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Wimbledon Odds, Predictions, Best Bets: Djokovic -160 Favorite for 8th Title

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Jul 1, 2023 · 7:00 AM PDT

Novak Djokovic kissing Wimbledon trophy
Jul 11, 2021; London, United Kingdom; Novak Djokovic (SRB) kisses the trophy after beating Matteo Berrettini (ITA) in the men’s final on Centre Court at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports
  • Defending champion Novak Djokovic and No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz are the top favorites at this year’s Wimbledon
  • No other player has odds better than +2000
  • The main draw begins Monday; scroll down as we break Djokovic’s and Alcaraz’s chances of taking the title

The last player other than Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer or Andy Murray to win Wimbledon was Lleyton Hewitt. In 2002. This 2023 edition doesn’t figure to end that streak.

2023 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Odds

Player Moneyline
[2] Novak Djokovic (SRB) -160
[1] Carlos Alcaraz +350
[8] Jannik Sinner (ITA) +2000
[3] Daniil Medvedev (RUS) +2500
[19] Alexander Zverev (GER) +3500
[22] Sebastian Korda (USA) +3500
[9] Taylor Fritz (USA) +4000
[30] Nick Kyrgios (AUS) +4000
[6] Holger Rune (DEN) +4000
[15] Alex de Minaur (AUS) +6500
Andy Murray (GBR) +6500
[10] Frances Tiafoe (USA) +8000
[7] Andrey Rublev (RUS) +8000
[23] Alexander Bublik (KAZ) +8000
[17] Hubert Hurkacz (POL) +10000
[4] Casper Ruud (NOR) +10000
[5] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) +10000
Matteo Berrettini (ITA) +10000
[12] Cameron Norrie (GBR) +13000
[20] Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) +15000
[11] Félix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) +15000
[21] Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) +20000
[26] Denis Shapovalov (CAN) +20000
[13] Borna Coric (CRO) +25000
Adrian Mannarino (FRA) +25000
Wu Yibing (CHN) +25000
[PR] Milos Raonic (CAN) +25000

Check out our Wimbledon tracker to stay up on the latest Wimbledon odds.


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Odds as of June 30 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Seven-Time Champ Djokovic the Big Favorite

Roger Federer is retired. Rafael Nadal, who hasn’t won Wimbledon since 2010 but is always a contender at any Grand Slam tournament, is out with a hip injury.

And Andy Murray, who won it in 2013 and 2016, is a 36-year-old man with a new hip whose mere presence in the top 50 is already a victory.

Previous Wimbledon Men’s Champions

Year Champion Status
2022 Novak Djokovic Defending 4-time champion
2021 Novak Djokovic
2020 No Competition
2019 Novak Djokovic
2018 Novak Djokovic
2017 Roger Federer Retired
2016 Andy Murray  Unseeded, new hip
2015 Novak Djokovic
2014 Novak Djokovic
2013 Andy Murray

Nick Kyrgios, a finalist a year ago, had been out all year with knee surgery and while he returned two weeks ago, he has played just one match.

And 2021 finalist Matteo Berrettini also has been injured much of 2023. He has played just four ATP Tour matches in the last four months (one on grass).

Milos Raonic, the 2016 finalist, has the game and resumé to make a deep run. But he is just back after a nearly two-year absence; the 32-year-old posted just one win on grass before losing in the Netherlands and withdrawing from the tournament in Halle, Germany.

That the big-serving Canadian is among the top 20 on the odds list to win tells you how thin the chances are for everyone not named Djokovic or Alcaraz.

Wimbledon Men’s Top Seeds – Best Results

Player Appearances Main Draw Career W/L Best Result
[1] Carlos Alcaraz 17 4-2 R16 (2022)
[2] Novak Djokovic 2  86-10 7X Champion
[3] Daniil  Medvedev 5 8-4 R16 (2022)
[4] Casper Ruud 4 1-3 R64 (2022)
[5] Stefanos Tsitsipas 5 5-5 R16 (2018)
[6] Holger Rune 1 0-1 R128 (2022)
[7] Andrey Rublev 5 5-3 R16 (2022)
[8] Jannik Sinner 3 4-2 QF (2022)

Of the other seven top seeds, six had their “best” results last year. And only one, No. 8 seed Jannik Sinner, got as far as the quarterfinals.

Does No. 1 Alcaraz Have a Shot?

If Carlos Alcaraz is currently the world No. 1 by the narrowest of margins, it’s only because he won the ATP 500 at Queen’s Club last week to squeak past Djokovic.

It’s certainly not because of his grass-court experience.

But the 20-year-old’s learning curve took a leap in holding up the trophy two weeks ago. That he only defeated one top-25 player (No. 18 Alex de Minaur in the final), would be more significant if more of the higher-ranked players had good Wimbledon resumés. But they don’t.

YouTube video

He could face de Minaur again in the R16. But to face two-time champion Murray in the semifinals, the Scot would have to win five best-of-five matches on that ceramic hip.

Alcaraz crumbled physically under the mental and physical pressure of playing Djokovic in the French Open final three weeks ago. And that was the semifinals. And Djokovic is even better on grass.

He vowed to learn from it. But it’s likely too soon to for him to have taken the steps to ensure it won’t happen again. Perhaps if a Grand Slam were best-of-three sets, you would give him a shot. But over best-of-five, there’s a reason the “Big 4” have won every title at the All-England Club since 2003.

2023 Wimbledon Prediction

Djokovic may get tested by Stan Wawrinka in the third round. He might be pushed by Kyrgios in the quarters – except we don’t think Kyrgios will get even close to the final eight.

Barring an injury or other foreseen circumstances, the 36-year-old seems a lock-in to win his fifth straight Wimbledon title, and his eighth overall to tie Federer.

Pick: Novak Djokovic to win (-160)


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