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We are tracking the odds to win the 2025 AFC and NFC Championships all season long—also read as which two teams will play in Super Bowl 58—from the moment they open. The graphs containing NFL conference championship odds below have been generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources.

You can see the most recent odds to win each NFL conference, as well as how the odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have changed throughout the course of the 2024-25 NFL season.


Odds to Win 2025 AFC Championship

After winning their second straight AFC Championship, the Kansas City Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win the AFC in 2024-25 as well. Their odds have also gotten better since re-signing star pass-rusher Chris Jones.

The team with the biggest difference in opening AFC Championship odds from last year is the Houston Texans. They began last year with the worst odds to win the conference (+10000), but opened this season at +1300, which are the sixth-best on the board.

AFC Championship Odds

Kansas City is the favorite to win the AFC. The Chiefs are given +350 odds to win their third straight AFC title. If you bet $20 on KC, you would stand to win $70 and return $90. The Chiefs probability of winning the conference is 22.2%.

The teams with the next-best odds to win the AFC Championship are the Ravens (+475), Bills (+500), Bengals (+700), and Dolphins (+1100).

AFC Conference odds in the table above are updated every 20-30 minutes from DraftKings, FanDuel and other top sportsbooks; if you’re not with DraftKings yet, be sure to check out our DraftKings promo code before making any bets.

Here are some notes on the AFC Championship odds movement:

  • [February 21] The Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win the AFC Championship in 2024-25. This comes as no surprise after they have won the past two.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 AFC Championship game:

  • The New England Patriots have won 11 AFC Championships, the most conference championships of any team in the NFL
  • The Chiefs have won four of the last five AFC Championships
  • Three AFC teams have never been to a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars
  • The Patriots have won three of the last eight AFC Championships, and four of the last ten, but all came with Tom Brady under center
  • No AFC South team has won an AFC Championship since 2010, when the the Indianapolis Colts did so with Peyton Manning

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Win 2025 NFC Championship

The 49ers opened as the favorites to win the NFC Championship again. San Francisco was dominant last season and will return nearly all the key parts of their roster this season. The team they beat in the NFC Championship last year, the Detroit Lions, are given the second-best odds to win the conference.

NFC Championship Odds

The 49ers are the favorites to win the NFC with +235 odds. If you bet $20 on San Francisco, you would stand to win $47 and return $67. Based off those odds, the probability of the 49ers winning the NFC Championship this season is 29.9%.

The Lions (+600), Cowboys (+750), Eagles (+850), and Packers (+1100) round out the top five contenders in the NFC.

Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:

  • [March 11] The Falcons’ NFC Championship odds improved from as long as +2000 to +1200 after landing free agent QB Kirk Cousins. Philadelphia’s odds improved slightly, going from +850 to +750, after signing Saquon Barkley.
  • [February 21] The San Francisco 49ers have opened as heavy favorites to win the NFC Championship for a second straight season. The Lions, who blew a big lead to the 49ers in last year’s NFC title game, opened with the second-best odds.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 NFC Championship game:

  • Since 1999, only one team has repeated as NFC Champions: the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 and 2015
  • The NFC’s no. 1 or 2 seed has represented the conference in the Super Bowl 11 of the last 13 years—it has not happened in two of the last five years
  • No NFC North team has won an NFC Championship since 2011 when the Green Bay Packers did it
  • The Detroit Lions are the only NFC team who has never won the conference championship

Archived NFL Conference Championship Odds: 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020

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With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.