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  • Look back at the odds for all 32 teams to make the 2022-23 NFL Playoffs
  • See how each team’s NFL playoff odds changed throughout the 2022 NFL season
  • Looking for current NFL playoff odds?

The 2022 NFL regular season concluded January 8, 2023 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2022-23 NFL Playoffs, which began January 14, 2023. We tracked the odds for all 32 NFL teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds open, right through to Week 18.

The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our most trusted sports betting apps and sites including Caesars Sportsbook, Barstool Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

AFC / NFC

Odds to Make NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams

The final odds to make and miss the 2022-23 NFL playoffs for all AFC teams are below.

AFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Buffalo Bills AFC East OTB OTB
Kansas City Chiefs AFC West OTB OTB
Cincinnati Bengals AFC North OTB OTB
Baltimore Ravens AFC North OTB OTB
Los Angeles Chargers AFC West OTB OTB
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South -225 +175
Miami Dolphins AFC East n/a n/a
Tennessee Titans AFC South +175 +225
New York Jets AFC East n/a n/a
New England Patriots AFC East n/a n/a
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC North +1000 -2500
Las Vegas Raiders AFC West +8000 n/a
Cleveland Browns AFC North OTB OTB
Indianapolis Colts AFC South OTB OTB
Denver Broncos AFC West OTB OTB
Houston Texans AFC South OTB OTB

Odds as of December 27 

As the season progresses, and some teams are either eliminated from playoff contention or clinch a playoff berth, you will see them come “OTB” (Off the Board).

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [January 7] The following teams made the NFL playoffs from the AFC: the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Baltimore Ravens, and Miami Dolphins.
  • [October 12] The Dolphins’ odds to make the playoffs were listed at -400 two weeks ago, but back-to-back losses and an injury to Tua Tagovailoa has seen them fade a bit. Surprisingly, even as the Dolphins prepare to start Skylar Thompson under center in Week 6, Miami still has -175 odds to make the playoffs.
  • [September 27] The Jaguars’ odds to make the playoffs are still listed at +130 in spite of their great start to the season. Those are just the tenth-best odds in the conference, and behind the likes of Cleveland and Cincinnati. Miami now has the third-best odds to make the AFC playoffs after beating the Bills in Week 3.
  • [September 20] The Broncos, Titans, Bengals, and Colts were seen as heavy favorites to make the playoffs before the season started, but are all now given better odds to miss the playoffs after very disappointing starts to the season. The Dolphins are heading in the right direction, though, and are now -175 to get in.
  • [September 7] The Browns, who were once -150 favorites to make the NFL playoffs, are now listed at +178 odds. This puts them behind the Raiders, Dolphins, and Patriots on the odds board.
  • [July 27] With Deshaun Watson potentially being served a suspension, the Cleveland Browns’ playoff odds have been taken off the board.
  • [April 11] The Browns have opened with -150 odds to make the 2022-23 NFL playoffs. They have better odds than Cincinnati, Baltimore, and Tennessee.
  • [March 28] Odds to make the NFL playoffs have opened, as well as odds to miss the NFL playoffs. The following teams from the AFC opened as the favorites to make the playoffs: Buffalo, Kansas City, Indianapolis, Denver, Los Angeles (Chargers), Cincinnati, and Baltimore. The Browns did not have odds at opening.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Make Playoffs for NFC Teams

The NFC team who opened with the best odds to make the 2022-23 NFL playoffs was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with -625 odds. That was in large part thanks to three-time NFL MVP quarterback Tom Brady announcing his return to the Bucs during the offseason.

Though the Bucs did end up making the playoffs, their ticket was not as certain as the opening odds suggested.

NFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East OTB OTB
Minnesota Vikings NFC North OTB OTB
San Francisco 49ers NFC West OTB OTB
Dallas Cowboys NFC East OTB OTB
New York Giants NFC East -1000 +650
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South -360 +250
Washington Commanders NFC East n/a n/a
Green Bay Packers NFC North +175 -225
Carolina Panthers NFC South +300 -400
Seattle Seahawks NFC West +350 -500
Detroit Lions NFC North +350 -500
New Orleans Saints NFC South +2000 -10000
Los Angeles Rams NFC West OTB OTB
Atlanta Falcons NFC South OTB OTB
Arizona Cardinals NFC West OTB OTB
Chicago Bears NFC North OTB OTB

*Odds as of December 27.

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [January 7] The following teams made the playoffs from the NFC: the Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, Minnesota Vikings, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Seattle Seahawks.
  • [October 12] The Dallas Cowboys’ playoff odds had plummeted to +240 after losing to the Bucs in Week 1 and seeing Dak Prescott suffer a hand injury. Dallas is now -460 to make the playoffs after Cooper Rush has won four straight games.
  • [September 27] Philadelphia now has the best odds among NFC teams to make the playoffs. Thanks to a seemingly easier division, the Buccaneers still have the second-best odds to make the playoffs, despite losing to Green Bay in Week 3.
  • [September 20] The Cowboys’ odds to make the playoffs have recovered after Cooper Rush led them to a surprise win over the Bengals. Dallas is back to +130 after fading to +240 following their Week 1 loss to the Bucs and Dak Prescott’s hand injury. The Giants, despite being 2-0, are still given better odds to miss the playoffs.
  • [July 27] The Eagles’ odds to make the playoffs have been steadily improving since they acquired AJ Brown from the Titans on Day 1 of the NFL Draft. Philadelphia now has the sixth-best odds to make the playoffs in the NFC.
  • [March 28] Odds to make the NFL playoffs in the NFC have opened. The following teams from the NFC are favored to make the playoffs: Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Dallas, Los Angeles (Rams), San Francisco, and Arizona. The team with the seventh-best odds is Minnesota.
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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.