Wimbledon Day 4 Second Round Odds, Picks, Upsets, and Parlays
- The bottom half of the Wimbledon men’s singles draw plays its second round June 30
- No. 2 Rafael Nadal and No. 4 Stefanos Tsitsipas are expected to sail through
- Read on as we break down the matches and look for betting value on Wimbledon Day 4
The bottom half of the Wimbledon men’s singles draw has had a few more upsets than the top half.
In all, five of the 16 seeds were eliminated in the first round.
Wimbledon Day 4 Men’s Second-Round Odds
| Matchups | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ricardas Berankis (LTU) vs [2] Rafael Nadal (ESP) | +1600 / -5000 |
| Jordan Thompson (AUS) vs [4] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) | +400 / -560 |
| [19] Alex De Minaur (AUS) vs Jack Draper (GBR) | -195 / +155 |
| [26] Filip Krajinovic (SRB) vs Nick Kyrgios (AUS) | +295 / -385 |
| [WC] Liam Broady (GBR) vs [12] Diego Schwartzman (ARG) | +235 / -305 |
| Daniel Elahi Galan (COL) vs [17] Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) | +700 / -1115 |
| [WC] Alastair Gray (GBR) vs [11] Taylor Fritz (USA) | +1000 / -1667 |
| [13] Denis Shapovalov (CAN) vs Brandon Nakashima (USA) | -165 / +133 |
| Emil Ruusuvuori (FIN) vs [21] Botic Van De Zandschulp (NED) | +114 / -141 |
| [27] Lorenzo Sonego (ITA) vs Hugo Gaston (FRA) | -420 / +310 |
| Maxime Cressy (USA) vs [Q] Jack Sock (USA) | -195 / +155 |
| Cristian Garin (CHI) vs [LL] Hugo Grenier (FRA | -240 / +188 |
| Marcos Giron (USA) vs Alex Molcan (SVK) | -167 / +133 |
| [Q] Dennis Novak (AUT) vs [Q] Jason Kubler (AUS) | +138 / -175 |
| Mackenzie McDonald (USA) vs Richard Gasquet (FRA) | -143 / +115 |
| Benjamin Bonzi (FRA) vs [28] Jenson Brooksby (USA) | -157 / +125 |
Odds as of June 29 at Barstool Sportsbook
But that doesn’t include a pair of top contenders who withdrew before their opening matches because of COVID – recent former finalists Matteo Berrettini and Marin Cilic. Both were in the bottom half, replaced by lucky losers.
Only Nadal is among the top three favorites before the event began. And the current Wimbledon odds haven’t changed that much although Nadal’s have improved, and Carlos Alcaraz’s (after his tough opening round) have dropped.
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Ripe for upsets are No. 19 seed Alex de Minaur, and No. 27 Lorenzo Sonego.
Wimbledon Day 4 Parlay
The odds are fairly close on a lot of these second-round matches.
But a tennis parlay makes things very, very interesting if the underdogs can come through.
We’ve selected three very possible upsets that, put together, work out to a whopping +2911.
- British up-and-comer Jack Draper to upset No. 19 Alex de Minaur
- Lucky loser Hugo Grenier to continue his run and take care of Chilean clay-courter Cristian Garin
- Clever Frenchman Hugo Gaston to take out No. 27 seed Sonego.
As it stands, one of Jenson Brooksby, Benjamin Bonzi, Carin, or Grenier will make the second week.
And one of Botic Van de Zandschulp, Emil Ruusuvuori, Richard Gasquet, and Mackenzie also will make the second week.
Wimbledon Day 4 Matches to Watch
Denis Shapovalov vs Brandon Nakashima Pick
Shapovalov is clearly the more talented of the two players, but the odds are a lot closer than they should be, based on talent alone.
That’s because Shapovalov can go off the boil, and suffer bad patches of play that can cost him sets – and matches.
He pulled it together in his first-round win over Arthur Rinderknech when he was down two sets to one, and an early break in the fourth. But that’s not always the case.
Every opportunity brings a new lesson 🙏🏼
Happy to get off to a good start here after a tough battle! Let’s keep it going 💪🏼 #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/pGkB0WFU15
— Denis Shapovalov (@denis_shapo) June 28, 2022
However, given he suffered three consecutive opening losses on grass before arriving at Wimbledon, it could be the victory that kickstarts a serious run. Shapovalov finds himself in a quarter of the draw that gives him huge opportunities to reach the semifinals for the second straight year.
He’ll likely have a swoon, but expect him to come through.
Prediction: Shapovalov in Four Sets (+350)
Cressy vs Sock Pick
This is Cressy’s first Wimbledon main draw, although his throwback serve-volley game is made for grass.
He was considered to be a real threat to upset No. 6 seed Félix Auger-Aliassime in the first round. And it took him four hours, 10 minutes for four sets, but he did the job.
Cressy sends sixth seed Auger-Aliassime crashing out of Wimbledon https://t.co/BQBb6On8TR pic.twitter.com/gXRoGLgBjZ
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 29, 2022
Sock is a different opponent, one with fewer expectations despite his grass pedigree (as a two-time doubles champion).
This one shapes up to be a battle of serves. And the value is likely to be in the number of tiebreaks. You would expect Sock to come to the net more than Auger-Aliassime did in the first round – to try to beat Cressy at his own game a little more successfully.
Predicting tiebreaks means that each set that involves one is 13 games, so the games total should also be high (go with over 44.5 games at +125)
Prediction: Over 1.5 Tiebreaks (+108)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
