Novak Djokovic vs Casper Ruud Odds & Prediction – French Open Final
- Novak Djokovic is in quest of his 23rd major singles title in Sunday’s French Open final
- It would give him the all-time lead over Rafael Nadal
- Read on as we break down his match against Casper Ruud, and pick a winner
Carlos Alcaraz was the favorite to win the 2023 French Open just about from the jump. But he couldn’t answer the bell in the semifinal, and now Novak Djokovic is the prohibitive favorite.
Djokovic vs Ruud Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [3] Novak Djokovic (SRB) | -5.5 (-132) | -465 | O 36.5 (-118) |
| [4] Casper Ruud (NOR) | +5.5 (+100) | +350 | U 36.5 (-112) |
At -465 odds, Djokovic is the favorite in the Djokovic vs Ruud odds for Sunday’s final (8:30 a.m. ET). Ruud is the underdog at +350 odds.
Djokovic vs Ruud odds as of June 10 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Use this FanDuel promo code to bet on the Djokovic vs Ruud match and receive a great promotion for new customers.
Popcorn Semifinal Fizzles for Alcaraz
As much as people are caught up in the Carlos Alcaraz craze, confident that he would win his first French Open title this year, it was easy to forget how and why Novak Djokovic has won 22 major titles to Alcaraz’s one.
His body, at 36, doesn’t bounce back as it once did. But one thing he – and Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer – learned how to do in their careers is to conserve energy early in the 128-player draws with best-of-five sets every two days, and find some way to get it done.
Against Alcaraz on Friday, Djokovic wasn’t feeling great by the end of the second set. But Alcaraz, whose easy-going smile helps portray him as an eager kid who’s just positive and happy about … everything, felt the pressure.
It’s physical pressure, as Djokovic pushes you to the limit and beyond. And it was also mental – and that’s what Alcaraz attributed to the cramps he suffered by the end of the second set. They were everywhere, and he couldn’t shake them. And that was basically it.
Djokovic vs Ruud Head-to-Head
| 36 (May 22, 1987) | Age | 24 (Dec. 22, 1998) |
| Belgrade, Serbia | Birthplace | Oslo, Norway |
| 6-2 | Height | 6-0 |
| 93 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 10 |
| No. 1 (July 4, 2011) | Career-Best Ranking | No. 2 (Sept. 12, 2022) |
| No. 3 | Current Ranking | No. 4 |
| $167,296,242 | Career Prize Money | $14,177,809 |
| 26-4 | 2023 Won/Loss Record | 22-11 |
| 4 | Head-to-Head Wins | 0 |
The drama for that first semifinal sort of sucked the life out of the second one, an unexpected one between Alexander Zverev and Casper Ruud.
Ruud had done little in 2023 to indicate he could return to the French Open final, where he was bounced by Nadal a year ago.
And Zverev, who left the court in a wheelchair after tearing ligaments in his ankle – also vs Nadal – had done little when he returned in 2023 to indicate he had a semifinal run in him.
https://twitter.com/TennisONEApp/status/1667294673059082240
In the end, Zverev suffered a thigh injury in practice the previous day and was a shadow of himself, while Ruud looked like the French Open finalist he has been.
Djokovic vs Ruud Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | ATP Tour Finals (F) | Indoor Hard | 7-5, 6-3 | Djokovic |
| 2022 | Rome Masters (SF) | Outdoor Clay | 6-4, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2021 | ATP Tour Finals (RR) | Indoor Hard | 7-6 (4), 6-2 | Djokovic |
| 2020 | Rome Masters (SF) | Outdoor Clay | 7-5, 6-3 | Djokovic |
Ruud’s problem against Djokovic is that, in four previous matches, he’s never taken a set.
Djokovic vs Ruud Prediction
These two have a bit of a bizarre history. They’ve played four times, but only in two different places: in the Rome semifinals outdoors on clay, and at the ATP Tour Finals indoors on hard.
Neither venue has been favorable to Ruud, who just doesn’t have enough to counter all that Djokovic throws at him.
Ruud is essentially a grinder. He wears down his opponents because he hardly ever misses. And he’s able to generate enough speed on the forehand when he’s feeling good to break open points here and there.
But he doesn’t serve big, and he’ll be facing the best returner (arguably) in men’s tennis history. That can put him on the back foot from the get-go on his own service games.
If there’s a question about Djokovic, it’s whether the body can hold up. Certainly Alcaraz exposed that, to a certain extent. But the Spaniard’s game is much more explosive than Ruud’s.
And as we saw with Djokovic in Australia with the tear in his hamstring, even that didn’t hold him back.
The history on offer – the 23rd major title – might cause some nerves, as it did at the US Open in 2021 when he was going for the calendar Grand Slam. But not enough to drop more than a set.
Best Bet: Djokovic in Four Sets (+250) and -5.5 Games (-132)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
