Wimbledon Odds, Predictions, Best Bets: Djokovic -160 Favorite for 8th Title

• Defending champion Novak Djokovic and No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz are the top favorites at this year’s Wimbledon
• No other player has odds better than +2000

• The main draw begins Monday; scroll down as we break Djokovic’s and Alcaraz’s chances of taking the title

The last player other than Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer or Andy Murray to win Wimbledon was Lleyton Hewitt. In 2002. This 2023 edition doesn’t figure to end that streak.

2023 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Odds

Check out our Wimbledon tracker to stay up on the latest Wimbledon odds.

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Odds as of June 30 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Seven-Time Champ Djokovic the Big Favorite

Roger Federer is retired. Rafael Nadal, who hasn’t won Wimbledon since 2010 but is always a contender at any Grand Slam tournament, is out with a hip injury.

And Andy Murray, who won it in 2013 and 2016, is a 36-year-old man with a new hip whose mere presence in the top 50 is already a victory.

Previous Wimbledon Men’s Champions

Nick Kyrgios, a finalist a year ago, had been out all year with knee surgery and while he returned two weeks ago, he has played just one match.

And 2021 finalist Matteo Berrettini also has been injured much of 2023. He has played just four ATP Tour matches in the last four months (one on grass).

2022 finalist Nick Kyrgios opens his #Wimbledon campaign against former World No. 7 David Goffin!

The Aussie leads the head-to-head 3-1. pic.twitter.com/DISS1h7EyT

— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) June 30, 2023

Milos Raonic, the 2016 finalist, has the game and resumé to make a deep run. But he is just back after a nearly two-year absence; the 32-year-old posted just one win on grass before losing in the Netherlands and withdrawing from the tournament in Halle, Germany.

That the big-serving Canadian is among the top 20 on the odds list to win tells you how thin the chances are for everyone not named Djokovic or Alcaraz.

Wimbledon Men’s Top Seeds – Best Results

Of the other seven top seeds, six had their “best” results last year. And only one, No. 8 seed Jannik Sinner, got as far as the quarterfinals.

Does No. 1 Alcaraz Have a Shot?

If Carlos Alcaraz is currently the world No. 1 by the narrowest of margins, it’s only because he won the ATP 500 at Queen’s Club last week to squeak past Djokovic.

It’s certainly not because of his grass-court experience.

But the 20-year-old’s learning curve took a leap in holding up the trophy two weeks ago. That he only defeated one top-25 player (No. 18 Alex de Minaur in the final), would be more significant if more of the higher-ranked players had good Wimbledon resumés. But they don’t.

He could face de Minaur again in the R16. But to face two-time champion Murray in the semifinals, the Scot would have to win five best-of-five matches on that ceramic hip.

Alcaraz crumbled physically under the mental and physical pressure of playing Djokovic in the French Open final three weeks ago. And that was the semifinals. And Djokovic is even better on grass.

He vowed to learn from it. But it’s likely too soon to for him to have taken the steps to ensure it won’t happen again. Perhaps if a Grand Slam were best-of-three sets, you would give him a shot. But over best-of-five, there’s a reason the “Big 4” have won every title at the All-England Club since 2003.

2023 Wimbledon Prediction

Djokovic may get tested by Stan Wawrinka in the third round. He might be pushed by Kyrgios in the quarters – except we don’t think Kyrgios will get even close to the final eight.

Barring an injury or other foreseen circumstances, the 36-year-old seems a lock-in to win his fifth straight Wimbledon title, and his eighth overall to tie Federer.

Pick: Novak Djokovic to win (-160)