their hands on the Golden Boot.

Odds To Win 2019 EPL Golden Boot

Player Goals as of  04/17/19 Odds to win Golden Boot
Mohamed Salah 19 +150
Sergio Aguero 19 +165
Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang 18 +500
Sadio Mane 18 +600
Raheem Sterling 17 +1000
Eden Hazard 16 +3300
Harry Kane 17 +5000
Jamie Vardy 15 +5000
Alexandre Lacazette 13 +10000
Anthony Martial 10 +25000

Odds taken April 18.

That Salah and Aguero head the betting is understandable – both have led the charge in their team’s battle for the Premier League title – but the question for bettors is, is their better value elsewhere?

Especially, as shown in the table above, it is so very close.

25 Goals Will Win It

One thing that’s almost certain is that compared to last season when Mo Salah won the trophy with 32 goals – two ahead of the currently injured Harry Kane – this season’s winner won’t need 30+ goals to win it. Around the 25 mark will likely be enough.

It’s curious that just a single goal advantage has given Salah and Aguero a significant edge in the eyes of the bookies, as even down to Hazard – who is only three goals behind on 16 – the field is very much in striking distance.

Aubameyang With Less Pressure

Worth noting too is that while the final few games of the season for Salah, Aguero and Mane will be played out amidst the glare and intensity of the Premier League title race, Arsenal’s Aubameyang will be under rather less pressure.

While the Gunners still have a Champions League place to fight for, they will not be subject to the same pressure and scrutiny as Liverpool and Manchester City.

Worth noting is that the final few games of the season for Salah, Aguero and Mane will be played out amidst the intensity of the Premier League title race

That could tilt the balance in Aubameyang’s favor and for that reason alone, it’s well worth considering the +500 on offer for the Gabonese international.

Hazard’s Chelsea Finale

Chelsea too are in a similar position – out of the title race but locked in a four-way contest for the two remaining Champions League places – and so it would be foolish to ignore Eden Hazard who may well be in the final few weeks of what has been a glittering Chelsea career. Real Madrid are reportedly preparing a huge bid this summer.

At +3300, this is undoubtedly where the value is, given that Hazard is in form and appears determined to end his Chelsea career in thrilling style.

The downside to this bet is that the Belgian is playing in an average Chelsea side and will likely have to create many of the goals needed for himself. Right now he is their chief goalscorer as well as creator, but ignore him at your peril.

Coming up on the Rails

So, it’s a tricky one that has made for a fascinating sub-plot to the main prize of the Premier League title.

It goes without saying that Aguero and Salah will score again and while a flying Hazard will push the two main protagonists all the way, we have a sneaky feeling that it will be Aubameyang who sneaks up on the rails and pip them both.

Our pick: Aubameyang (+500)


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