2024-25 NFL Conference Championship Odds Tracker
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
We are tracking the odds to win the 2025 AFC and NFC Championships all season long—also read as which two teams will play in Super Bowl 59—from the moment they open. The graphs containing NFL conference championship odds below have been generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources.
You can see the most recent odds to win each NFL conference, as well as how the odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have changed throughout the course of the 2024-25 NFL season.
Odds to Win 2025 AFC Championship
After winning their second straight AFC Championship, the Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the AFC in 2024-25 as well. Their odds continued to get better with each win until they lost Rashee Rice to what is feared to be a season-ending knee injury in Week 4. KC remains favored, but their odds did worsen a touch after Week 4, only to bounce back after their offense continued to roll without Rice in Week 5.
The team with the biggest difference in opening AFC Championship odds from last year is the Houston Texans. They began last year with the worst odds to win the conference (+10000), but opened this season at +1300, which was the sixth-best on the board, and are now as short as +550, which is third-best.
AFC Championship Odds
Team
Best Odds
KC 
BAL 
HOU 
BUF 
CIN 
NYJ 
PIT 
LAC 
IND 
MIA 
DEN 
TEN 
JAX 
CLE 
LV 
NE Kansas City is the favorite to win the AFC. The Chiefs are given +250 odds to win their third straight AFC title. If you bet $20 on KC, you would stand to win $50 and return $70. The Chiefs probability of winning the conference is 28.6%.
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The teams with the next-best odds to win the AFC Championship are the Ravens (+390), Texans (+550), Bills (+550), and Jets (+1800).
AFC Conference odds in the table above are updated every 20-30 minutes from DraftKings, FanDuel and other top sportsbooks; if you’re not with DraftKings yet, be sure to check out our DraftKings promo code before making any bets.
Here are some notes on the AFC Championship odds movement:
- [October 1] The Chiefs remained the favorites after potentially losing Rashee Rice for the season, though their odds did fade a little from +232 to +300. Baltimore’s dominant win over the Bills in Week 4 resulted in their AFC championship odds going from +675 to +425, leaping both the Texans and Bills.
- [September 24] Both the Chargers and Dolphins saw their AFC Championship odds plummet following Week 3. Miami played their first game of the season without Tua Tagovailoa and it did not go well. LA got beat up by the Steelers in Week 3 and their QB, Justin Herbert, reaggravated his ankle injury. Miami fell from +2000 odds to +3800, while LA went from +2067 to +3400.
- [September 17] In spite of starting the season 0-2, the Ravens still had the fourth-best odds to win the AFC following a Week 2 upset at the hands of the Raiders. They did have the second-best prior to Week 2, though, and saw their odds fade a little from +600 to +800. With the Tua Tagovailoa injury, Miami’s conference odds plummeted from +1050 to +2000.
- [September 9] Cincinnati’s odds to win the AFC went from +725 to +1100 after being upset by the Patriots in Week 1. The Bengals lost outright in spite of being the league’s heaviest Week 1 favorite, laying more than a touchdown. Their odds haven’t completely plummeted, though, as many believe this was just a bad week resulting from Ja’Marr Chase not having practiced with the team all offseason, as well as Tee Higgins missing the game.
- [August 15] The Bills conference odds took another hit, this time going from +720 to +850, as defensive leader Matt Milano tore his bicep.
- [April 29] The Steelers saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +4050 to +3260 after signing Russell Wilson. They continued to shorten, down to +2471 at this point, after trading for Justin Fields and addressing some offensive line needs in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Dolphins’ AFC Championship odds worsened from +1080 to +1257 after drafting players who are unlikely to start this season early in the draft.
- [April 3] After acquiring Stefon Diggs from the Bills, Houston’s AFC Championship odds improved from +1240 to as short as +700.
- [February 21] The Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win the AFC Championship in 2024-25. This comes as no surprise after they have won the past two.
Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 AFC Championship game:
- The New England Patriots have won 11 AFC Championships, the most conference championships of any team in the NFL
- The Chiefs have won four of the last five AFC Championships
- Three AFC teams have never been to a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars
- The Patriots have won three of the last eight AFC Championships, and four of the last ten, but all came with Tom Brady under center
- No AFC South team has won an AFC Championship since 2010, when the the Indianapolis Colts did so with Peyton Manning
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
Odds to Win 2025 NFC Championship
The 49ers opened as the favorites to win the NFC Championship again. San Francisco was dominant last season and has returned nearly all the key parts of their roster. Even after a slow start to the season, the 49ers remain the favorites.
NFC Championship Odds
SF 
DET 
MIN 
PHI 
GB 
ATL 
DAL 
WAS 
TB 
CHI 
SEA 
NO 
ARI 
LA 
NYG 
CAR The 49ers are the favorites to win the NFC with +425 odds. If you bet $20 on San Francisco, you would stand to win $85 and return $105. Based off those odds, the probability of the 49ers winning the NFC Championship this season is 19.1%.
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- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
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- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $300 IF YOUR BET WINS!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS + 2ND CHANCE TD CASH BACK!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
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The Lions (+550), Vikings (+550), Eagles (+800), and Packers (+1100) round out the top five contenders in the NFC.
Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:
- [October 1] Minnesota’s Week 4 win in Green Bay finally saw them become a top five contender in the NFC, as their odds improved from +1133 to +750, which were tied for third-best at the time. The Eagles remained a top five contender in spite of an awful loss to the Bucs in Week 4.
- [September 24] San Francisco remained the NFC favorites after dropping their Week 3 matchup with the Rams, marking their second straight loss. However, the 49ers did see their NFC odds fade from +278 to +460. Minnesota’s NFC Championship odds continue to improve, as they won their third straight game to start the season, this time downing the Texans in Week 3. The Vikings saw their odds go from +1867 to +1200, which is still only sixth-best on the board.
- [September 17] Despite all losing in Week 2, the 49ers, Lions, Eagles, and Cowboys (who were embarrassed) remained the top four contenders to win the NFC with very little odds movement. Looking to the teams who provided those upsets, the Saints moved from +2800 to +1300, Buccaneers from +2800 to +1600, and Vikings from +2950 to +1800. The Falcons didn’t see their odds move much.
- [September 9] In spite of a very slow start, the Eagles did find their footing in Week 1 and looked like the team who went to the Super Bowl two years ago. Their win over the Packers in Brazil, largely thanks to Saquon Barkley’s big game, resulted in their odds improving from +600 to +475, overtaking the Lions for the second-best odds to win the NFC. The Packers and Falcons saw the biggest dips in NFC odds, as the Packers went from +825 to +1700 after their loss to the Eagles, but more importantly, losing Jordan Love for 3-6 weeks, and the Falcons went from +1250 to +1800 after their offense looked like it needs a lot of work.
- [July 24] Bettors have been favoring the Chicago Bears with their new-look offense, led by first-overall pick Caleb Williams, and we have seen the Bears’ odds to win the NFC improve from +1700 to +1500 as a result of money coming in on them.
- [March 15] With Cousins gone and no immediate answer at QB, the Vikings have seen their NFC odds fade from +2000 to +3000.
- [March 11] The Falcons’ NFC Championship odds improved from as long as +2000 to +1200 after landing free agent QB Kirk Cousins. Philadelphia’s odds improved slightly, going from +850 to +750, after signing Saquon Barkley.
- [February 21] The San Francisco 49ers have opened as heavy favorites to win the NFC Championship for a second straight season. The Lions, who blew a big lead to the 49ers in last year’s NFC title game, opened with the second-best odds.
Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 NFC Championship game:
- Since 1999, only one team has repeated as NFC Champions: the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 and 2015
- The NFC’s no. 1 or 2 seed has represented the conference in the Super Bowl 11 of the last 13 years—it has not happened in two of the last five years
- No NFC North team has won an NFC Championship since 2011 when the Green Bay Packers did it
- The Detroit Lions are the only NFC team who has never won the conference championship
Archived NFL Conference Championship Odds: 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.
