Super Bowl 2023 Odds Tracker

• The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Philadelphia Eagles to win the 2023 Super Bowl
• Look back to the 2022-23 NFL season to see how Super Bowl odds changed throughout the year
• Looking for current Super Bowl odds?

---

This page tracked the Super Bowl 57 odds for all 32 teams in the NFL over the course of the 2022-23 NFL season.

The graph below was generated by averaging the odds to win the Super Bowl from multiple sources and will be updated after each week. Super Bowl 57 took place on Feb. 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 57

The Chiefs entered the playoffs as the consensus favorite to win the Super Bowl, with the 49ers being given the best odds among NFC teams. The Eagles became the new favorites two days after the NFL Divisional Round wrapped up thanks to Patrick Mahomes’ ankle injury. Philadelphia’s Super Bowl odds improved to +100 after they beat the 49ers to earn a trip to Super Bowl 57, and closed -120 to beat the Chiefs.

You can see the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds below, and track how all 32 teams’ odds have changed throughout the course of the 2022-23 NFL season with the graph above.

Super Bowl 57 Odds

*Odds as of February 12 prior to kickoff

The Eagles closed as the Super Bowl 2023 favorites. Philadelphia’s -120 odds to win the Super Bowl imply a 55.6% chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy this year. The Chiefs, who narrowly got by the Bengals in the AFC Championship, are given +100 odds to win the Super Bowl, implying a 48.8% chance to win. If you’re wondering why that adds up to more than 100%, it’s because of the vig/juice sportsbooks charge to take the bet.

The Super Bowl point spread opened at Philadelphia -1.5, quickly moved down to Philadelphia -1, but then jumped back in the Eagles favor. Some sportsbooks had moved to Eagles -2.5 as of Monday, but we are seeing the line settle back in at Philadelphia -1.5. The Super Bowl over/under opened at 49.5, made a brief move to 50, but went back to 49.5 pretty quickly. On Thursday, February 2 we saw the total move to 50.5, and increased another half point to 51 on Tuesday. It made a final move to 51.5 on Super Bowl Sunday.

The 2023 Super Bowl kicked off at 6:30pm ET on Sunday, February 12.

Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 57:

