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Elina Svitolina vs Marketa Vondrousova Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Semifinals

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Updated Jul 12, 2023 · 9:06 PM PDT

Elina Svitolina reacts after upsetting #1 seed Iga Swiatek in the Wimbledon QF
Jul 11, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Elina Svitolina (UKR) celebrates winning her match against Iga Swiatek (POL) on day nine at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
  • Marketa Vondrousova is a -140 favorite over Elina Svitolina in their Wimbledon women’s singles semifinal on Thursday, July 13
  • Unseeded Svitolina upset #1 seed Iga Świątek in the quarterfinals
  • It’s just the second Grand Slam semifinal appearance for Vondrousova. See our Svitolina vs Vondrousova prediction here

When it comes to Grand Slam semifinal appearances, it’s been awhile for both Elina Svitolina and Marketa Vondrousova. They’re both in the semfinals this year and we have our top Svitolina vs Vondrousova picks here.

Their clash in the Wimbledon women’s singles final four will be just the second semifinal appearance in a Grand Slam event for Vondrousova. It’s the fourth for Svitolina, but her first since 2019.

Both players reached this stage via stunning quarterfinal upset victories. Svitolina shocked #1 seed Iga Swiatek. Vondrousova, also unseeded, toppled #4 seed Jessica Pegula.

It’s Vondrousova who is getting the favor of the oddsmakers in this match. The Czech player is the -140 chalk to move into the Wimbledon final in the Svitolina vs Vondrousova odds.

Elina Svitolina vs Marketa Vondrousova Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Elina Svitolina (UKR) +1.5 (-120) +110 O 21.5 (-135)
Marketa Vondrousova (CZE) -1.5 (-110) -140 U 21.5 (+105)

At +110, Svitolina is given an underdog betting line in the Wimbledon odds. The spread is -1.5 in favor of Vondrousova. The over/under on the match total is set at 21.5 games. This match is slated for the morning of Thursday, July 13, however the order of play has yet to be determined.

Odds as of July 12 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to claim this Caesars Sportsbook promo to make your Svitolina vs Vondrousova picks for Wimbledon.

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Svitolina is a +450 betting choice to win the title in the Wimbledon odds. Bet Vondrousova and you’ll get odds of +550.

Svitolina Stuns Swiatek

At one time the #3 player in the world, current #76 Svitolina is rediscovering that swagger on the grass courts of the All-England Club. She shocked Swiatek, the world’s #1 player, 7-5, 6-7(7-5), 6-2 in their quarterfinal match that took two hours and 50 minutes to complete.

It’s her seventh career win over the top-ranked player in the world, but Svitolina’s first since 2018. Svitolina has beaten four Grand Slam winners en route to this semifinal, with Venus Williams, Sofia Kenin and Victoria Azarenka joining Swiatek as her victims. It’s only the third time that’s happened in a single tournament during the open era.

Returning to action in April after giving birth to a daughter, Svitolina is the third wildcard entry to reach a Wimbledon semifinal and the first since Germany’s Sabine Lisicki in 2011.

Against Swiatek, Svitolina battled back from 5-3 down to win the first set. She could’ve won in straight sets, but squandered a 4-1 lead in the tiebreak. Undaunted, she rattled off five straight wins in the deciding third set.

Vondrousova Outlasts Pegula

A match couldn’t be much closer than the quarterfinal contest between Vondrousova and Pegula. Vondrousova’s 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 victory saw her win 90 games, one more than Pegula. It was a match that featured wild momentum swings.

Vondrousova was down 1-4 and love-30 in the third set. Then she won five successive games to take the match. Vondrousova also broke Pegula’s service three times to win the first set.

Vondrousova vs Svitolina Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2021 Olympics (SF) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-1 Vondrousova
2020 WTA Rome (QF) Outdoor Clay 6-3, 6-0 Vondrousova
2019 WTA Indian Wells (QF) Outdoor Hard 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 Svitolina
2018 WTA Stuttgart (R16) Outdoor Clay 2-6, 6-1, 3-2 (retired) Svitolina
2018 WTA Doha (R32) Outdoor Hard 6-2, 6-4 Svitolina

The Czech player has knocked off four seeded players to reach the semifinals, joining Zheng Jie (2008) and Barbora Strycova (2019) as the only players to accomplish this feat in the Wimbledon women’s draw. Vondrousova has won three matches in a row from players ranked among the world’s top five.

Svitolina vs Vondrousova Head-to-Head

Elina Svitolina
VS
Marketa Vondrousova
28 (Sept. 11, 1994) Age 24 (June 27, 1999)
Odessa, Ukraine Birthplace Sokolov, Czechia
5-9 Height 5-6
17 Career WTA Singles Titles 1
3 (Sept, 10, 2017) Career-Best Ranking 14 (June. 30, 2019)
76 Current Ranking 42
$21,890,358 Career Earnings $5,447,411
17-8 2023 Won/Loss Record 27-10
3 WTA Main Draw Head-to-Head Wins 2

Although Svitolina has won three of five previous meetings with Vondrousova, she hasn’t bettered her Czech opponent since 2019. In their last two matches, Vondrousova won in straight sets. She’s dropped just seven games over the course of those two matches.

Svitolina vs Vondrousova Prediction

While Vondrousova is enjoying a fine run, and has a Grand Slam final appearance on her resume, her history on grass courts is sketchy. She’d won just four main draw matches on the surface coming into this tournament and only once at Wimbledon. Vondrousova hit 35 unforced errors during her win over Pegula, a factor that the wily veteran Svitolina can exploit.

It will be a tight match, but go with the savvy experience of Svitolina to win the day.

Svitolina vs Vondrousova Picks:

  • Svitolina to win (+110)
  • Svotilina 2-1 (+370)

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