2024-25 NFL Conference Championship Odds Tracker

We are tracking the odds to win the 2025 AFC and NFC Championships all season long—also read as which two teams will play in Super Bowl 59—from the moment they open. The graphs containing NFL conference championship odds below have been generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources.

You can see the most recent odds to win each NFL conference, as well as how the odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have changed throughout the course of the 2024-25 NFL season.

AFC | NFC

Odds to Win 2025 AFC Championship

After winning their second straight AFC Championship, the Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the AFC in 2024-25 as well. Their odds continued to get better with each win until they lost Rashee Rice to a season-ending knee injury in Week 4. KC remained the favorites right through to Week 13, but were knocked out by the Buffalo Bills for one week.

Kansas City managed to take back over as the favorite following Week 14, then Buffalo’s big win over the Lions in Week 15 moved the Bills back atop the odds. However, Kansas City took back over after the Bills nearly lost to the Patriots at home in Week 16.

The team with the biggest difference in opening AFC Championship odds from last year is the Houston Texans. They began last year with the worst odds to win the conference (+10000), but opened this season at +1300, which was the sixth-best on the board, and are now as short as +1000, which is fifth-best.

AFC Championship Odds

Team	Best Odds
KC	+140 BET NOW	+135 BET NOW	+135 BET NOW	+140 BET NOW	- BET NOW
BAL	+225 BET NOW	+210 BET NOW	+210 BET NOW	+225 BET NOW	- BET NOW
BUF	+255 BET NOW	+240 BET NOW	+255 BET NOW	+240 BET NOW	- BET NOW
HOU	+1800 BET NOW	+1800 BET NOW	+1800 BET NOW	+1800 BET NOW	- BET NOW

Kansas City is the favorite to win the AFC Championship. The Chiefs are given +155 odds to win the AFC Championship. If you bet $20 on Kansas City, you would stand to win $31 and return $51. The Chiefs’ probability of winning the conference is 39.2%.

The teams with the next-best odds to win the AFC Championship are the Bills (+280), Ravens (+280), Chargers (+1400), and Texans (+3000).

AFC Conference odds in the table above are updated every 20-30 minutes from DraftKings, FanDuel and other top sportsbooks; if you’re not with DraftKings yet, be sure to check out our DraftKings promo code before making any bets.

Here are some notes on the AFC Championship odds movement:

• [December 23] Buffalo’s narrow victory over the Patriots in Week 16, along with Kansas City’s good showing against the Texans, resulted in the Chiefs taking back the best odds to win the AFC.
• [December 17] The Bills moved back into the top spot in the AFC title odds after beating the Lions in Week 15.
• [December 10] Buffalo’s reign atop the AFC Championship odds lasted just one week, as the Chiefs took back over following the Bills’ Week 14 loss to the Rams.
• [December 3] The aftermath of Week 13 marked the first time this season the Kansas City Chiefs were not favored to win the AFC. Their poor performance against the Raiders on Black Friday, paired with Buffalo’s dominant win over the 49ers, resulted in the Bills taking over as the AFC favorites.
• [November 19] Buffalo handed Kansas City their first loss of the season in Week 11, but the Chiefs remained the favorites to win the AFC Championship. The Bills did move ahead of the Ravens for second-best odds with the big win, though, as Baltimore also suffered another loss in Week 11.
• [October 29] Sportsbooks really soured on the Bengals and Jets after Week 8. New York was upset by the Patriots and Cincinnati lost by three scores at home to the Eagles. The Jets’ AFC Championship odds faded from +2725 to +6000, while the Bengals’ odds went from +1625 to +2100.
• [October 15] After acquiring Davante Adams, the Jets saw their AFC Championship odds remain what they were prior to Week 6. Their odds worsened immediately after losing to the Bills in Week 6 MNF, but the Adams trade negated that dip. Buffalo’s NFL conference odds saw a very slight improvement after landing Amari Cooper from the Browns. Though their odds did not improve a ton, it was enough to move ahead of the Texans, who they had been tied with entering Week 6.
• [October 1] The Chiefs remained the favorites after potentially losing Rashee Rice for the season, though their odds did fade a little from +232 to +300. Baltimore’s dominant win over the Bills in Week 4 resulted in their AFC championship odds going from +675 to +425, leaping both the Texans and Bills.
• [September 24] Both the Chargers and Dolphins saw their AFC Championship odds plummet following Week 3. Miami played their first game of the season without Tua Tagovailoa and it did not go well. LA got beat up by the Steelers in Week 3 and their QB, Justin Herbert, reaggravated his ankle injury. Miami fell from +2000 odds to +3800, while LA went from +2067 to +3400.
• [September 17] In spite of starting the season 0-2, the Ravens still had the fourth-best odds to win the AFC following a Week 2 upset at the hands of the Raiders. They did have the second-best prior to Week 2, though, and saw their odds fade a little from +600 to +800. With the Tua Tagovailoa injury, Miami’s conference odds plummeted from +1050 to +2000.
• [September 9] Cincinnati’s odds to win the AFC went from +725 to +1100 after being upset by the Patriots in Week 1. The Bengals lost outright in spite of being the league’s heaviest Week 1 favorite, laying more than a touchdown. Their odds haven’t completely plummeted, though, as many believe this was just a bad week resulting from Ja’Marr Chase not having practiced with the team all offseason, as well as Tee Higgins missing the game.
• [August 15] The Bills conference odds took another hit, this time going from +720 to +850, as defensive leader Matt Milano tore his bicep.
• [April 29] The Steelers saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +4050 to +3260 after signing Russell Wilson. They continued to shorten, down to +2471 at this point, after trading for Justin Fields and addressing some offensive line needs in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Dolphins’ AFC Championship odds worsened from +1080 to +1257 after drafting players who are unlikely to start this season early in the draft.
• [April 3] After acquiring Stefon Diggs from the Bills, Houston’s AFC Championship odds improved from +1240 to as short as +700.
• [February 21] The Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win the AFC Championship in 2024-25. This comes as no surprise after they have won the past two.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 AFC Championship game:

