- Retooled Atletico Madrid favored at -250 to win La Liga in absence of Real Madrid and Barcelona
- Valencia (+600) and Sevilla (+800) only other real challengers
- Atletico Madrid has finished ahead of Real Madrid in each of the last two seasons
Betting soccer futures isn’t just limited to taking outright winners. In the case of La Liga, we’re looking at who could win the league without some of its heavy-hitters.
With Bovada offering a prop on which team will win La Liga without giants Barcelona and Real Madrid, we are here to reinforce what the odds tell you: take Atletico Madrid.
To Win La Liga Without Real Madrid & Barcelona Odds
|Team||2018-19 Finish (w/o BAR/RM)||Odds at Bovada|
*Odds taken 8/12/19. For full list of teams visit Bovada
The Favorite: Atletico (-250)
Diego Simeone’s Rojiblancos had a summer of serious movement, the most notable of which saw Portuguese wonderkid Joao Felix join on a record 120M-euro deal from Benfica. Atleti also looked strong in pre-season play — for what that’s worth — scoring a 7-3 win over Real Madrid in New Jersey and a 2-1 win over Juventus in Stockholm.
— Atlético de Madrid (@atletienglish) July 27, 2019
Historic trends also tell us Simeone’s squad is a very safe bet: Atletico finished ahead of Real Madrid in 2017-18 and 2018-19, and has not finished outside the top three (or below anybody other than Barça and Real) since 2011-12.
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⏱ 94' | 2-1 | ⏹ ¡Final del partido en Estocolmo! ? ¡Los nuestros consiguen una nueva victoria en el último partido de la pretemporada! ? ? ¡Buen trabajo, equipo! ? – ⏱ 94' | 2-1 | ⏹ FT in Stockholm! ? Our team sees out the pre-season with another win ? ? Thank you for your support, Atleti Family! ?⚪? – ⏱ 94+' | 2-1 | ⏹ C’est terminé à la Friends Arena sur cette nouvelle VICTOIRE de l’Atlético❗❕ #AúpaAtleti #ICC2019 #Fútbol #Atleti #Atlético #AtléticoDeMadrid #GoAtleti
Atletico’s Challengers: Valencia (+600) & Sevilla (+800)
There are only two other genuine challengers for Atletico in Sevilla (+800) and Valencia (+600); the former has not finished ahead of Atletico since 2010-11, while the latter has not since 2011-12.
It remains to be seen whether new boss Julen Lopetegui can steer Sevilla back to being a regular top-five squad; the Spain youth coach struggled in his only previous high-profile club job at Porto.
— Sevilla FC (@SevillaFC_ENG) June 4, 2019
At Valencia, a good summer has seen manager Marcelino add quality pieces in goalkeeper Jasper Cillessen (Barcelona) and forward Maxi Gomez (Celta); last year was a wild ride for the Valencians, who began terribly but caught fire down the stretch to finish fourth, and their summer additions should have them solidly in the top five this season.
It is interesting to note a lack of odds love for Getafe (+4000), which finished a club-best 5th in La Liga last season but is expected to struggle with fixture congestion and regress to a more typical mid-table finish.
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?¡Buenas noches, #AtléticosPorElMundo! ?¡Gracias por vuestro apoyo, en cualquier lugar del mundo que juguemos siempre hay un atlético apoyando al equipo!? ? Con ganas de empezar @LaLiga… ¿y vosotros? ? ¡Nos vemos el próximo domingo en el @Wanda mMetropolitano! – ? Sleep well, #AtléticosAroundTheWorld! ? ? We know that no matter where we play, there’s an Atleti fan supporting us. Thanks so much for the ❤! ? We can’t wait for LaLiga to start… And you? ? See you Sunday at the Wanda Metropolitano! ? – ? Bonne nuit #AtléticosDuMonde! Merci d’avoir été là durant toute cette présaison! ?? ? Vivement le début de LaLiga … Vous avez hâte? ? Prochain rendez-vous, dimanche au Wanda Metropolitano! #AúpaAtleti #ICC2019 #Fútbol #Atleti #Atlético #AtléticoDeMadrid #GoAtleti
Given that Atletico added some quality and Simeone’s club consistently punches above the weight of its squad on paper, it’s unlikely either will give it a serious run on this prop bet.
Pick: Atletico Madrid (-250)
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