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FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Odds & Prediction (May 4)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer News

Updated May 4, 2022 · 7:17 AM PDT

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC
Apr 30, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; FC Cincinnati midfielder Luciano Acosta (10) controls the ball against Toronto FC during the second half at BMO Field. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
  • FC Cincinnati host Toronto FC on Wednesday
  • The two sides played last weekend as well, with Cincy winning 2-1
  • Find the FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC odds, preview, and picks below

For the second time in just five days, FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC lock horns in MLS action on Wednesday. The kick-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET at TQL Stadium. Keep reading for the FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC odds.

Cincy ran out as 2-1 winners on Saturday at BMO Field thanks to goals from Ian Murphy and Luciano Acosta. That victory pulled them out of the Eastern Conference gutter as they now sit in 11th spot. Toronto on the other hand is in eighth place.

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Odds

Team Moneyline
FC Cincinnati -104
Toronto FC +240
Draw +280

Odds as of May 3rd at Barstool Sportsbook.

After being a heavy underdog in their meeting at the weekend, Cincinnati is now a favorite for this fixture at -104 odds to win on home soil. The Orange and Blue have an implied win probability of 48%, while TFC is at just 28%.

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Over/Under and Spread

The over 2.5 goals at -195 odds should offer value. The last match between these sides of course ended in a 2-1 scoreline and both do concede their fair amount of goals.

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FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Prediction

Cincinnati has not exactly enjoyed the best start to the campaign, boasting a 3-5-1 record through nine outings. But, they finally broke out of their poor form with the full three points against a Toronto outfit who had yet to lose at BMO Field this term. After a heartbreaking 2-1 defeat to LAFC, Pat Noonan’s side responded with authority, marching into the Six and collecting their first-ever win on the road vs TFC.

YouTube video

Rookie Ian Murphy slotted home a pretty set piece from the visitors inside the box just before halftime then Luciano Acosta doubled the lead with a fine finish off a throw-in not long after the second half began. Toronto ultimately got one back, but Cincy held their own defensively and kept the hosts’ attack at bay.

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Key Stats

FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
3-5-1 (11th) Record 3-4-2 (8th)
4.3 Shots on Target 3.9
1.2 Goals Per Game 1.8
LLDLW Record in Last Five Games WDWLL

After enjoying a four-game unbeaten run, Toronto FC has hit a bit of a cold spell, losing two in a row. On Matchday 8, they tasted a 5-4 defeat at the hands of NYCFC then dropped points at home on Saturday. Cincy definitely made their presence felt in this encounter, but TFC struggled to capitalize on their chances. The Reds controlled 66% of the ball and had 11 shots, but only three found the target.

More importantly, their backline is looking shaky. Toronto conceded five goals on only 11 attempts vs NYCFC then also had numerous vulnerable moments on Saturday. Cincinnati’s first goal was simply a lack of man-marking in the box, while the second frankly shouldn’t have happened altogether. TFC needs a bounce-back performance badly and there is no better time to do it than against the same team who beat them only a number of days ago.

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Team Lineups and Injuries

FC Cincinnati Projected Lineup: Celentano; Murphy, Cameron, Blackett, Nelson; Powell, Kubo, Moreno; Acosta; Badji, Brenner

FC Cincinnati Injuries: Matarrita, Vazquez, Gaddis

Toronto FC Projected Lineup: Bono; Mavinga, Salcedo, Chung; Shaffelburg, Bradley, Osorio, Thompson; Petrasso, Pozuelo; Jimenez

Toronto FC Injuries: Marshall-Rutty, Priso, Okello

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Pick

Cincy has won just once in four games at home, also losing three times. For whatever reason, they fail to turn up at TQL Stadium. I also fully expect Toronto to learn from its mistakes and respond here. Take the visitors on the moneyline, it’s huge value.

Pick: Toronto FC +240

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