2021 NFL Draft Odds Tracker

• Look back to all the 2021 NFL Draft odds and how they changed leading up to Draft night
• Trevor Lawrence was taken first overall but many players experienced major rises/falls vs their expectations
• Looking for current NFL Draft odds?

At SBD, we tracked all the 2021 NFL Draft odds and props available across all sportsbooks. Among others, we have odds to be taken with the first five picks of the 2021 NFL Draft, player draft position over/unders, and first player drafted at each position.

The odds in the graphs below are an average from multiple sportsbooks and will be updated with every major change.

Jump to: Player Draft Position Over/Unders | Top 5/10 Pick | Selected in 1st Round | Player Selected First | 2nd/3rd/4th/5th Overall Pick | First Player Selected at Each Position | Team Selecting First

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Player Draft Position Over/Unders

Odds as of April 29

To be clear, if you bet the over on one of these players, you are saying he will be drafted later than the line listed. The under is saying he will be drafted earlier than the listed line.

Here are some notes on the movement we’ve seen in draft position over/unders:

• [April 29] Trey Lance’s draft position has just dropped to 3.5 with the under favored at -160. Mac Jones’ over/under is still listed at 3.5, but the over is now favored at -160. The under on Jones’ draft position was as short as -300 earlier today.
• [April 29] Despite Denver trading for Teddy Bridgewater, and potentially pulling themselves out of the market for a QB in the first round, Justin Fields and Trey Lance’s draft position over/unders remain at 7.5 and 6.5, respectively.
• [April 26] Justin Fields’ draft position had been hovering around 3.5 to 4.5 prior to today’s news of San Francisco apparently narrowing their decision to Mac Jones or Trey Lance. The result has been Fields’ draft position dropping to as low as 8.5 at FanDuel. It is 6.5 right now at DraftKings.
• [April 23] Najee Harris and Alijah Vera-Tucker have seen their draft positions increase significantly over the last week. Harris has gone from 29.5 to as low as 24.5 at some sportsbooks, while Vera-Tucker has moved from as low as 22.5 to now 15.5.

Odds to Be a Top 5 and Top 10 Pick

Odds as of April 29

• [April 26] Justin Fields has gone from -250 odds to be selected in the top five to now even money. Micah Parsons has also seen his odds to be selected in the top ten completely fall off. Parsons was a near lock to be selected in the top ten at -500 odds at the beginning of April; he is now at an average of +120.

Odds to Be Selected in First Round

Odds as of April 29

Odds to Be Selected First Overall in 2021 NFL Draft

• Top 5
• Top 10
• All

Odds to Be No. 1 Pick

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the odds movement we’ve seen:

• [April 29] Trevor Lawrence’s odds to go first-overall have reached a new best, as some sportsbooks list him as short as -50000
• [March 10] Zach Wilson is the clear second choice in the odds to be taken first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, but it’s a foregone conclusion that Trevor Lawrence will go first
• [February 23] Some sportsbooks now give BYU’s Zach Wilson the second-best odds to be taken first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, though Lawrence is still the heavy favorite. Justin Fields still has the second-best average odds
• [January 12] Despite being knocked out of the College Football Playoffs in the semifinals, Trevor Lawrence is still heavily favored to go first-overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. Justin Fields’ odds improved slightly, from +1100 to +1000, after two strong showings in the CFP
• [December 29] Trevor Lawrence is a near lock to go first-overall, now listed at average odds of -5500. BYU’s Zach Wilson has shown up on the board for the first time, given +3000 odds to be taken with the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [December 8] Though Lawrence’s Heisman odds are fading, his odds to go first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft remain at an average of -625, just slightly longer than the -750 he was listed at a month ago
• [November 12] Fields’ odds have faded from +280 to +725, still the second-best odds on the board. Trey Lance of North Dakota State has emerged with +2250 odds, the fourth-best on the board.
• [August 1] Justin Fields’ odds have improved from +300 to +280, while Penei Sewell’s odds plummeted from +400 to +900. The Ohio State quarterback appears to be the lone threat to Trevor Lawrence going first overall.
• [April 25, 2020] Although he lost in the National Championship, Trevor Lawrence had a great sophomore season at Clemson, and he is now the odds-on favorite to be selected first overall in 2021.
• [January 8, 2019] Trevor Lawrence is such a highly-touted prospect that he has opened with +100 odds to be selected first in the 2021 NFL Draft, which is still more than two years away.