• The New England Patriots have won 11 AFC Championships, the most conference championships of any team in the NFL
• The Chiefs have won four of the last five AFC Championships
• Three AFC teams have never been to a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars
• The Patriots have won three of the last eight AFC Championships, and four of the last ten, but all came with Tom Brady under center
• No AFC South team has won an AFC Championship since 2010, when the the Indianapolis Colts did so with Peyton Manning

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Win 2025 NFC Championship

The 49ers opened as the favorites to win the NFC Championship again, but their slow start (and now lengthy list of injuries) finally caught up with them. The Detroit Lions took over as the new NFC favorites after Week 7, marking the first time San Francisco was not favored.

Detroit remained the NFC favorites until after Week 15, when they lost to the Bills but more importantly, lost David Montgomery for what appeared to be the season at that point – the latest news suggests he will return to the lineup in the playoffs. Philadelphia took over as the favorites after Week 15, but gave it right back to Detroit when they lost to the Commanders in Week 16.

NFC Championship Odds

Team	Best Odds
DET	+110 BET NOW	+100 BET NOW	+100 BET NOW	+110 BET NOW	- BET NOW
PHI	+165 BET NOW	+160 BET NOW	+165 BET NOW	+160 BET NOW	- BET NOW
LA	+700 BET NOW	+700 BET NOW	+700 BET NOW	+700 BET NOW	- BET NOW
WAS	+1100 BET NOW	+1100 BET NOW	+1100 BET NOW	+1100 BET NOW	- BET NOW

The Lions are the favorites to win the NFC with +130 odds. If you bet $20 on Detroit, you would stand to win $26 and return $46. Based off those odds, the probability of the Lions winning the NFC Championship this season is 43.5%.

The Eagles (+350), Vikings (+700), Packers (+950), and Buccaneers (+1200) round out the top five contenders in the NFC.

Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:

