EPL Matchday 33 Odds & Picks: Manchester United Continue Top Four Push
- Liverpool wrapped up the Premier League title, but there’s plenty to play for as the Premier League heads into Matchday 33
- Relegation and European qualification are up for grabs
- The latest odds, betting analysis and picks are available below
Matchday 33 of the 2019-20 Premier League season gets underway on July 4th. There might be no title race, but the final weeks of the campaign are set to be tense. Three points separate 16th from 19th – Wolves in 6th are the same margin behind third-placed Leicester.
A full slate of matches take place starting on Saturday and finishing with Tottenham and Everton’s clash on Monday, a meeting of two of the 21st centuries most successful managers in Jose Mourinho and Carlo Ancelotti.
For this Matchday 33 preview, we’ve picked out three of the most intriguing matches from a betting perspective.
Premier League Matchday 33 Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | pk, +0.5 (-109) | +225 | O 2, 2.5 (-115) |
| Brighton | pk, -0.5 (-111) | +121 | U 2, 2.5 (-105) |
| Draw | N/A | +215 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Leicester | -0.5, -1 (-116) | -145 | O 2, 2.5 (-112) |
| Crystal Palace | +0.5, +1 (-104) | +440 | U 2, 2.5 (-108) |
| Draw | N/A | +245 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Manchester United | -2 (-110) | -526 | O 3 (-121) |
| Bournemouth | +2 (-110) | +1050 | U 3 (+101) |
| Draw | N/A | +580 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Wolves | pk, -0.5 (-105) | +129 | O 2, 2.5 (-118) |
| Arsenal | pk, +0.5 (+115) | +215 | U 2, 2.5 (-102) |
| Draw | N/A | +220 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Chelsea | -1, -1.5 (-106) | -233 | O 2.5, 3 (-108) |
| Watford | +1, +1.5 (-114) | +620 | U 2.5, 3 (-112) |
| Draw | N/A | +330 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Burnley | pk (-103) | +187 | O 2 (-102) |
| Sheffield United | pk (-117) | +168 | U 2 (-118) |
| Draw | N/A | +187 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Newcastle | pk (-114) | +162 | O 2.5 (+100) |
| West Ham | pk (-106) | +171 | U 2.5 (-120) |
| Draw | N/A | +215 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Liverpool | -1.5 (-104) | -286 | O 3 (-121) |
| Aston Villa | +1.5 (-116) | +620 | U 3 (+101) |
| Draw | N/A | +420 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Southampton | +1.5 (-109) | +700 | O 3 (-112) |
| Manchester City | -1.5 (-111) | -303 | U 3 (-108) |
| Draw | N/A | +420 | N/A |
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Tottenham | -0.5 (+104) | +104 | O 2.5 (-120) |
| Everton | +0.5 (-124) | +245 | U 2.5 (+100) |
| Draw | N/A | +230 | N/A |
Odds taken Jul. 3
Pick 1: Leicester vs Crystal Palace
Leicester’s form in 2020 has been near-relegation worthy. That trend has continued since the league’s restart. The defense has been wobbly, exposed in transition all too frequently and the attacking play has lacked the creativity we saw earlier in the campaign. James Maddison’s return after coming off the bench in midweek should help in possession, though, and Brendan Rodgers could opt for two up top after Kelechi Iheanacho’s impact against Everton.
Crystal Palace have nothing to play for. Roy Hodgson has guided his team to safety once again, but their performances against Liverpool and Burnley looked like a team short on motivation. In Jordan Ayew and Wilfried Zaha, they have a pair who can trouble Leicester on the break, however.
Given Leicester’s performances over the last few months, it’s a surprise to see them so heavily favored here. Palace to snatch or draw or at least keep it close look good bets.
Pick: Draw (+245)
Pick 2: Manchester United vs Bournemouth
A red-hot Manchester United meet a Bournemouth team nearing rock-bottom after a thumping at the hands of Newcastle in midweek. The standing of these two teams couldn’t be of much greater contrast. United blew Brighton away in midweek, winning 3-0, and Bournemouth were embarrassed at home by a Newcastle side that has struggled for goals this season.
Bournemouth won 1-0 in the reverse fixture. An awful lot has changed since then. The Cherries are without Callum Wilson and Manchester United’s attacking quartet of Marcus Rashford, Anthony Martial, Bruno Fernandes and Paul Pogba is playing some breath-taking football. With the Champions League race so tight, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is going to be reluctant to make changes to what has proved to be a winning formula.
This is the lowest ebb Bournemouth have been at during Eddie Howe’s tenure. United are possibly the worst opponent they could face right now – this may well be another heavy defeat for the south coast club.
Pick: Manchester United -2 (-110)
Pick 3: Wolves vs Arsenal
Wolves are well in the mix for Champions League qualification. Their good form has perhaps been overlooked because of Manchester United’s performances (and the return of Paul Pogba), but Nuno Espirito Santo’s team are have won all three of their matches to nil since the Premier League resumed. The visit of Arsenal, who beat a lackluster Norwich a few days ago, represents a significant challenge.
This is pivotal in the jostling for the European places. Defeat would end Arsenal’s faint hopes of a Champions League berth, but a victory would pull them just three points behind Wolves and give them an outside chance at mounting a challenge.
The Gunners are very much a work in progress under Mikel Arteta – picking up anything from this match would be useful and increase their chances of securing a Europa League spot, which has looked unlikely at times this season.
A Wolves team that ranks best in the league in non-penalty expected goals against should be able to control the game. They are well-drilled in their 3-5-2, while Arsenal are still figuring things out. The hosts should edge this one.
Pick: Wolves pk, -0.5 (-110)
Sam Cox is a freelance writer and sports junkie, who has spent the past several years immersed in the online gaming industry. He has worked with 888sport, Oddschecker, and Colossus Bets to name a few. Based in the UK, Sam also runs Franchise Sports with his brother.
