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2023 NFL Conference Championship Odds Tracker

Updated: June 23, 2022

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We are tracking the odds to win the 2023 AFC and NFC Championships all season long—also read as which two teams will play in Super Bowl 57—from the moment they open. The graphs have been generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources.

AFC | NFC

You can see the most recent odds to win each NFL conference, as well as how the odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have changed throughout the course of the 2022-23 NFL season.

AFC Championship Odds

Team Odds
Buffalo Bills +400
Kansas City Chiefs +500
Denver Broncos +850
Los Angeles Chargers +850
Cleveland Browns +900
Cincinnati Bengals +1200
Baltimore Ravens +1200
Indianapolis Colts +1300
Tennessee Titans +1300
New England Patriots +1700
Miami Dolphins +2000
Las Vegas Raiders +2500
Pittsburgh Steelers +4000
Jacksonville Jaguars +6000
New York Jets +8000
Houston Texans +10000

Odds as of March 23 at Caesars Sportsbook App

The Buffalo Bills are currently favored to win the AFC Championship. Buffalo’s AFC Championship odds are listed as short as +350 at FanDuel Sportsbook and as long as +400 at Caesars Sportsbook. The next three teams on the board are all from the AFC West: Kansas City, Denver, and Los Angeles (Chargers).

Here are some notes on the AFC Championship odds movement:

  • [March 23] The Chiefs saw their AFC Championship odds fade from +450 to +500 after trading Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins. Miami goes from +3000 to +2000 odds, but they’re still near the bottom of the board. Indianapolis’ odds movement stemming from their acquisition of Matt Ryan is more notable, as the Colts went from +1600 to +1300, tying them with the Titans for the eighth-best odds.
  • [March 18] Cleveland has won the Deshaun Watson sweepstakes, and their odds have improved from +1800 to +900 as a result. They are now a top five contender to win the AFC Championship with Watson under center. The Raiders’ odds to win the AFC Championship only improved from +3000 to +2500 after acquiring Davante Adams from the Packers. Las Vegas adds a huge weapon to their arsenal, but still have to get through an AFC West that includes the Chiefs, Broncos, and Chargers.
  • [March 12] After acquiring Khalil Mack from the Bears, the LA Chargers saw their AFC Championship odds improve from +1400 to +1000. The Browns, on the other hand, saw no odds movement resulting from their acquisition of Amari Cooper.
  • [March 9] With Russell Wilson being traded to the Broncos in a blockbuster deal, Denver’s odds to win the AFC Championship improved from +1200 to +650, the third-best odds in the conference. Wilson’s move to the AFC has also resulted in Kansas City, a fellow AFC West team who will see Wilson twice this season, no longer being the favorites to win the AFC. Buffalo, who has a much easier path to the top seed, and therefore homefield advantage throughout the playoffs, is now listed as the favorites to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl.
  • [February 24] The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills have opened as the co-favorites to win the AFC Championship in the 2022-23 NFL season. It is different everywhere you look, though. Some sportsbooks have the Bills listed as favorites, and others have the Chiefs. The Bengals have opened with pretty short +650 odds to win the AFC Championship after their improbable Super Bowl run last season. The Broncos are enjoying shorter odds to win the conference than most would suspect, listed at +1100 and fifth-best on the board, largely due to the possibility of them landing Aaron Rodgers this offseason.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2023 AFC Championship game:

  • The New England Patriots have won 11 AFC Championships, the most conference championships of any team in the NFL
  • The Chiefs have won two of the last three AFC Championships
  • Three AFC teams have never been to a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars
  • The Patriots have won three of the last six AFC Championships, and four of the last eight
  • No AFC South team has won an AFC Championship since 2010, when the the Indianapolis Colts did so

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

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NFC Championship Odds

Team Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +350
Green Bay Packers +475
Los Angeles Rams +500
San Francisco 49ers +700
Dallas Cowboys +750
Arizona Cardinals +1300
Minnesota Vikings +1800
New Orleans Saints +2000
Philadelphia Eagles +2000
Washington Commanders +3500
Atlanta Falcons +4000
Seattle Seahawks +4000
Carolina Panthers +5000
Chicago Bears +5000
New York Giants +5000
Detroit Lions +7500

Odds as of March 23

Sportsbooks are pretty split on who the favorite should be to win the NFC Championship. Caesars Sportsbook, BetMGM, and Barstool Sportsbook all favor the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, DraftKings lists the Packers as their favorite, while FanDuel has the Bucs and Packers as co-favorites.

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Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:

  • [March 18] Both the Saints and Falcons have missed out on acquiring Deshaun Watson, as the QB has chosen Cleveland as his preferred destination. New Orleans and Atlanta now go back to +2000 and +4000, respectively.
  • [March 17] Despite trading away Davante Adams, Green Bay’s odds only went from +425 to +450. Tampa Bay saw their odds improve slightly as a result, going from +400 to +375. The Cleveland Browns have been notified that they’re out of the running for Deshaun Watson, leaving the Saints and Falcons. New Orleans is believed to be the favorite, and have seen their NFC Championship odds improve from +2200 to +850 as a result. Atlanta has gone from +4000 to +1500 as they are the other option for Watson.
  • [March 13] The Buccaneers’ NFC Championship odds had gotten as long as +1400, but Tampa Bay is now the favorite after Tom Brady announced he is unretiring and returning to the Bucs for another season. Brady’s return saw Tampa Bay’s odds improve from +1400 to +375, but can be found as shrt as +300. New Orleans’ odds faded from +1800 to +2200 as well.
  • [March 9] After Aaron Rodgers announced he will be returning to the Green Bay Packers for the 2022-23 NFL season, the Packers immediately became the favorites to win the NFC Championship. Green Bay’s NFC title odds improved from +600, third-best, to +400, leaping the 49ers and Rams on the board. We have also seen Tampa Bay’s odds take a big hit, going from +850 to +1400 with rumors of Tom Brady’s return softening. Seattle saw the biggest movement, though, fading from +1800 to +3500 after the team traded away Russell Wilson.
  • [March 1] With rumors of Tom Brady potentially still wanting to play, we’ve seen the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Super Bowl odds improve from +1200 to +850.
  • [February 24] The Rams, who won the Super Bowl last season, have opened as the favorites to win the 2023 NFC Championship. They are listed as slight favorites over the 49ers, Packers, and Cowboys, who are all given +650 odds or better. These four are clearly in their own tier as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who will be without Tom Brady this season, and Arizona Cardinals come in next on the board at +1200 odds to win the NFC Championship.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2023 NFC Championship game:

  • Since 1999, only one team has repeated as NFC Champions: the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 and 2015
  • The NFC’s no. 1 or 2 seed has represented the conference in the Super Bowl eight of the last ten years—it has not happened in either of the last two years now
  • No NFC North team has won an NFC Championship since 2011 when the Green Bay Packers did it
  • The Detroit Lions are the only NFC team who has never won the conference championship

Archived NFL Conference Championship Odds: 2022, 2021, 2020

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