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Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx Odds & Picks – WNBA July 12

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in WNBA

Updated Jul 11, 2023 · 8:42 PM UTC

Diamond Miller upset at call
May 13, 2023; Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Minnesota Lynx forward Diamond Miller (1) complains to the official about a call against Chicago Sky during the second half at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dallas Wings are 1.5-point road favorites when they visit the Minnesota Lynx in WNBA play Wednesday
  • Dallas has won four of five, while the Lynx just had their 5-game win streak snapped
  • See below for the latest Wings vs Lynx picks, odds, analysis and best bet

Two teams with visions of moving up the WNBA playoff standings clash when the Dallas Wings (10-9, 3-7 away) visit the Minnesota Lynx (9-10, 4-6 home).

Dallas is sixth in the W, and have reeled off four wins in their last five outings, including last time out against Indiana.

Minnesota, meanwhile, is just a win behind them in seventh, and just had their five-game win streak snapped.

Action gets underway Wednesday (July 12) at 1pm ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis. You can watch the game live on Twitter.

Wings vs Lynx Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Dallas Wings -1.5 (-110) -120 Ov 168.5 (-110)
Minnesota Lynx +1.5 (-110) +100 Un 168.5 (-110)

The Wings are 1.5-point favorites, and -120 on the moneyline, an implied win probability of 54.55%. The total is set at 168.5 points, with both teams averaging better than 80+ points per game on the season.

Dallas has just three road wins in 10 starts this season, though they have won two of their last three away from home.

Minnesota has just four wins in 10 games at Target, though they had won three straight before dropping a decision to the Aces last game.


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Odds as of July 11 from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Wings Escape Indiana With Win

Dallas can thank star Arike Ogunbowale for their 77-76 win over the Indiana Fever.

The 26-year-old guard scored 14 of her game-high 28 points in the fourth quarter, including the final 10 to send the fever to their seventh straight loss. Ogunbowale also added five assists, four rebounds and a pair of steals.

On the year, she’s putting up 21.8 points and 3.1 rebounds per game, and has been Dallas’ top scorer in nine games.

Natasha Howard was the only other Wing to top double-digits, finishing with 16 points, eight rebounds and three blocks.

Dallas is the only team in the WNBA to post a sub-30% mark from three-point range, but they’re still fifth in scoring, powered by leading the league in rebounding (39.1), second-chance points (13.6) and fast-break points (13.9).

Lynx Tamed By Vegas

Minnesota made hay in the soft part of their schedule, picking up a pair of wins over both the Seattle Storm and Phoenix Mercury, and another over the Fever — the three worst teams in the WNBA Championship odds.

That momentum came to a crashing halt when they were crushed 113-89 by the league-leading Las Vegas Aces — the third straight meeting they’ve lost by 20+ points to them.

Napheesa Collier was one of six Lynx players to score in double-digits, finishing with a team-high 18 points and five rebounds. Diamond Miller had 15 points, four rebounds and three assists.

Defensively, they let the opposition shoot 59.7% from the field, including a 17-for-39 mark from distance (43.6%).

It’s been like that much of the year, as Minny surrenders the 5th-most points (84.4), allowing teams to shoot 45% from the field (10th) and second-to-last in three-point shooting defense, with teams averaging a 36.3% clip.

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Wings vs Lynx Betting Prediction

This is just the second meeting between these teams this season, with Dallas winning 94-89 at home back on May 30. At the time, it extended Minnesota’s season-opening losing streak to five games.

Howard was the high scorer for Dallas with 25 points and seven boards, but she was well supported. Satou Sabally had 23 points, 11 rebounds, five assists and three steals , and Ogunbowale finished with 21 points.

Wings vs Lynx Head-to-Head Stats

Dallas Wings
Minnesota Lynx
83.6 (5th) Points Per Game 80.4 (8th)
41.6% (11th) Field Goal Percentage 42.8% (9th)
28.2% (12th) Three-Point Percentage 31.9% (9th)
39.1 (1st) Rebounds 34.5 (6th)
18.4 (10th) Assists 19.3 (6th)
14.3 (7th) Turnovers 13.7 (T-2)
+0.8 (5th) +/- -4.0 (10th)

Kayla McBride had 18 points, four rebounds and three assists, while Collier had 17 points, three rebounds and a pair of steals for Minnesota.

These teams are bottom-4 in shooting from the field and three-point range, so look for Dallas to take advantage of their W-best 11.8 offensive rebounds per game, and score inside, where they’re top-4 in paint points (38.8).

  • The Pick: Wings -1.5 (-110)
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