- Man City and Man United square off in the FA Cup Final on Saturday, June 3rd, at 10:00 am ET
- The Citizens are looking to add a second piece of silverware ahead of next weekend’s Champions League Final vs Inter Milan
- Get our Man City vs Man United prediction and odds below
There are two weekends remaining in the European football calendar and this weekend is highlighted by England’s FA Cup Final. This year, Man City and Man United will meet at Wembley in what is the first ever major final between Manchester’s two most prominent clubs. Continue reading for the Man City vs Man United odds and our prediction.
For Pep Guardiola and City, this match is the second step in what could be a spectacular treble should they also win the UEFA Champions League. On the other hand, Erik ten Hag and Man United are looking to complete a cup double for the first time since 2016/17.
Man City vs Man United Odds
|Matchup||Moneyline Odds||To Lift Trophy|
Overall, Man City are the overwhelming favorites in this match with moneyline odds of -210; this gives them an implied win probability of 67.7%.
In their last five meetings, all in the Premier League, Man City are 3-0-2 against their crosstown rivals, outscoring their opponents 13-8. Also, it is worth noting that Man City are 5-0-1 in finals under Pep Guardiola, with their only defeat coming to Chelsea in the 2020/21 Champions League Final.
— Manchester City (@ManCity) June 1, 2023
Odds as of June 2nd from DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Man City vs Man United Over/Under Odds
Additionally, this match is leaning heavily towards the over on 2.5 goals with odds of -160; the under has odds of +130. In reality, this is to be expected with a Man City side that features record-breaking goal scorer Erling Haaland up top. Across their 38 Premier League matches this season, they broke over 2.5 total goals 65.8% of the time.
Regardless, keep in mind that this is a final. The match will probably start out a bit tense and it could take the players 20 minutes or so to start testing the opposition. Man United also closed their campaign out with a solid defensive record, only conceding four goals across their last seven matches. In turn, it is probably best to stay away from a play on the total on Saturday.
Man City vs Man United Props – Casemiro to Get a Card
Another play I absolutely love for Saturday is Casemiro to get a card, with odds of +120. The Brazilian has four cards in his last ten games and has been a bit of a magnet for English officials this season. Against a Man City midfield that is as quick and silky smooth, it is hard to believe he can avoid making a tactical foul at some point throughout the ninety minutes.
Man City vs Man United Head-to-Head Statistics
|2.47||Goals per game||1.53|
|2.07||Expected goals per game||1.78|
|0.87||Goals allowed per game||1.13|
|0.84||Expected goals allowed per game||1.33|
|34.2%||Clean Sheet %||44.7%|
|15.8||Shots per game||15.6|
|L-D-W-W-W||Recent Form Guide (All Comps)||W-W-W-W-L|
Stats in the table from 2022/23 Premier League play.
Man United Are Still Just Challengers
In truth, Man United have had a promising season under Erik ten Hag. They finished 17 points higher in the Premier League this season, and snagged a Carabao Cup trophy to boot. However, they still have a long road ahead and playing Pep Guardiola in a major final is no small undertaking.
— Manchester United (@ManUtd) May 31, 2023
Overall, there still just too many holes in this side. David De Gea has been prone to a mistake this season, Bruno Fernandes can become rattled in the face of defeat and the list can just go on and on. Man City simply do not have those same problems. If Haaland, Grealish and De Bruyne don’t show up, I am pretty certain one of Julian Alvarez, Phil Foden or Ilkay Gundogan will. The Citizens have a next man up mentality and they are a team of cutthroat winners. The Red Devils simply are not at that level yet and those small discrepancies matter so much in a major final.
Man City vs Man United Projected Lineups and Injuries
Man City Projected Lineup: Ortega, Ake, Dias, Walker, Stones, Rodri, De Bruyne, Gundogan, Foden, Haaland, Mahrez
Major Injuries & Absences: Dias (questionable), De Bruyne (questionable), Grealish (questionable), Akanji (questionable)
Man United Projected Lineup: De Gea, Shaw, Lindelof, Varane, Wan-Bissaka, Casemiro, Eriksen, Garnacho, Fernandes, Sancho, Rashford
Major Injuries & Absences: Martial, Sabitzer, Martinez, van de Beek, Heaton, Jones
Man City vs Man United Prediction
All in all, I am riding with Casemiro to get a card and Man City -1.5 (+125) in the Man City vs Man United odds. The latter bet is a bolder one, but one I am confident in. City have beaten United by multiple goals in three out of their last four head-to-head meetings and I favor this match to become the second step in what could be a marvelous finish for Man City.
Man City vs Man United Picks: Casemiro to get a card (+120) and Man City -1.5 (+125)