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Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Odds & Prediction – US Open Quarterfinals

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Sep 6, 2022 · 6:56 PM PDT

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula
Sep 5, 2022; Flushing, NY, USA; Iga Swiatek of Poland defeats Jule Niemeier of Germany on day eight of the 2022 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports
  • Both Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula are looking for their first US Open semifinal
  • Pegula, a three-time Slam quarterfinalist, is looking for her first final-four appearance
  • Read on for more on this Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula matchup, scheduled for 7:00 pm ET on September 7

After an understandable lull when her 37-match win streak came to an end at Wimbledon, world No. 1 Iga Swiatek has looked ready to start another streak so far at this US Open.

Swiatek vs Pegula Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[1] Iga Swiatek (POL) -3.5 (-113) -209 O 20.5 (-120)
[8] Jessica Pegula (USA) +3.5 (-108) +175 U 20.5 (-103)

Odds as of Sept. 6 at Barstool Sportsbook. Use this Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on the US Open

The 21-year-old Swiatek has never done particularly well at the US Open.

She’s just not that in love with the conditions, notably the “regular duty” US Open balls that the women are required to use, which fly all over the place and she finds difficult to control.


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First Time vs a Seed for Swiatek

It has helped that Swiatek has yet to face a seeded player through the first four rounds of the tournament.

The only notable name was 2017 champion Sloane Stephens, whom she summarily dismissed in the second round. But Stephens was not having one of her world-beater days – to say the least.

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Beyond that, Swiatek also straight-setted Jasmine Paolini of Italy and American Davis – even if that 6-3, 6-4 victory took nearly two hours.

In the round of 16, Jule Niemeier took the first set and made the second set close. But Swiatek dropped a bagel on the German in the final set.

Swiatek had No. 16 Jelena Ostapenko and No. 28, Ekaterina Alexandrova, in her section, both potentially dangerous opponents. But neither made it that far.

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head

Missing Team
Jessica Pegula
21 (May 31, 2001) Age 28 (Feb. 24, 1994)
Warsaw, Poland Birthplace Buffalo, NY
5-9 Height 5-7
9 Career WTA Singles Titles 1
No. 1 (April 4, 2022) Career-Best Ranking No. 7 (July 18, 2022)
No. 1 Current Ranking No. 8
$11,476,777 Career Prize Money $5,334,721
54-7 2022 Won/Loss Record 35-16
2 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Pegula Looking for Top 5

Pegula, the late-blooming 28-year-old, is already the No. 1-ranked American.

She’s looking for a debut in the top five after this tournament. Which doesn’t only depend on her, with Aryna Sabalenka, Coco Gauff and Caroline Garcia also looking for spots in that exclusive group. But beating Swiatek would not only likely secure that, but it would also make a major statement, at her home Grand Slam.

Swiatek vs Pegula Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 French Open (QF) Outdoor Clay 6-3, 6-2 Swiatek
2022 Miami (SF) Outdoor Hard 6-2, 7-5 Swiatek
2019 Washington (R16) Outdoor Hard 5-7, 6-4, 6-1 Pegula

Pegula had been expected to be up against it when she met a resurgent Petra Kvitova in the found of 16. She dismantled her 6-3, 6-2 in just 73 minutes.

Her only match lasting over an hour and 20 minutes came in the third round when she dropped the second set against qualifier Yuan Yue. That pushed that match time over two hours even though, after losing that second-set tiebreak, she bagelled Yuan in the third.

All in all, Pegula has been impressive so far. She has sent out a message that she won’t settle for a nice showing. But beating the No. 1, who has two major titles to her name (albeit, both on clay at the French Open), would be an even more significant statement.

Swiatek vs Pegula Pick

The previous head-to-head between the two ran according to form. Swiatek won both matches that took place during her winning streak.

Pegula won their match in Washington, DC back in 2019, despite being ranked lower at the time (No. 79 to Swiatek’s No. 66).

Pegula ended up winning the tournament – her first and only title so far.

There are going to be two elements of Wednesday’s quarterfinal that will work against Swiatek.

The first is the home crowd. While Pegula is hardly a household name in the US, the fans at the US Open will know she’s a home girl (and some will know that her family owns the NFL’s Buffalo Bills).

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The US Open crowd is not overly familiar with Swiatek, mostly because she has done little at “their’ tournament so far in her young career.

So the 21-year-old may find her nerves getting a bit frayed if the New York crowd gets behind Pegula. And her nerves may hit if Pegula is as steady as she can be.

That is probably Pegula’s only hope because on the tennis side Swiatek has looked impressive and has significantly more weapons.

Best Bet: Swiatek in Two Sets (+123)

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