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Ashleigh Barty’s Wimbledon Odds Go from 31-1 to 9-1 After Surprise French Open Win

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Jun 11, 2019 · 10:11 AM PDT

Ashleigh Barty prepares for return shot
Since her win at the French Open, Australian Ashleigh Barty has seen her odds to win Wimbledon improve significantly. Photo by si.robi (flickr).
  • Ashleigh Barty’s odds to win Wimbledon have taken a dramatic turn since her French Open victory
  • The Australian player’s average odds have dropped from 31-1 to 9-1 across leading sportsbooks
  • Oddsmakers list Barty as their third-favorite at +800

Ashleigh Barty is no. 2 with a bullet. Her impressive victory over Marketa Vondrousova in the French Open women’s singles title has turned heads. She jumped from eighth to second in the WTA rankings.

As well, across a variety of leading sportsbooks, the Australian player’s average odds of winning on the grass at the All-England Lawn Tennis Club improved significantly in their Wimbledon odds.

She went from 31-1 to a 9-1 choice to win at Wimbledon following her success at Roland-Garros.

2019 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Odds

Player 2019 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Odds
Serena Williams +500
Petra Kvitova +600
Ashleigh Barty +800
Naomi Osaka +900
Johanna Konta +1200
Karolina Pliskova +1200
Angelique Kerber +1200

Odds taken on 06/11/19. 

Oddsmakers list Barty as the third-favorite to win Wimbledon at +800.

A Difficult Double Play

Going from success on the clay at Roland-Garros to the grass courts of Wimbledon is a short journey in terms of the time frame. However, it’s a completely different animal when the subject is coming out on top at both venues in the same year.

Since 1997, it’s only happened twice in women’s tennis that the French Open winner also won Wimbledon. And it was the same player who accomplished the feat both times. Serena Williams turned the double in 2002 and again in 2015.

Simona Halep, last year’s French Open champ, was ousted in the third round at Wimbledon. She entered the tournament as the top seed.

Does Barty Measure Up?

The size difference between Barty and Vondrousova in the French Open final was striking. At 5’4″, the Aussie is the smallest player among the WTA’s top 10.

The power game tends to win the day on grass courts. The finesse plays that helped Barty come out on top at Roland-Garros won’t be as much of an advantage at Wimbledon.

None of that last 17 players to lift the Venus Rosewater Dish were under 5’7″. Eight of them towered over the field, standing at least 6’0″.

The finesse plays that helped Barty come out on top at Roland-Garros won’t be as much of an advantage at Wimbledon.

Barty has won a WTA-leading 31 matches this season. But the last Wimbledon champion of her height was Chris Evert in 1981.

Wimbledon Contenders

It’s been a wide-open season in the WTA. That was reflected at Roland-Garros. Barty was the only one of the top 25 seeds to reach the semifinals.

Wimbledon has only gone away from the form charts the last two years. Angelique Kerber won last year as an 11 seed. Garbiñe Muguruza was 14th-seeded when she won the 2017 title. Williams (2015-16) is the only one-seed to win in that span.

Three of the last eight winners came from outside the top 10 seeds and six from beyond the top five.

With that in mind, it’s wise to look down the list for a winner.

Muguruza enjoys odd-year success at Wimbledon. Prior to her 2017 win, she was the losing finalist in 2015.

Back her for the title at +1600.

Pick: Garbiñe Muguruza (+1600)

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