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ATP Next Gen Finals Odds & Pick: 2018 Finalist Alex de Minaur Favored

Alex de Minaur
2018 finalist Alex de Minaur is the favorite in both his group and to win it all at the Next Gen ATP Finals. Photo by Carine (Flickr) [Flickr]
  • The Next Generation ATP Finals were founded in 2017
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas was the champion in 2018
  • The tournament will be hosted in Milan, Italy this year with Alex de Minaur favored to win

The Next Generation ATP Finals is an annual men’s tennis tournament founded in 2017. The best 21-and-under players will compete in the tournament that runs from November 5-9. This will be the season-ending event for these players, and will be played at the PalaLido Allianz Cloud for the first time. In October, reigning champion, Stefanos Tsitsipas withdrew from the tournament after qualifying for the 2019 ATP Finals.

ATP Next Gen Finals Odds

Player Odds at Bovada
Alex de Minaur +180
Frances Tiafoe +500
Ugo Humbert +550
Jannik Sinner +600
Moimir Kecmanovic +800
Casper Ruud +1000
Mikael Ymer +1000
Alexandro Davidovich Fokina +1600

Odds taken Nov. 4, 2019

The young generation of male tennis superstars has sort of taken a backseat to the impressive WTA Tour. But this tournament will be able to showcase the young talent that has been competing in the ATP Tour this season and for the foreseeable future seasons.

This year’s competitors were split into two groups during the draw ceremony. Each player will play three round-robin matches, and two competitors will advance from each group. Those who advance with compete in the single-elimination semifinals.

Top Eight

Many have stated that this year’s Next Gen ATP Finals is the strongest field of talent in the tournament’s short history. This will be the first time that all eight players are ranked inside the Top 100, with four players having made an appearance in the Top 50 at some point this season.

Alex de Minaur

Australian Alex de Minaur is the favorite to not only win his group but win the tournament outright with +180 odds. He is one of six players to win at least three tour-level trophies this year and the youngest in 2019. The 20-year old reached a career-high No. 18, while just two years ago, he found himself outside the Top 200.

De Minaur has yet to face a player in his group in an ATP Tour main draw.

De Minaur is no stranger to this tournament, having met Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final last year. He lost to Tsitsipas in straight sets. But he bounced back in a big way in 2019, winning his first ATP Tour title on home soil in Sydney.

ATP Tour Next Gen Finals – Group A Odds

Player Odds at Bovada
Alex de Minaur -165
Alexandro Davidovich Fokina +900
Miomir Kecmanovic +400
Casper Ruud +450

Jannik Sinner

The 18-year old Italian is the youngest player playing in the tournament this year, and the youngest player inside the Top 100 of the ATP Rankings. A mere 12 months ago, Jannik Sinner was actually in the stands of the Next Gen ATP Finals. At the time he was competing in the Red Bull Next Generation Open, which was running at the same time. The 18-year old wanted to see how players played in big situations. Sinner is the Italian wildcard this year, but along with Frances Tiafoe, the favorite to win Group B with +225 odds.

ATP Tour Next Gen Finals – Group B Odds

Player Odds at Bovada
Jannik Sinner +225
Frances Tiafoe +225
Ugo Humbert +275
Mikael Ymer +350

Sinner could have a tournament like favorite de Minaur had last year. The 18-year old Italian is playing in front of a home crowd, and his 2019 season has been nothing short of spectacular.

Best Bet

The best bet going into the tournament is still Alex de Minaur despite having some great competition. He came very close last year, and has shown that he can compete not only with the best of under-21s but the best of the ATP Tour.

Best Bets: Alex de Minaur +180, Group A: Alex de Minaur (-165), Group B: Jannik Sinner (+225)

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