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Sevilla vs Man City Odds & Prediction – Champions League Group Stage Matchday 1

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated Sep 5, 2022 · 12:54 PM PDT

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on his team's sideline
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola watches a play during the team's exhibition match against FC Bayern Munich at Lambeau Field on July 23, 2022, in Green Bay, Wis. Gpg Lambeausoccer 072322 Sk48
  • Manchester City are -270 favorites to beat Sevilla on Tuesday
  • City have won both of their previous matches against Sevilla
  • Read below for the Sevilla vs Man City odds and prediction

Manchester City are heavy favourites in Champions League odds for their Matchday 1 fixture with Sevilla. Pep Guardiola’s team are also massive favorites in the UCL Group G odds and will be keen to get their campaign off to a winning start at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium on Tuesday.

Sevilla vs Manchester City Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Sevilla +750
Manchester City -270
Draw +390

Odds as of Sep 5 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this week’s Champions League fixtures.

City are heavily favored for this match at a price of -270 on the moneyline. A spread of -1.5 carries odds of +100 for the visitors, with sportsbooks expecting a comprehensive win from the reigning Premier League champions.



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The sides have met just twice before, with City winning both matches in the 2015-16 Champions League group stage. City ultimately fell to La Liga opposition in this competition last season in the shape of Real Madrid, but they beat Atletico in the last eight and have a decent record against Spanish clubs.

Sevilla, meanwhile, have had some poor results against Premier League opposition. The Red-Whites lost to West Ham in the Europa League last season and failed to score across two matches against Chelsea in the 2020-21 group stage.

Over/Under and Spread

Sevilla have seen under 2.5 goals in five of their last six Champions League matches, but over 2.5 is as short as -150 for this fixture.

Sevilla have endured a nightmare start to the La Liga campaign, losing three of their first four matches. Barcelona battered Julen Lopetegui’s side 3-0 on Saturday. After disappointing in the Champions League last season and ultimately falling at the group stage despite a relatively easy group, Sevilla’s 2022-23 campaign gets off to the trickiest possible start with the visit of City.

Guardiola’s side have dropped points this term, and were held to a 1-1 draw by Aston Villa at the weekend, but their attack has been formidable. They have already scored 20 goals in the Premier League.

A Sevilla defense which has allowed the second-most expected goals against in La Liga this season is clearly vulnerable here; the Andalusian club have conceded 12 times in their last seven Champions League home matches.

Erling Haaland to Score Odds

A leaky defense is always a problem against this City team, but it is even more of an issue now. Erling Haaland has taken to Guardiola’s system with remarkable ease, scoring 10 goals in six Premier League matches.

The only time he failed to score was the 4-0 win over Bournemouth, and the former Dortmund man registered an assist in that game.

Unsurprisingly, Haaland is the favorite to score anytime at -175. Luckily, there are markets which provide longer odds that offer greater value. Haaland has seven goals in three matches, including back-to-back hat-tricks. The +1100 on another hat-trick is certainly tempting, but the +270 on Haaland to score two or more is the pick of the goal scorer markets here.

Sevilla vs Man City Statistics

Man City
Group Stage Champions League Performance 2021-22 Semi-finals
60.1% Average possession 72.2%
16 yellows, 1 red Cards 4 yellows, 0 red
12.5 Shots per match 17

Sevilla vs Man City Lineups and Injuries

Sevilla Projected Lineup: Bono; Navas, Nianzou, Rekik, Acuna; Jordan, Fernando, Rakitic; Lamela, Gomez, En-Nesyri.

Sevilla Injuries: Corona.

Man City Projected Lineup: Ederson; Cancelo, Dias, Akanji, Ake; De Bruyne, Rodri, Silva; Alvarez, Haaland, Foden.

Man City Injuries: Laporte, Walker.

Sevilla vs Man City Pick

City might have only scored once against Villa, who were woefully out of form before the match, but that isn’t enough to make us doubt their chances here. The visitors should win this one at a canter — Sevilla are devoid of confidence, and City still created decent chances against Villa.

Haaland’s presence gives City extra punch in the final third, making them an even more clinical side in matches like this. If they were in form, maybe Sevilla could keep this competitive. Their performances so far in 2022-23 suggest otherwise.

City should cruise to a victory here. The -1.5 spread is a solid option, but City to win and three or more total goals is the best value for this fixture.

Pick: Manchester City to win and three or more total goals (-110)


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