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Roger Federer’s 2019 Australian Open Odds Improve; Is He a Good Bet?

Roger Federer
Roger Federer won the 2018 Australian Open but then saw his game fall apart the rest of the year. Photo by Tatiana (flickr) [CC License]
  • Roger Federer is a two-time defending Australian Open champ, but he is not favored to win this year
  • Federer has won 21 Grand Slam titles, but none since last year’s Aussie win
  • He has 99 career ATP tour wins 

The list of back-to-back Australian Open winners reads like a who’s-who of tennis royalty. Ken Rosewall. Guillermo Vilas. Johan Kriek. Mats Wilander. Ivan Lendl. Jim Courier. Andre Agassi. Novak Djokovic. And Roger Federer – twice.

Federer has won the last two Australian Opens, just as he won successive Aussie Open crowns in 2006-07. But the guy who won in 2008 is also the only player to win three Australian Opens in a row. Prior to his double in 2015-16, Novak Djokovic was a three-time winner from 2011-13, giving the Serbian star six Australian Open titles in total.

Djokovic, the world’s No. 1-ranked player, is the overwhelming favorite to win his seventh Aussie title, but taking into consideration his recent success there, should you give Federer a look as the second-betting choice?

2019 Australian Open Men’s Singles Odds

Player Odds to Win 2019 Australian Open Men’s Singles at Bovada (01/11/19)
Novak Djokovic +120
Roger Federer +450
Rafael Nadal +750
Alexander Zverev +1000
Karen Khachanov +2500
Marin Cilic +2500

*Follow link for complete list
Federer has won six Australian Open titles.

Is Roger Over and Out?

Federer’s strong start to the 2018 season resulted in him claiming the world No. 1 ranking by February. But then his game went into a tailspin. He didn’t win another tournament until October. His Grand Slam slate was empty. After skipping the French Open, he lost in the quarterfinals at Wimbledon and in the fourth round at the U.S. Open.

At 37, is it finally safe to say that Federer’s days as a ruler of the court are behind him? Well, they also said that about him in 2016 after knee and elbow injuries, and Federer came back to win Wimbledon in 2017 and the last two Australian Opens.

Can he be the Federer of old again, or is he finally just an old Federer?

Djokovic Also on Rebound

Like Federer, Djokovic endured an injury plague of the knee and elbow, although his came in 2017. But last year, a healthy Djokovic won at Wimbledon and at Forest Hills, regaining the world No. 1 slot in November.

Back in form, Djokovic is clearly at the top of his game and at 31, right in the prime of his career. He’s been unbeatable on the sport’s biggest stages since last summer, and there’s no reason to believe that’s going to change.

Who Gets to Lucky No. 7 At Australian Open First?

If either Federer or Djokovic are the winner in Sydney, they will own seven Australian Open titles. But is there anyone capable of stopping them?

Marin Cilic faced Federer in the final last year and if the form charts hold, would see him in the quarterfinals. Rafael Nadal hasn’t won in Australia since 2009, losing his last three final appearances. Alexnder Zverev and Karen Kachanov are intriguing longshots.

Still, this one looks like Djokovic’s to lose and we don’t see him losing it.

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