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Bundesliga Matchday 5 Odds & Picks: Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg, VfB Stuttgart vs FC Koln & RB Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin

Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen celebrate at the final whistle of their 1-0 win over Mainz - their first of the season - and this weekend entertain FC Augsburg at the BayArena. Photo by @bayer04_en (Twitter)
  • It’s Matchday 5 in the German Bundesliga with games starting on Friday
  • The early table has a familiar look with RB Leipzig, Bayern and BVB in the top three
  • We list the odds for all nine games and preview three, offering our best picks

Only four games into the new season, the Bundesliga table has a familiar look with the top three places already being occupied by the big three – RB Leipzig, Bayern Munich, and Borussia Dortmund.

We’ll list all nine games, show the odds, preview three, and offer a pick for each below.

Bundesliga Matchday 5 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
VfB Stuttgart vs FC Koln +108 +270 +230
Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt -455 +575 +1100
RB Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin -225 +375 +550
Union Berlin vs SC Freiberg +125 +240 +215
Mainz 05 vs Borussia Monchengladbach +400 +310 -155
Borussia Dortmund vs FC Schalke 04 -480 +550 +1200
VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld -143 +280 +400
Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim +195 +260 -130
Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg -162 +310 +420

All odds taken Oct 22 at DraftKings

Pick 1: Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg

Leverkusen beat Mainz 1-0 last weekend, in what was their first win of the season, and are unbeaten. Prior to that win, they’d drawn each of their first three games, conceding just two goals in the process, and so will be buoyed by getting their first three-point haul of the campaign.

Bayer will see this home game as an ideal opportunity to build and gain some momentum, even with Arias, Paulinho, Schick, and Wirtz all likely to be unavailable. Augsburg got their own season off to a flier with wins in their opening two games – the second of those against the mighty BVB – but have faltered slightly in the last two games with a goalless draw at home to Wolfsburg and an unsurprising defeat at RB Leipzig.

While Augsburg have dropped to sixth, their confidence remains very much intact and the trip to Leverkusen holds no fears for them. Finnbogason and Moravek are both likely to miss out through injury but they still have a chance here. With +420 available for the away win, for me, that’s definitely where the value lies.

Pick: Augsburg to win (+420)

Pick 2: VfB Stuttgart vs FC Koln

Stuttgart have won two of their opening four games and come into this one off the back of an excellent 2-0 away win at Hertha Berlin. They currently sit fifth in the table – just three points behind leaders Leipzig – and have made a really positive start to their first season back in the top division. By contrast, their visitors to the Mercedes-Benz-Arena, FC Koln, have yet to pick up their first win and have so far earned just a single point.

Ironically, Koln’s point came last weekend in what was, on paper at least, their hardest game of the campaign so far; their 1-1 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt being hard earned but well deserved. It may give them a boost ahead of this tricky trip to Stuggart and they’ll be hoping it’s the kickstart their season needs.

To help Koln’s cause, over their opening four games, Stuttgart have picked up injuries to key players – Anton, Awoudja, Mavropanos, and Mola are all expected to miss Friday’s game – but FC do have injury concerns of their own with Clemens, Hector, and Kainz unlikely to feature at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. While Stuggart starts here as favorites, I see Koln’s point last week as a positive sign, and they’re more than capable of picking up another draw here.

Pick: Stuttgart and Koln to draw (+270)

Pick 3: RB Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin

Leipzig head into this as league leaders – a point ahead of Bayern and BVB – with their only minor blip so far being their 1-1 draw away at Leverkusen on Matchday 2. Any concerns over a dearth of goals due to the sale of Timo Werner to Chelsea look to be unfounded with 10 goals on the board and with summer signing Dani Olmo already chipping in with three goals.

Hertha, on the other hand, have struggled, winning just one of their four games and losing the other three. Their only win came on opening day when they excelled in winning 4-1 away at Werder Bremen but three defeats since have seen them drop to a disappointing 15th.

While Hertha are a better team than their place in the table suggests, and they did score three times in their defeat by Bayern, home advantage should be more than enough here for a comfortable RB victory. There’s little value though in betting on the win (-225), so trying to predict their margin of victory is probably a better bet.

Pick: RB Leipzig to win 2-0 (+800)

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