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Chelsea vs Tottenham Odds & Pick for Premier League Matchday 27

Stamford Bridge
Chelsea are looking to bounce back from defeat to Manchester United at home to Tottenham on Saturday. Photo by Michal Lenc (Wikimedia Commons).
  • The two teams meet on Saturday in a match that has major repercussions for the top four race
  • Chelsea suffered a 2-0 defeat to Manchester United on Monday night, Tottenham were uninspiring in defeat to RB Leipzig in the Champions League on Wednesday
  • Get the odds, analysis and best bet for Saturday’s Premier League match below

Chelsea host Tottenham at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, February 22, 2020. Both teams come into this match looking to recover from poor performances. Tottenham were outplayed by RB Leipzig in London on Wednesday night and Chelsea lost at home to Manchester United on Monday. The Blues have won one of their last six, but are still clinging onto fourth in the Premier League, one point ahead of fifth-placed Spurs.

Jose Mourinho’s side are on a good run, winning three league matches on the bounce. With Son Heung-Min, Harry Kane and Moussa Sissoko all absent, however, Mourinho’s options are limited for the trip to Stamford Bridge and his team will be fatigued after Wednesday night’s match.

Chelsea vs Tottenham Premier League Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Chelsea -0.5 (-131) -131 O 2.5, 3 (-102)
Tottenham +0.5 (+111) +340 U 2.5, 3 (-118)
Draw N/A +260 N/A

Odds taken Feb. 20

Key Injuries

Son and Kane’s absences leave Mourinho starting Lucas Moura up front, though the former Chelsea manager could opt to play a 4-4-2 with Steven Bergwijn partnering the Brazilian.

Frank Lampard has a lot of injury uncertainty in the build-up. Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham and Callum Hudson-Odoi, who all missed the defeat to Manchester United, are doubts. N’Golo Kante is ruled out after limping off the field on Monday, while it remains to be seen if Andreas Christensen is fit enough to partner Antonio Rudiger at the heart of defense.

These are two teams missing key players. The depth of the squads is going to be tested on Saturday. Chelsea will be desperate to see Abraham return after an abysmal outing from Michy Batshuayi against Manchester United, and despite having few players to choose from, Mourinho could drop Dele Alli to the bench following an underwhelming display in the Champions League.

Midfield Battle

Tottenham’s midfield weakness has not been rectified by Mourinho. They are still struggling to create quality chances. Tanguy Ndombele isn’t fully fit and Giovani Lo Celso, for all his talent, cannot fix the midfield single-handedly. Despite scoring the same number of goals as Chelsea this season (43), Spurs’ quality of chances have been drastically lower. They have been rescued by some high-quality finishing.

Kante’s injury perhaps makes it easier for Chelsea in the middle third, as it forces Lampard to start Mateo Kovacic. The Croatian has arguably been their player of the season, but he’s missed out on a few occasions of late. A trio of Kovacic, Jorginho and Mason Mount has a better balance.

Controlling the midfield is crucial for Chelsea, and they did just that in their victory at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium earlier in the season. Vulnerable to fast breaks – which Bergwijn and Lucas are more than capable of – the hosts need to avoid losing the ball in dangerous areas of the pitch, which they’ve had a tendency to do this season.

Getting some of, or all of, Abraham, Pulisic and Hudson-Odoi back is vital. Pedro, Willian and Batshuayi were poor on Monday night – the trio were unable to make use of a lot of possession (Chelsea had over 61% of the ball).

Chelsea vs Tottenham Premier League Statistics


4th Position 5th
43 Goals scored 43
57.3% Average possession 51.6%
49 yellows, 0 reds Cards 54 yellows, 3 reds
16.3 Shots per match 12.3
59% Shots inside the area 55%
48.75 Understat expected points 36.95

Cagey Contest

After 10 goals in Tottenham’s last two Premier League matches, Mourinho went ultra-Mourinho for Spurs’ midweek match, allowing Leipzig to dominate possession and looking to keep the game tight. He will likely approach this match in a similar manner, possibly packing the middle third and hoping that his pacy attacking duo can do damage on the break.

Chelsea’s haven’t been clinical this season. They rarely keep clean sheets. The hosts will create chances, though, and it’s a fair bet to expect them to find the net at least once if they can get some of their best attacking players available.

It could go either way. A 1-1 draw or 2-1 either way presents value here.

Pick: Total goals under 3.5, both teams to score (-126)

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