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Canada vs Costa Rica Odds & Prediction – CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Nov 12, 2021 · 7:22 AM PST

Costa Rica's Ronald Matarrita
Costa Rica's Ronald Matarrita, left, controls the ball as United States' Tim Weah defends during the second half of a World Cup qualifying soccer match Wednesday, Oct. 13, 2021, in Columbus, Ohio. The United States won 2-1. (AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)
  • It is Canada vs Costa Rica in Round 7 of CONCACAF World Cup qualifying on Friday, November 12 at 9:05 pm ET
  • Canada is currently third in the qualifying group, while Costa Rica is currently in fifth place
  • We preview the game, look at the odds, and offer some picks below

Canada entertains Costa Rica in the Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton on Friday, November 12 at 9:05 pm ET as they clash in round 7 of the  CONCACAF World Cup final qualifiers. The hosts will be looking to kick on after an excellent 4-1 home victory over Panama last time out.

We list the odds, preview Canada vs Costa Rica, and offer below the best picks for this World Cup qualifying Matchday 9 clash.

Canada vs Costa Rica World Cup Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Canada vs Costa Rica CAN -1 (-125) | COS +1 (+105) CAN -245 | DRAW +350 | COS +600 Ov 2.5 (+125) | Un 2.5 (-160)

Odds as of November 12 at DraftKings

Canada’s Fine Win Over Panama

Canada’s chances of qualifying for their first World Cup finals since 1986 were boosted massively after an outstanding 4-1 home win over Panama in October.

Not only did that win see them leapfrog their opponents in the table and take the third automatic qualifying spot, it crucially saw them increase their goal difference to +6; the second-best in the mini-league. They are now just four points behind leaders Mexico.

In addition to the Canadians showing their prowess in front of goal in the Panama game, they also showed a steely side after having gone a goal down early on. Despite this setback, they kept their heads and were level before half-time through an own-goal from Michael Murillo. Second-half strikes from Alphonso Davies, Tajon Buchanan and Jonathan David were, in the end, more than enough to earn all three points.

Canada Unbeaten at Home in 21

The win over Panama was all the more impressive as it was achieved without the services of Cyle Larin – currently the top goalscorer in CONCACAF qualifying with nine goals – but he is expected to be back for the Costa Rica game. Worth noting too is John Herdman’s side’s good current run of form  – unbeaten in each of their last six World Cup qualifiers.

Canada is one of only two CONCACAF teams who are currently unbeaten – Mexico being the other – and also have a good record against Costa Rica, with just one defeat in their last seven meetings. Their home form too is exceptional as they have not lost any of their last 21 – a record dating back to March 2016.

Canada vs Costa Rica Head-to-Head Stats

Canada
VS
Costa Rica
2-4-0 WC Qualifiers – Record to Date 1-3-2
10 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 5
3rd Position In Table 5th
D-W-D-D-W Qualifying Form Guide L-D-D-W-L

Steady but Unspectacular Start for Costa Rica

Costa Rica made a steady start to qualifying, claiming five points from their games against Jamaica, Honduras and El Salvador, but suffered their first away defeat in October when they were beaten 2-1 by the USA in Columbus.

It all started so well for Los Ticos when they took a first-minute lead through Keysher Fuller, but the USA equalized on 25 minutes through Sergino Dest before an own goal on 66 minutes from Leonel Moreira secured the points, leaving the Costa Ricans with a 1-3-2 record and plenty of work left to do to get in the qualification places.

Qualification Still Possible

Luis Fernando Suarez’s men will still believe a qualification place is possible though, even if it means taking the play-off route that a fourth-place finish would earn them. They are currently just two points behind fourth-placed Panama and four points behind Canada. A win here for the Costa Ricans would throw it wide open.

They do however need to find some consistency if they are to qualify for their third successive World Cup. An indifferent run of form has seen them win only once in their last eight in all competitions, drawing a blank in five of them, and they have also failed to win any of their last three games against Canada. They, therefore, have several hurdles to overcome if they are to get a good result in Edmonton.

Canada vs Costa Rica Prediction

While Canada starts this game as big odds-on favorites, the stats suggest this will be closer than many are expecting. In each of the last eight meetings, neither team has scored more than twice and there have been two wins each and four draws.

While form is on the side of the hosts, the Costa Ricans have a huge incentive to get something and have enough quality players in their ranks to make it happen. They do however desperately need to find the good version of themselves, something that has been tough of late, and for that reason I see Canada getting over the line first by the odd goal.

Pick: Canada to win (-245) / Canada to win 2-1 (+900)

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