• [February 12] The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 57. The Chiefs won 38-35, kicking a go-ahead field goal with just eight seconds left.
• [January 29] The Philadelphia Eagles have punched their ticket to the 2023 Super Bowl after beating the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship. The Eagles’ Super Bowl odds were listed at +100 prior to the AFC Championship kicking off, but improved to -115 after the Chiefs beat the Bengals. Kansas City’s Super Bowl odds moved to -105 after beating the Bengals in the AFC Championship.
• [January 24] For the first time this season, the Philadelphia Eagles are given the best odds to win the Super Bowl. Kansas City was the consensus favorite after the Divisional Round, but concern over Patrick Mahomes’ ankle as well as a tough matchup against the Bengals in the AFC Championship has seen the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds fade from +260 to +275. They are now third on the board behind the Eagles and Bengals.
• [January 22] The Buffalo Bills, who spent much of the year as the favorites to win the 2023 Super Bowl and entered the NFL Divisional Round with the second-best odds on the board, were upset by the Bengals in the third game of the weekend. Cincinnati’s Super Bowl odds improved from +900 to +280 after the win, leaving them with the second-best odds after the game. Before the Cowboys vs 49ers game even kicked off, the Eagles jumped the Bengals on the odds board, becoming co-favorites alongside the Chiefs with both getting +260 odds. The Bengals’ odds improved a little bit as well, landing at +275, which are the same odds the 49ers are getting after beating the Cowboys. I cannot recall another year where we entered the Conference Championships with the difference between the best and worst odds to win the Super Bowl being 15 cents.
• [January 15] The Vikings and Chargers losing have been the biggest upsets of the NFL Wild Card Weekend thus far. Minnesota and LA were listed at +2800 ad +2200, respectively, to win the Super Bowl. Jacksonville and New York (Giants), the two teams who beat them, both improved from +5000 odds to +2800.
• [January 8] Kansas City enters the NFL postseason as the favorites to win Super Bowl 57. The Bills have the second-best odds, while third on the board is the 49ers, who are given the best odds among NFC teams. The Giants and Dolphins enter the playoffs with the worst Super Bowl odds.
• [January 5] After the Bills vs Bengals game from Week 17 was canceled, the Chiefs have an inside path to the top seed in the AFC. As a result, the Chiefs and Bills are now listed as co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.
• [December 19] With the news of Jalen Hurts spraining his shoulder in Week 15, and possibly worse news to come, Philadelphia’s Super Bowl odds have faded from +430 to +525. They had the second-best odds on the board prior to this news, but have now dropped below Kansas City.
• [December 4] The Bengals beat the Chiefs in Week 13, marking their third consecutive victory over Kansas City. Cincinnati’s Super Bowl odds improved from +1800 to +1200 with the win, while Mahomes and company fell from +400 to +450. The dip has allowed Buffalo to take back the title of Super Bowl favorites. The 49ers had improved from +625 to +600 with their win over Miami, but news of Jimmy Garoppolo’s ankle being broken, and the QB now set to miss the rest of the season, San Francisco’s odds faded to +900 with Brock Purdy currently at the helm.
• [November 27] For the first time since mid-March, the Buffalo Bills are not the favorites to win the Super Bowl. With the Bills struggling lately and Chiefs seeming to be getting better as the season goes on, Kansas City has taken over as the favorites after Week 12.
• [November 14] After suffering their first loss of the season in Week 10, the Eagles’ Super Bowl odds faded from +500 to +650. Both were third-best at the time.
• [November 13] Even after being upset by the Vikings, marking back-to-back losses for Buffalo, the Bills remain the favorites to win the Super Bowl. Their odds did worsen from +280 to +375, though.
• [October 20] The San Francisco 49ers’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1800 to +1400 after they acquired star running back Christian McCaffrey from the Panthers. The 49ers have the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl after the trade, jumping over the Vikings for the third-best odds among NFC teams.
• [October 16] The Bills’ odds to win the Super Bowl have improved from +350 to +280 after Buffalo got a win in Kansas City in Week 6. All of Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Baltimore, and San Francisco lost as big favorites in Week 6. But only the Packers and Ravens saw their Super Bowl odds significantly fade – both went from +1400 to +2000.
• [October 2] The Eagles now have the best Super Bowl odds among NFC teams after beating the Jaguars to extend their perfect start to 4-0. Philadelphia’s odds improved from +900 to +750. The Broncos have seen their odds take a hit, going from +2200 to +3000 after losing to the Raiders.
• [September 25] Despite losing to the Dolphins in Week 3, the Bills remain heavy favorites to win Super Bowl 57. Their odds only faded from +400 to +450. Miami’s odds to win the Super Bowl have improved from +2500 to +1600. With the Buccaneers also losing, the Eagles are now tied with Tampa Bay for the best Super Bowl odds among NFC teams.
• [September 18] With Trey Lance done for the season, the 49ers’ Super Bowl odds actually improved from +2500 to +2000 after Jimmy Garoppolo led them to a win over the Seahawks. Miami’s huge comeback win over the Ravens resulted in their odds going from +3000 to +2500. Meanwhile, a couple teams we thought were true contenders have seen their Super Bowl odds begin to plummet: the Bengals faded from +2500 to +3500 as they start 0-2 following their major upset loss at the hands of the Cooper Rush-led Cowboys; and the Colts getting shutout in Jacksonville sees their odds go from +3000 to +4000.
