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Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Odds & Picks – WNBA Finals Game 1

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in WNBA

Updated Sep 10, 2022 · 6:14 PM PDT

Chelsea Gray moves the ball with A'ja Wilson running the floor
Jul 26, 2022; Chicago, IL, USA; Las Vegas Aces guard Chelsea Gray (12) moves the ball with Las Vegas Aces forward A'ja Wilson (22) against the Chicago Sky during the second half of the Commissioners Cup-Championships at Wintrust Arena. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
  • The top-seed Las Vegas Aces and the third-seed Connecticut Sun begin the best-of-five WNBA Finals at 3pm ET on Sunday, Sept. 11th in Las Vegas
  • Both Las Vegas and Connecticut are looking to win their first championship in franchise history
  • See below for the latest Sun vs Aces picks, odds analysis and best bet

The championship series is finally here in the WNBA, with the WNBA Finals set to tip off on Sunday, Sept. 11th. The top-seed Las Vegas Aces and the third-seed Connecticut Suns will begin a best-of-five series to see who will be crowned 2022 Champion. Game 1 will tip off at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas at 3pm ET on ABC.

It will be an historic WNBA Finals, as the Aces and Sun are both searching for their first league title in franchise history.

Sun vs Aces WNBA Finals Game 1 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Connecticut Sun +6.0 (-110) +222 Over 169.0 (-110)
Las Vegas Aces -6.0 (-110) -278 Under 169.0 (-110)

Odds as of Sept. 10th from Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the WNBA.

Coming into the game, the Aces are six-point favorites over the Sun.


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Las Vegas Early Favorites

The Aces have been favorites in the 2022 WNBA Championship Odds all postseason long, and they enter the WNBA Finals in a similar spot as heavy favorites to come out on top. Ahead of Game 1, Las Vegas has odds of -260, clear favorites over Connecticut at +200.

So far this postseason, the Aces have breezed through to the championship series, sweeping the Phoenix Mercury 2-0 in the first round before eliminating the Seattle Storm 3-1 in the semifinals. Las Vegas is returning to the Finals for the first time since 2020 when it fell to Seattle for the league title.

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Las Vegas will use its balanced attack and firepower within its starting lineup heavily once again against Connecticut, much like we’ve seen to this point in the playoffs so far. One key for the Aces will come in the backcourt, an area they will have an advantage in over the Sun. Las Vegas’ guard duo of Chelsea Gray and Kelsey Plum have been outstanding this postseason, with Gray averaging a team-best 24.0 points, 7.7 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 1.2 steals and Plum averaging 18.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists in the playoffs.

Connecticut’s Underdog Journey

The Sun enter the WNBA Finals as underdogs, but that isn’t unfamiliar territory for third-seeded Connecticut. The Sun are aiming to pull off another upset in the championship series after taking down the defending champion Chicago Sky in the semifinals.

Connecticut enters the Finals after battling through two lengthy series in the first round and semifinal round. The Sun went the distance in the best-of-three first round matchup against the Dallas Wings, taking that series 2-1, while taking the semifinals matchup against Chicago to five games to pull out a 3-2 win in that series. Now, Connecticut shifts its focus to the top team in the WNBA in Las Vegas to try and keep that underdog trend going.

A few keys for the Sun in the championship series will be their performance in the paint and on the defensive end of the floor. Connecticut holds an advantage over Las Vegas with its dominant post group led by Jonquel Jones and Alyssa Thomas. The Sun also feature a stellar defensive group, which will be needed to step up and try and shut down an Aces offense that is one of the more dominant units in the league.

Sun vs Aces Pick

Although Las Vegas enters the WNBA Finals as clear favorites, as is the case right away in Game 1 with the Aces listed as six-point favorites, this series will be a back-and-forth battle between two teams who excel in different areas to counter each others strengths.

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In the end, Las Vegas should not only come out on top in the first game of the best-of-five series, but the Aces should be able to pull out a victory in the series overall to claim their first title in franchise history. In Game 1, go with Las Vegas defending home court and eventually taking this series in five or six games.

For the best bet in Sunday’s Game 1, take the under on the over/under total of 169 points. Las Vegas does have a talented offense and Connecticut’s offense can put up points as well, but these two teams could keep the scoring totals lower in the championship series with the play of the oppositions defense.

  • The Pick: Under 169.0 (-110)
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