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Arsenal vs Manchester City Odds & Prediction – Premier League Picks (Feb 15)

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Feb 14, 2023 · 1:00 PM PST

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Jul 23, 2022; Orlando, FL, USA; Arsenal midfielder Martin Ødegaard (8) controls the ball during the first half against Chelsea at Camping World Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s Arsenal vs Manchester City in the English Premier League on Wednesday, February 15
  • It’s first versus second in the biggest game of the 2022-23 EPL season so far
  • Find our Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Arsenal vs Manchester City, clash of the EPL’s top two, at the Emirates Stadium on Wednesday, February 15. Kickoff is at 2:30pm ET.

The Gunners have topped the EPL table all season but a recent blip, including a 1-1 draw on Saturday against Brentford, has seen City close the gap to just three points.

We preview our Arsenal vs Manchester City picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Arsenal +190
Manchester City +140
Draw +255

Odds as of Feb 14 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

The bookmakers have City as favorites but in plus money – a rarity for Pep Guardiola’s men. At +140 for the win, they have a win probability of 42%, while the Gunners are listed at +190 with a win probability of 34%.  The draw, at +255 offers the best odds, implied at 28%.


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Arsenal vs Manchester City Over/Under and Spread

The odds suggest the bookies are expecting goals. The under 2.5  goals bet is on offer at evens, while the over is on offer at -120.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Preview

For the Gunners, this has been the season of dreams but a recent blip has raised a few questions about their ability to go the distance in the title race. Defeats away to Man City in the FA Cup and Everton in the EPL were followed by a disappointing home draw with Brentford at the weekend.

Mikel Arteta’s men are still in pole position, and have a vital game in hand over City but will be desperate to steady the ship after a rocky couple of weeks. Even a point at the Emirates would be okay for Arsenal as it would retain their three-point gap at the top of the table.

Can the Gunners End Their Wobble?

New signing, Leandro Trossard has made a good start to life in North London after his move from Brighton and is putting pressure on Gabriel Martinelli for the left-wing berth. But other than that decision for Arteta, this Arsenal team almost picks itself at the moment with Eddie Nketiah doing a brilliant job in deputizing for the injured Gabriel Jesus.

While they are in the midst of a wobble, this Arsenal team has been outstanding for most of this season, and with a noisy, passionate Emirates Stadium behind them, this won’t be the comfortable evening for City that some English pundits are predicting.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Head-to-Head Stats

16-3-2 (1st) EPL record 15-3-4 (2nd)
46 / 18 Goals for / against 56 / 22
16.5 Shots per game 16.7
85.4 Passing accuracy (%) 89.3
58.3 Possession (%) 65.5
WWWLLD Form guide (all comps) LWWWLW

Stats from WhoScored.com.

Man City Charged by EPL

For Man City, their 3-1 win over Aston Villa was a perfect boost after a torrid week in which they were charged by the EPL for breaching financial regulations no less than 115 times. Since Sheikh Mansour took ownership of the club, UEFA and the Premier League have both launched investigations into possible financial impropriety at City, and if found guilty the sanctions could involve fines, points deductions, or even relegation.

But on the field, manager Pep Guardiola has asked the players and supporters to use this to their advantage and to develop an us-against-the-world siege mentality. Against Villa, it worked and the Spaniard will be asking his players to do the same again in what is sure to be a spiky atmosphere inside the Emirates.

Haaland Injured Against Villa

With such a hugely expensive and talented squad at his disposal, Guardiola has the ability to mix and match his team depending on the opposition without weakening it. One player almost certain to start at the Emirates is Kevin de Bruyne who, after being left out for a couple of games, was superb on Sunday against Villa.

Up front, the outstanding Erling Haaland is expected to start although he did go off at half-time on Sunday following a suspected muscle strain. The Gunners will, of course, be hoping to see a City starting XI without him but City will be doing everything they can to ensure their Norwegian superstar is fit.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Team Lineups and Injuries

Arsenal Projected Lineup: Ramsdale, White, Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko, Xhaka, Partey, Saka, Odegaard, Martinelli, Nketiah.

Injuries & absences: Jesus, Elneny.

Man City Projected Lineup: Ederson, Walker, Dias, Laporte, Ake, De Bruyne, Rodri, Gundogan, Mahrez, Grealish, Haaland.

Injuries & absences: Stones.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction

While City start as favorites, the Gunners haven’t built a lead in the EPL table for no reason – they are a good team and Arteta will have them fired up for this one against their rivals for the title.

Unlike the bookies, I’m not expecting an end-to-end goal-fest but instead, for me, everything points to a tight, low-scoring draw.

Picks: Arsenal and Man City to draw (+255) / Under 2.5 goals (+100)


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