• [January 5] The Lions moved to near-even money to win the NFC Championship after clinching the #1 seed in Week 18. The Vikings, on the other hand, faded from +400 to +700 after losing out on the top seed, instead ending up as the #5.
• [December 31] Detroit remained the NFC Championship favorite after Week 17, but their odds worsened from +157 to +200 with the Vikings beating the Packers, setting up a matchup between the Lions and Vikings in Week 18 for the NFC North title. The loser would get the #5 seed and have to go on the road in the first round of the playoffs.
• [December 23] Philadelphia’s loss to the Commanders in Week 16, where Jalen Hurts was knocked out of the game with a concussion put them behind in the race for the NFC’s top seed. As a result, the Lions took back over as the favorites to win the NFC following Week 16.
• [December 17] Detroit’s reign as the NFC favorite came to an end following Week 15. The Lions not only lost to the Bills in Week 15, but lost one half of their dynamic RB duo, as David Montgomery’s season came to an end due to a knee injury.
• [November 26] San Francisco’s odds to win the NFC have plummeted following their 38-10 loss to the Packers in Week 12. The 49ers moved from +942, which was still third-best in the conference after Week 11, to as long as +3500 after the loss.
• [November 5] Dallas’ NFC Championship odds plummeted to as long as +10000 after Dak Prescott’s hamstring injury in Week 9 is likely to land him on the IR.
• [October 29] The Cowboys saw their NFC Championship odds fade from +1750 to +3000 after losing to the 49ers in Week 8, which dropped their record to 3-4.
• [October 22] After Week 7, the 49ers were not the favorites to win the NFC for the first time this season. San Francisco suffered another loss on the scoreboard, but the bigger loss may have been to their receiving corps, as Brandon Aiyuk tore his ACL and MCL and Deebo Samuel checked into the hospital with pneumonia. The Detroit Lions took over as favorites after they handed the Vikings their first loss of the season.
• [October 15] The Lions did not see any major drop-off in their NFL conference odds after losing Aidan Hutchinson for the season with a leg injury. However, San Francisco and Green Bay’s odds did improve more than expected after their Week 6 wins. In spite of the Cowboys being blown out again, they still held the seventh-best NFC Championship odds following Week 6, though their odds did drop from +1075 to +1675.
• [October 1] Minnesota’s Week 4 win in Green Bay finally saw them become a top five contender in the NFC, as their odds improved from +1133 to +750, which were tied for third-best at the time. The Eagles remained a top five contender in spite of an awful loss to the Bucs in Week 4.
• [September 24] San Francisco remained the NFC favorites after dropping their Week 3 matchup with the Rams, marking their second straight loss. However, the 49ers did see their NFC odds fade from +278 to +460. Minnesota’s NFC Championship odds continue to improve, as they won their third straight game to start the season, this time downing the Texans in Week 3. The Vikings saw their odds go from +1867 to +1200, which is still only sixth-best on the board.
• [September 17] Despite all losing in Week 2, the 49ers, Lions, Eagles, and Cowboys (who were embarrassed) remained the top four contenders to win the NFC with very little odds movement. Looking to the teams who provided those upsets, the Saints moved from +2800 to +1300, Buccaneers from +2800 to +1600, and Vikings from +2950 to +1800. The Falcons didn’t see their odds move much.
• [September 9] In spite of a very slow start, the Eagles did find their footing in Week 1 and looked like the team who went to the Super Bowl two years ago. Their win over the Packers in Brazil, largely thanks to Saquon Barkley’s big game, resulted in their odds improving from +600 to +475, overtaking the Lions for the second-best odds to win the NFC. The Packers and Falcons saw the biggest dips in NFC odds, as the Packers went from +825 to +1700 after their loss to the Eagles, but more importantly, losing Jordan Love for 3-6 weeks, and the Falcons went from +1250 to +1800 after their offense looked like it needs a lot of work.
• [July 24] Bettors have been favoring the Chicago Bears with their new-look offense, led by first-overall pick Caleb Williams, and we have seen the Bears’ odds to win the NFC improve from +1700 to +1500 as a result of money coming in on them.
• [March 15] With Cousins gone and no immediate answer at QB, the Vikings have seen their NFC odds fade from +2000 to +3000.
• [March 11] The Falcons’ NFC Championship odds improved from as long as +2000 to +1200 after landing free agent QB Kirk Cousins. Philadelphia’s odds improved slightly, going from +850 to +750, after signing Saquon Barkley.
• [February 21] The San Francisco 49ers have opened as heavy favorites to win the NFC Championship for a second straight season. The Lions, who blew a big lead to the 49ers in last year’s NFC title game, opened with the second-best odds.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 NFC Championship game:

• Since 1999, only one team has repeated as NFC Champions: the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 and 2015
• The NFC’s no. 1 or 2 seed has represented the conference in the Super Bowl 11 of the last 13 years—it has not happened in two of the last five years
• No NFC North team has won an NFC Championship since 2011 when the Green Bay Packers did it
• The Detroit Lions are the only NFC team who has never won the conference championship

Archived NFL Conference Championship Odds: 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020