Odds to Be 2nd/3rd/4th/5th Overall Pick in NFL Draft

• 2nd Pick
• 3rd Pick
• 4th Pick
• 5th Pick

Odds to Be Taken in Picks 2-5

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the odds movement:

• [April 29] Some oddsmaker must have some insider info, as all sportsbooks have now flipped Trey Lance to the favorite in odds to be the third-overall pick. Lance overtakes Mac Jones as the favorite, who was as short as -278 a few days ago. Lance was as long as +625 two weeks ago.
• [April 26] After reports have surfaced that the 49ers have narrowed their selection to Mac Jones or Trey Lance at no. 3, Justin Fields’ odds have worsened significantly. Mac Jones is now the heavy favorite, while Lance has the second-best odds. Fields is as long as +700.
• [April 21] Justin Fields’ time as the favorite to be selected third overall lasted less than a week, as Mac Jones is back atop the board. Kyle Pitts is now the favorite to be taken fourth overall.
• [April 15] After Mac Jones became the favorite to be taken third overall for one week, the odds are swinging back in Justin Fields’ favor to be selected by the 49ers at no. 3
• [April 8] Zach Wilson has become a near lock to be taken second overall, while Mac Jones is now the odds-on favorite to be taken third overall
• [March 29] With news of 49ers’, who just traded up to acquire the third overall pick, GM John Lynch and head coach Kyle Shanahan attending Mac Jones’ second Pro Day, the Bama quarterback has gone from having no odds to be taken third overall to the favorite
• [March 10] Ja’Marr Chase’s odds to be taken third overall in the 2021 NFL Draft have recovered, as he’s back to +250, the second-best odds on the board
• [February 22] Zach Wilson is now the odds-on favorite to be taken second overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, while Justin Fields has emerged as the favorite to be taken third overall
• [February 12] Zach Wilson has opened as the favorite to be taken no. 2 in the 2021 NFL Draft; Devonta Smith is the slight favorite to be taken third overall, with fellow wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase close on his tail

Odds to Be First Player Taken at Each Position

• 1st RB
• 1st WR
• 1st OL
• 1st CB
• 1st S
• 1st DL
• 1st LB
• 1st Non-QB
• 2nd QB
• 3rd QB

First at Each Position Odds

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the movement:

• [April 29] The gap between Kwity Paye and Jaelan Phillips’ odds to be the first defensive lineman taken is closing. Paye’s odds are now just -125, while Phillips is listed at +140.
• [April 21] With concerns over DeVonta Smith’s weight heating up, Jaylen Waddle now has the second-best odds to be the first wide receiver taken in the 2021 NFL Draft. Ja’Marr Chase is still the clear favorite to be the first wide receiver taken.
• [April 8] Ja’Marr Chase is now the heavy favorite to be the first wide receiver taken in the 2021 NFL Draft; Patrick Surtain II has leaped Caleb Farley, as has Jaycee Horn, in the odds to be the first corner taken; Kyle Pitts and Penei Sewell are the co-favorites to be the first non-quarterback taken in the draft.
• [March 10] Najee Harris has overtaken Travis Etienne as the favorite to be the first running back taken in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [February 22] Travis Etienne has opened as the odds-on favorite to be the first running back taken, while Ja’Marr Chase is the odds-on favorite to be the first wide receiver taken in spite of Devonta Smith’s Heisman season

Second/Third QB Taken Odds

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the movement:

• [April 29] Although Mac Jones is the favorite to be the third quarterback drafted, Justin Fields has better odds than Jones to be the second quarterback drafted
• [February 22] Zach Wilson has now become the odds-on favorite to be the second quarterback taken in the 2021 NFL Draft, while Trey Lance has fallen further behind Justin Fields for the second-best odds
• [February 12] Zach Wilson has opened as the favorite to be the second quarterback taken in the NFL Draft. Justin Fields and Trey Lance are the co-favorites to be the third QB taken

Odds to Have First Overall Pick in 2021 NFL Draft

• Top 5
• Top 10
• All

Closing Odds to Get No. 1 Pick

*Odds as of December 20

Here are some notes on the movement we’ve seen in the odds:

• [December 27] The Jets picked up their second win of the season in Week 16, beating the Browns. The Jaguars, on the other hand, lost to the Bears. As a result, Jacksonville has locked up the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [December 20] New York recorded their first win of the season in Week 15, taking down the heavily-favored Rams. With the win, the Jets see the Jaguars overtake them as the favorites to get the first-overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [December 8] The Jets remain the odds-on favorites to pick first in the 2021 NFL Draft thanks to an 0-12 start, but the Jaguars have short odds as well, only being one win ahead of New York
• [October 20] After an 0-6 start to the season, the Jets have become the odds-on favorites to get the first overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [April 1, 2020] The Panthers, Bengals, Jaguars, and Football Team (Washington) have opened as the co-favorites to have the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft