Carlos Alcaraz vs Dan Evans Odds & Prediction – Barcelona Open Semifinals
By Robert Duff in Tennis
Published:
- Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz is an overwhelming -2000 odds-on favorite over Dan Evans in their ATP Barcelona Open semifinal on Saturday, April 21
- Top-seeded Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set in reaching the tournament final four
- Evans, the #12 seed, has already toppled two seeded opponents
Facing Dan Evans in the semifinals, Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz is looking to take another step toward keeping the traditions continuing at the ATP Barcelona Open.
Top-seeded Alcaraz is the reigning tournament champion, so right away he’ll be seeking to maintain his reign. Secondly, a victory by him in this event would continue the long-standing dominance by Spanish players in this ATP 500 event. Competitors from Spain have captured the title in 17 of the past 21 Barcelona Opens.
The odds are strongly in favor of the Spaniard reaching the final. He’s the odds-on -2000 pick to defeat Evans in the semifinals.
Dan Evans vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [1] Carlos Alcaraz (SPA) | -6.5 (-105) | -1200 | O 21.5 (-125) |
| [12] Dan Evans (GBR) | +6.5 (-125) | +900 | U 21.5 (-105) |
At +900, underdog Evans is offering a long betting line in the ATP Barcelona odds. The spread is a strong -6.5 in favor of Alcaraz at -6.5. The over/under on the match total is set at 21.5 games. This match is slated for a 10:00am ET start on Saturday, April 21.
Odds as of April 21 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to wager on the Barcelona Open.
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Alcaraz Yet To Drop A Set
Going back to last year’s 6-3, 6-2 final win over fellow Spaniard Pablo Carreno Busta, Alcaraz has played four successive matches in Barcelona without dropping a set. To suggest it’s been an easy ride would be an incorrect statement.
He took out another fellow Spaniard in the quarterfinals, battling past #10 seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6(7-5), 6-4. Alcaraz won just 58% of his first-service points during the match.
NO RIGHT TO WIN THAT POINT 🤯@carlosalcaraz #BCNOpenBS pic.twitter.com/33vKDFMO9t
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) April 20, 2023
His Round of 16 triumph over yet another Spaniard, #13 seed Roberto Bautista Agut, saw Alcaraz win 6-3, 7-5. Alcaraz is 9-1 this season when facing Spanish opposition.
A 6-3, 6-1 victory against unseeded Nuno Borges of Portugal in their opening-round match has really proven to be Alcaraz’s one routine advancement thus far in Barcelona.
Evans Battles Back For Big Win
Veteran Brit Evans battled back for a big win over #15 seed Francisco Cerundolo of Argentina. The 12th-seeded Evans dropped the first set 2-6 before rallying to take the next two sets 7-5, 6-3 to win the match.
Evans won 76% of his first-service points and delivered three aces. The English player also beat Cerundolo on clay in the opening-round of the 2022 French Open, winning 7-6(7-3), 6-4, 6-4.
He toppled #6 seed Karen Khachanov of Russia 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16. World #26 Evans downed Italian qualifier Matteo Arnaldi 6-4, 6-3 in opening-round action.
Evans vs Alcaraz Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Vienna (R32) | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 6-3 | Alcaraz |
Coming into this tournament, Evans was a dismal 2-8 in his previous 10 matches. He was a semifinalist earlier this month in an ATP 250 event at Marrakech. Evans lost to a Spanish player in that match. Roberto Carballes Baena was a 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 winner over Evans.
Evans vs Alcaraz Prediction
World #2 Alcaraz is 9-1 in his last 10 matches at the Barcelona Open. He’s looking to become the first repeat champion in the event since Spanish superstar Rafael Nadal won three in a row from 2016-18.
Alcaraz won easily over Evans in their only previous meeting in straight sets. But that was at Vienna on a hard-court surface.
Evans vs Alcaraz Head-to-Head
| 32 (May 23, 1990) | Age | 19 (May 5, 2005) |
| Birmingham, England | Birthplace | El Palmar, Spain |
| 5-9 | Height | 6-0 |
| 0 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 8 |
| 22 (Sept. 27, 2021) | Career-Best Ranking | 1 (March 20, 2023) |
| 26 | Current Ranking | 2 |
| $6,695,523 | Career Prize Money | $13,742,442 |
| 8-11 | 2023 Won/Loss Record | 21-2 |
| 0 | ATP Main Draw Head-to-Head Wins | 1 |
Traditionally, Evans isn’t a strong clay court player. Even with his three victories at Barcelona, he’s only 19-28 overall on the surface during his career. Overall, he’s an underwhelming 8-11 this season, compared to 21-2 for Alcaraz.
Semi-final bound 🤝
From a set down, Evans rallies to defeat Cerundolo 2-6 7-5 6-3 at the #BCNOpenBS
Next up? Carlos Alcaraz pic.twitter.com/vN6APjrIt5
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) April 21, 2023
Both players are quite agile on the clay surface, where quickness matters. However, the 5-9 Evans simply can’t match the power game of his 6-1 Spanish opponent. Alcaraz in straight sets and at -6.5 games is the only play to make here.
Alcaraz vs Evans Pick: Alcaraz -6.5 (-105); Alcaraz 2-0 (-420).
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