• [September 11] After beating up on the Cardinals in Week 1, the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds have improved from +1100 to +800. Green Bay’s Super Bowl odds only went from +1200 to +1500 following their ugly loss to the Vikings. Minnesota went from +4000 to +2500 with the win. San Francisco’s odds moved a little more after their loss to the Bears, going from +1600 to +2200.
• [August 18] The NFL has announced an 11-game suspension for Browns QB Deshaun Watson. Cleveland’s Super Bowl odds were once as short as +1800 after acquiring Watson from the Texans, but have now faded as long as +4000.
• [April 29] The Tennessee Titans traded away star receiver AJ Brown during the first-round of the 2022 NFL Draft, sending him to the Philadelphia Eagles. Tennessee’s Super Bowl odds faded from +2500 to +3000, while Philadelphia’s improved from +5000 to +4000. Some sportsbooks have the Eagles as short as +3500 after the trade. No movement was seen from the Cardinals trading for Marquise Brown from the Ravens. The Steelers’ odds to win the Super Bowl improved slightly, from +8000 to +6000, after drafting Kenny Pickett in the first round.
• [March 23] This absolutely insane NFL offseason continues, as the Chiefs have agreed to trade Tyreek Hill to the Miami Dolphins for a package of five draft picks, including their first-round pick in 2022. The move has resulted in the Chiefs’ odds going from +850 to +900, and the Dolphins have improved slightly from +7000 to +4000. Miami remains long shots in spite of having incredible speed at the wide receiver position.
• [March 21] The Indianapolis Colts have acquired Matt Ryan from the Falcons, replacing Carson Wentz under center and marking their sixth straight year with a new starting quarterback for Week 1. The Colts’ Super Bowl odds saw some improvement from the move, but not a ton, going from +3000 to +2500. The Falcons’ odds have faded from +6000 to +10000, putting them among the likes of the Giants and Bears.
• [March 18] In a surprise turn of events, Deshaun Watson has chosen the Cleveland Browns as the team he will waive his no-trade clause to be dealt to Cleveland. The Browns’ Super Bowl odds have improved from +4000 to +2000 with the move, with the early reports saying Cleveland will give up three first-round picks and then two more mid-round picks. Cleveland is now a top ten Super Bowl contender based on the betting odds at the moment. New Orleans and Atlanta, the two teams believed to be the preferred destinations for Watson, see their odds fade dramatically as they miss out on a new QB.
• [March 17] Green Bay’s Super Bowl odds have not moved much after agreeing to trade star receiver Davante Adams to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Packers went from +1100 to +1200 to win the Super Bowl. Las Vegas’ odds only improved from +6000 to +5000. With the Chargers adding star corner JC Jackson in free agency and trading for Khalil Mack, their Super Bowl odds have steadily improved from +2000 to +1600. Their movement has caused Denver’s odds to win the Super Bowl to fade a little too. New Orleans has seen major movement, going from +5000 to +1800, thanks to the Saints appearing to be the front-runners to acquire Texans QB Deshaun Watson. The Falcons have also seen their odds go from +8000 to +3000 while they remain the other team in the Watson sweepstakes.
• [March 13] Tom Brady has announced he will be unretiring and returning to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the 2022-23 NFL season. Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl odds had gotten as long as +2800 with Brady believed to be gone. But the Bucs’ odds to win Super Bowl 57 are now as short as +750 at DraftKings, tied for the second-best odds on the board at that sportsbook. If you’re looking to bet the Bucs, you’ll want to do it at Caesars Sportsbook, where they can still be found at +1000 odds.
• [March 8] The Green Bay Packers’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1500 to +1000 after Aaron Rodgers announced he will be returning to the team on a four-year, $200 million deal. The Packers are now given the best odds to win the Super Bowl among NFC teams, surpassing the Rams today. The Denver Broncos also saw their Super Bowl odds improve, going from +2200 to +1400, thanks to a blockbuster trade that sees them acquire Russell Wilson from the Seahawks in exchange for multiple first-round picks and Drew Lock. The Broncos are now tied for the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl. After trading Wilson away, the Seahawks’ Super Bowl odds faded from +4000 to +7500.
• [February 10] With Tom Brady announcing his retirement, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers saw their 2023 Super Bowl odds plummet from +1000 to +2200. They remain among the top ten contenders for now, but could quickly fall out if they are unable to bring in a quality quarterback or retain some key free agents. The Denver Broncos saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +3500 to +2000 after naming Nathaniel Hackett, Green Bay’s former offensive coordinator, their new head coach, which has brought on even more Aaron Rodgers to Denver speculation.
• [January 24] Early Super Bowl 57 odds have opened with the Kansas City Chiefs once again being listed as the favorites. This is their fourth straight season opening as the Super Bowl favorites. The Buffalo Bills opened with the second-best Super Bowl odds, while the Packers and Buccaneers are tied for the best odds among NFC teams at +1000.

