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Belinda Bencic vs Naomi Osaka Odds & Prediction – WTA Miami Open Semifinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Mar 30, 2022 · 10:39 AM PDT

Belinda Bencic hitting a return shot during a tennis match at the Miami Open.
Belinda Bencic, of Switzerland, returns a shot from Heather Watson, of Britain, during the Miami Open tennis tournament, Saturday, March 26, 2022, in Miami Gardens, Fla. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)
  • The semifinals of the WTA Miami Open will take place on Thursday, March 31st
  • Belinda Bencic and Naomi Osaka will go head-to-head
  • Continue below for odds, preview and best bet analysis

The first of two semifinals have been set on the women’s singles side of the Miami Open. 22nd seed Belinda Bencic will go head-to-head against former World No. 1 Naomi Osaka for the fourth time on Thursday.

Both players have put on a show this past week and a half down in Miami. Neither has dropped a set on route to this semifinal match.

Neither player had the best odds heading into the tournament, but have since earned their spot in the finals four.

Belinda Bencic vs Naomi Osaka WTA Miami Open Semifinals Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[22] Belinda Bencic +3.5 (-115) +175 Ov 21.5 (-115)
Naomi Osaka -3.5 (-125) -230 Un 21.5 (-125)

Odds as of March 30th at Draftkings.

Osaka is the favorite heading into this match, as she’s showing signs of playing like she did when she was ranked No. 1 in the world. It can get difficult for opponents when playing against Osaka at this level. Will Bencic be able to upset?

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Bencic Perfect Through Four

The 25-year old hasn’t given her opponents much opportunity to build momentum through her first four matches here in Miami.

The Olympic gold medalist didn’t have the best showing heading into the Miami Open, with two first-round losses at the Qatar Open and Indian Wells Masters. But the Swiss has seemed to find her form at this tournament.

Most recently, she defeated Australian Daria Saville in the quarterfinals, winning 6-1, 6-2. With the win she earned her spot in the semifinals of a WTA 1000 tournament for the first time since 2019 at the Madrid Open.

Osaka Breezes into Semis

The Japanese star hasn’t played a ton of tennis in 2022. She started off strong in Australian, but withdrew from her first tournament of the year due to an injury. Because of that, the Miami Open is only her fourth tournament of the year. She did compete in Indian Wells, but that was her first tournament since the Australian Open in January.

But it’s been exciting watching Osaka in Miami.

The 24-year old is unseeded and has dropped to No. 77 in the world, which has come with an extra match, having not received a bye. But she’s been dominant from the start.

Her most recent win was a 6-2, 6-1 quarterfinal win against ninth seed Danielle Collins, where Osaka recorded 13 aces with zero double faults.

Fifth Meeting Between Bencic and Osaka

One could say these two are fairly familiar with each other, as this is the fifth meeting between them. Their first meeting dates back to 2013, with their last three happening in 2019. Bencic currently holds the edge with a 3-1 head-to-head lead.

What’s interesting is that Bencic has won their last three meetings, which all came in 2019, when Osaka was a top seed and No. 1. Osaka took their first meeting way back in 2013.

Belinda Bencic
VS
Naomi Osaka
28 WTA Standing 77
25 Age 24
4 Career Titles 7
316/177 Career W/L 257/141
0 YTD Titles 0
5/5 YTD W/L 6/2
3 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Where’s the Best Bet?

These two are a couple of the best players on tour, which will make for an exciting semifinal match.

Despite being the underdog in the odds, Bencic will most likely be coming into this match fairly confident, given her success against Osaka.

A big thing that has changed in Osaka’s game is her mentality. She’s been pretty open about her struggles, and it has seemed to change her approach to the game. She looks to be pretty dialed in and focused at the moment, which could be the perfect recipe to close the gap a bit in her head-to-head record against Bencic.

On paper, this does look to be a match that will go the full three sets regardless of the winner.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 sets (+125)

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