Carlos Alcaraz vs Diego Schwartzman Odds & Prediction – ATP Rio Open Final
- The finals of the Rio Open will take place later today
- Seventh seed Carlos Alcaraz will take on third seed Diego Schwartzman
- Continue below for odds, preview, and best bet analysis
After many delays in the quarter and semifinals, the Rio Open is finally down to it’s final two players, and Carlos Alcaraz will take on Diego Schwartzman this afternoon. The match is scheduled for 3:30 pm ET.
18-year old Alcaraz had the second best odds to win the tournament, listed at +380, and Schwartzman was right behind him at +500.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Diego Schwartzman ATP Rio Open Final Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [7] Carlos Alcaraz | -1.5 (-125) | -300 | Ov 21.5 (-125) |
| [3] Diego Schwartzman | +1.5 (-110) | +240 | Un 21.5 (-110) |
Odds as of February 20th at DraftKings.
Alcaraz enters the match as the favorite after defeating first seed Matteo Berrettini in the quarterfinals.
Alcaraz’s First ATP 500 Final
The 18-year old Spaniard had to complete double duty on Saturday due to rainouts. To reach his first ATP 500 final, he fended off Matteo Berrettini in the quarters and Fabio Fognini in the semi’s.
It took three sets for Alcaraz to defeat Berrettini, but he managed to do it, winning 6-2, 2-6, 6-2. Later in the day, in his semifinal match, he defeated Fognini 6-2, 7-5.
18years old Carlos Alcaraz is into the biggest final of his career in Rio de Janeiro, the tournament where he won his first ATP match 2 years ago.
6-2, 7-5 over Fabio Fognini to complete an Italian super saturday duo. Gets 2018 cham Diego Schwartzman tomorrow.
[@BrunoAlencastro] pic.twitter.com/sOEvXnfmKP— José Morgado (@josemorgado) February 20, 2022
In the semifinal match, Alcaraz won the first set with ease, but found himself down 1-4 at the start of the second set. He managed to fight back, and go on a few runs to secure the win in straight sets.
The Spaniard managed to land 67 percent of his first serves, and of those landed first serves, record a 67 win percentage. He didn’t record any aces, which is not unusual. He doesn’t have an overbearing serve. This tournament he’s only recorded one or two per match.
He’ll now look towards Schwartzman, who will be another tough opponent for the 18-year old.
Schwartzman’s Second ATP Tour Final in Two Weeks
The Argentine player spent a total of five-and-a-half hours on the court on Saturday, as he was another player that fell victim to the Friday rain delays.
Prior to his two matches yesterday, his one and only match of the tournament was played on Wednesday, giving Schwartzman two full days off in between.
He went on to defeat Pablo Andujar 7(7)-6(3), 4-6, 6-4, in the quarterfinals, and Francisco Cerundolo 7(7)-6(4), 6-3.
After a marathon quarterfinal win, he managed to keep his semifinal match to just two-hours. But he saved the match from going longer when he saved three set points in the opening set there.
He’ll now go up against Alcaraz, who despite the seeding, is the favorite over Schwartzman to win.
No Head-to-Head History for Alcaraz vs Schwartman
This is the first career meeting between these two players.
Alcaraz vs Schwartzman Head-to-Head States
| 29 | ATP Standing | 14 |
| 18 | Age | 29 |
| 1 | Career Titles | 4 |
| 35/19 | Career W/L | 214/170 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 2/1 | YTD W/L | 8/4 |
| 0 | Head-to-Head Wins | 0 |
Best Bet
This has all the makings for an exciting final.
Schwartzman has some great appearances this year already, but the Spanish teenager has shown how successful he can be on clay courts.
Both players will probably show signs of fatigue at one time or another in the match, especially if it starts to show signs of going the distance. But playing in front of a home crowd in Rio, is sure to give Alcaraz the boost he needs.
Given the week he’s had, upsetting a couple top players, playing front of the home crown, and his fondness of clay, Alcaraz looks to have the slight edge here.
But instead of taking Alcaraz to just win outright with a -300 moneyline, look to take the bet for Alcaraz winning in straight sets at -130.
Best Bet: Alcaraz 2-0 (-130)
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A graduate of Sport Media at Ryerson University, Hayley is the ultimate student of sports. Whether she is playing it, watching it, debating it, or writing it, it's safe to assume sport consumes the majority of her life. She has worked both internationally and with the NBA.
