2024-25 NFL Playoff Odds Tracker

By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- Look back to the odds to make the 2024-25 NFL playoffs & see how they changed over the season
- The Broncos were one of the biggest surprises of the season; see what their playoff odds were at opening
- Looking for current NFL playoff odds?
The 2024-25 NFL regular season concluded January 5, 2025 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, which began January 11, 2025. I tracked the odds for all 32 NFL teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds opened, right through to Week 18.
The graphs below were generated by averaging the NFL playoff odds from our most trusted sports betting apps and sites including Caesars Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook. See which teams over and under-achieved based off their odds to make the 2024-25 NFL playoffs below!
Odds to Make 2024-25 NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams
The Bengals, Jets, and Dolphins were the three teams with the best opening odds to make the 2024-25 NFL playoffs who ended up missing out on the postseason. New York was eliminated pretty early, as Aaron Rodgers return to the field was very forgettable, but Miami and Cincinnati had a chance right up to the final week of the regular season – though, it was a longshot for both. The Bengals were the most surprising of the bunch, as they had -225 odds to make the 2024-25 playoffs at opening. They just dug themselves such a big hole to start the season.
The Broncos were by far the most surprising team to make the 2024-25 NFL playoffs, as their opening odds were listed at +500.
Here are some notes on the 2024-25 NFL playoff odds movement:
- [December 31] The Broncos are still heavily favored to get the final AFC playoff spot. Denver lost to the Bengals in Week 17, keeping Cincinnati’s season alive, but get Kansas City’s backups in Week 18.
- [December 17] AFC playoff odds were heavily favoring both the Broncos and Chargers to get into the playoffs after Week 15. Denver beat Indianapolis in Week 15, while the Dolphins also lost.
- [November 19] After a Week 12 win over the Falcons, the Broncos saw their playoff odds improve dramatically, moving from +192 to -114. This marked the first time the Broncos had better odds to make the playoffs than miss them this season.
- [October 22] Following Week 7, the Bengals moved back to having better odds to make the playoffs than to miss them. This is the first time Cincinnati has been favored to get in since prior to Week 3.
- [October 15] The Jets’ acquisition of Davante Adams was not enough to overcome the loss to the Bills in Week 6 from the lens of sportsbooks. New York’s odds to make the playoffs went from +112 to +150, though could have likely fallen off even further if not for the Adams trade. The Chargers saw a massive boost to their playoff odds after beating the Broncos in Week 6, moving from +119 to -175.
- [September 24] After an 0-3 start, the Bengals have better odds to miss the playoffs than to make the playoffs for the first time this season. Though, their odds only went from -138 to +115.
- [September 17] Even after an 0-2 start, sportsbooks still give the Ravens -145 odds to make the playoffs. Though, those odds are a fair bit worse than the -243 odds they had prior to Week 2. Miami’s playoff odds plummeted from -213 to +115 following their blowout loss to the Bills, but the bigger factor is Tua Tagovailoa’s uncertain future after another concussion.
- [September 9] The Bengals were arguably the biggest disappointment of Week 1, losing outright to the Patriots. Their playoff odds have faded from -235 to -125 in the wake of the loss. New England’s odds to make the playoffs only improved slightly, going from +980 to +700. Sportsbooks obviously believe this was more of a bad game by the Bengals than the Pats showing us anything promising.
- [September 3] After plenty of training camp hype around how Deshaun Watson has looked throwing the ball, we have seen Cleveland’s odds to make the playoffs improve significantly from +143 to -142.
- [June 21] Bettors felt like the Chargers were being a little overhyped and became a very popular bet to miss the playoffs, according to BetMGM. The result in LA’s odds to make the playoffs was fading a little from -110 to +110.
- [April 29] After trading Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans and then drafting Keon Coleman, who is believed to be pretty raw, the Bills saw their playoff odds move from -300 to -203.
- [March 27] The following seven teams have opened with the best odds to make the playoffs among AFC teams: the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Miami Dolphins, Houston Texans, and New York Jets. The Jets and Bengals are the only two teams in that list who did not make the playoffs last year. The two teams who did make last year’s playoffs and are not among the top seven in odds to make it back this year are the Browns and Steelers. This is largely a result of Joe Burrow returning for the Bengals.
Odds to Make 2024-25 Playoffs for NFC Teams
Two NFC teams who made the playoffs in 2023-24, and were heavy favorites to make the playoffs again in 2024-25, were eliminated from playoff contention somewhat early: the 49ers and Cowboys. They were replaced by the Vikings and Commanders, who were the two teams to make the playoffs with the longest odds to do so at opening.
Here are some notes on the 2024-25 NFL playoff odds movement:
- [December 31] The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter Week 18 heavily favored to get the final NFC playoff spot. Atlanta is the only other team still alive, but need the Bucs to lose to the Saints.
- [December 17] The Rams went from +150 odds to make the playoffs to -165 after Week 15, when they beat the 49ers and Seahawks lost.
- [November 19] After another divisional loss in Week 11, the 49ers were no longer favored to make the playoffs for the first time this season. San Francisco’s playoff odds plummeted from -198 to +200, giving them the ninth-best odds at this time.
- [November 5] Dallas’ average odds to make the playoffs plummeted from +268 ahead of Week 9 to as long as +1100 after their game, in which Dak Prescott injured his hamstring, and will require a stint on the IR.
- [October 8] After a narrow victory over the Steelers in Week 5, Dallas’ NFL playoff odds favored them missing the postseason for the first time this season. The Cowboys are -115 to miss versus -105 to make the playoffs. Washington moved from +128 odds to make the playoffs to -150 after blowing out the Browns in Week 5.
- [October 1] The Vikings’ NFL playoff odds improved from -188 to -500, which were the best in the NFC at this time, after beating the Packers in Green Bay in Week 4.
- [September 24] After the 49ers dropped another game, moving their record to 1-2, the Eagles overtook them for the best odds to make the playoffs among NFC teams. Surprisingly, the Cowboys still have better odds to make the playoffs than to miss them, in spite of their horrible first three weeks of the season.
- [September 17] The Buccaneers’ playoff odds improved from +120 to -200 after they upset the Lions in Week 2. The Vikings, who upset the 49ers, surprisingly still have better odds to miss the playoffs than to make them.
- [September 10] Not only did the Packers lose in Week 1, but they have reportedly lost Jordan Love to a knee injury for anywhere between 3-6 weeks. Green Bay’s playoff odds have gone from -170 to +180 as a result. The Falcons didn’t suffer any major injuries in Week 1, but their offense, specifically Kirk Cousins, did not look good. Their odds to make the playoffs went from -215 to -125 after losing to the Steelers.
- [July 24] All major sportsbooks have disclosed how much the public likes the Carolina Panthers this season with new head coach Dave Canales. Carolina’s playoff odds opened at +900 but have reached +550 as more bets continue to come in on the Panthers.
- [March 27] 2024-25 NFL playoff odds have opened and the seven NFC teams favored to get in are: the San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons, Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles, Green Bay Packers, and Chicago Bears(!). The LA Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, both of whom made the playoffs last year, are notably given better odds to miss the playoffs this coming season.

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.