Odds to win the 2023 Super Bowl opened well before the previous season was over, and you’ll see some of the early movement that has resulted from coaching changes, Tom Brady’s retirement, Tom Brady’s unretirement, Aaron Rodgers’ return to Green Bay, the blockbuster trade that sent Russell Wilson to Denver, Matt Ryan heading to Indianapolis, and Tyreek Hill traded out of Kansas City.

The Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the 2023 Super Bowl. Barstool Sportsbook opened the Buffalo Bills as their favorite to win Super Bowl 57; they were the only sportsbook who didn’t have Kansas City listed as at least a co-favorite at the time, until FanDuel joined them on March 8 with the Bills as their favorite.

2023 Super Bowl Favorites

The early favorites to win Super Bowl 57 did not include either the reigning champions, the LA Rams, or the AFC champs, the Cincinnati Bengals. Instead, the list was headed by the Buffalo Bills (+650), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+750), and Kansas City Chiefs (+1000). This list has changed quite a bit as we entered the playoffs.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs posted a 14-3 record in the regular season, tied for the best in the NFL. They locked down the no. 1 seed in the AFC, earning a bye through the Wild Card round of the playoffs. Their offense was even better this season, in spite of the loss of Tyreek Hill. They finished the regular season with the most points and yards in the league.

Kansas City will represent the AFC in Super Bowl 57. The Chiefs beat the Bengals in the AFC Championship in spite of Mahomes’ ankle injury. Chiefs fans will be praying his ankle can get close to 100% with the two weeks between games.

The Chiefs went on to win the 2023 Super Bowl, beating the Eagles 38-35.

Philadelphia Eagles

Not many were giving the Eagles a chance when the season started. Philadelphia’s Super Bowl odds opened at +4000 and reached as long as +4500 in the offseason. Their odds started rapidly improving as they continued rattling off wins to start the season. Nick Sirianni’s crew was the last remaining unbeaten team when they finally lost in Week 10.

The Eagles finished the season with a 14-3 record, tied for best in the NFL with the Chiefs. In spite of all their success, too many people believed Jalen Hurts and co. had not played many good opponents, and they were never the favorites to win the Super Bowl until after the NFL Divisional Round. They closed as 1.5-point favorites over the Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. However, they lost 38-35 to the Chiefs in the big game.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills entered the regular season as the Super Bowl favorites and remained among the top contenders all season. With their Week 17 game against the Bengals getting canceled, Buffalo gave up the inside track to the first-round bye in the AFC. This saw them fall off the top of the odds board ahead of the playoffs.

Buffalo finished the regular season with the second-ranked scoring offense and second-ranked scoring defense. But this is a team who appeared to have peaked too early. After barely getting by the Dolphins and their third-string QB in Wild Card Weekend, Buffalo got beat up by the Bengals in the Divisional Round.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are one of few teams who can make the argument that they might be better with their third-string quarterback, as rookie Brock Purdy has been fantastic since being thrust into action following injuries to starter Trey Lance and backup Jimmy Garoppolo. Purdy’s passer rating in the regular season was an impressive 119.0, and he has yet to lose a game.

Purdy does have the support of Christian McCaffrey, who the 49ers acquired before the trade deadline, as well as the top-ranked defense in the league. San Francisco finished the season ranked first in both points and yard allowed.

Sadly, Purdy was knocked out of the NFC Championship game on the first drive with an elbow injury, and the Niners fell to the Eagles in what ended up being a beatdown.