Royals vs Twins Odds, Picks & Predictions (Aug 17)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Twins are -190 home favorites over the Royals on Wednesday
- Lefty Daniel Lynch (4-7, 4.52) will start for Kansas City against Tyler Mahle (6-7, 4.26)
- A look at the Royals vs Twins odds can be found below with a pick
The Minnesota Twins will look to sweep the Kansas City Royals in the finale of a three-game series at 1:10 p.m. ET Wednesday at Target Field in Minneapolis.
The Twins (60-55, 33-25 home) have won the first two games of the series after losing five of their previous six games. The Royals (48-70, 19-36 road) have lost four of their past five games.
The Twins are in second place in the American League Central, one game behind the Cleveland Guardians.
Royals vs Twins Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | +160 | +1.5 (-130) | Over 8.5 (+100) |
| Minnesota Twins | -190 | -1.5 (+110) | Under 8.5 (-120) |
Odds as of August 16th at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook promo code.Â
Minnesota’s World Series odds are +65000 and the Royals are listed at +200000.
The weather forecast calls for partly sunny and a high of 82 degrees in Minneapolis with southwest winds at 5 mph.
Kansas City vs Minnesota Probable Pitchers
Looking at Wednesday’s MLB lineups, left-hander Daniel Lynch (4-7, 4.52) is expected to pitch for the Royals against Tyler Mahle (6-7, 4.26). Both will be working on four days of rest.
Lynch vs Mahle
| 4-7 | Record | 6-7 |
| 4.52 | ERA | 4.26 |
| 4.52 | xERA | 3.39 |
| 1.51 | WHIP | 1.21 |
| 2.41 | SO/W | 2.98 |
Lynch is unbeaten in his last five starts, going 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA.
Last Friday, he pitched five scoreless innings against the National League West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers in Kansas City. Lynch allowed just two hits and worked around four walks while striking out three.
DANIEL LYNCH IS FIRED UP. WE ARE FIRED UP. LFG BABY.#TogetherRoyal pic.twitter.com/iwZq3cHKFO
— Monarch Media (@MonarchMediaKC) August 13, 2022
Lynch has a 1-1 career record against the Twins with a 4.50 ERA in four starts. He has no decisions in two starts at Target Field and a 4.76 ERA.
In 10 road starts this season, Lynch has gone 3-4 with a 3.94 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA in five starts during the day. The Royals are 8-10 when Lynch starts.
Mahle is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts since the Twins acquired him in a trade with the Cincinnati Reds.
Mahle pitched six shutout innings against the Los Angeles Angels last Friday in Anaheim to gain his first win with the Twins. Mahle allowed three hits and two walks and struck out six.
Against the Royals, Mahle is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA in two career games (one start).
A left-hand toast with a California cabernet (in a paper cup) to Tyler Mahle who gave the Twins 6 shutout innings in their 4-0 win over the Angels. The win ended a short 4-game skid and is the first of a __ game winning streak! pic.twitter.com/9adeL3jpA3
— Dick Bremer (@dbremer_pxp) August 13, 2022
Mahle’s lone start this season at Target Field was against the Toronto Blue Jays on Aug. 5 and he allowed four runs in six innings while not factoring in the decision. He is 2-4 with a 4.29 ERA in 12 starts in the daylight. The Twins have split Mahle’s two starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Royals Batters | Batting Average vs Tyler Mahle |
|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | .500 |
| Salvador Perez | .400 |
| Ryan O’Hearn | .000 |
| Nicky Lopez | .000 |
| Twins Batters | Batting Average vs Daniel Lynch |
| Jose Miranda | .600 |
| Carlos Correa | .429 |
| Gilberto Celestino | .400 |
| Jorge Polanco | .286 |
| Max Kepler | .200 |
| Gary Sanchez | .143 |
| Byron Buxton | .125 |
| Gio Urshela | .000 |
| Luis Arraez | .000 |
The Twins’ Carlos Correa is 6 for 14 (.429) against Lynch, though all the hits have been singles. Rookie Jose Miranda is 3 for 5 with a double in limited exposure to the lanky left-hander.
Miranda has +5000 AL Rookie of the Year odds.
Royals vs Twins Betting Trends
Gio Urshela had four hits to lead the Twins to their rout of the Royals on Tuesday night. It was his first four-hit game of the season and fourth of his career.
The Twins’ Luis Arraez had three hits to increase to his batting average to .336, best in the major leagues. Miranda also had three hits and Gilberto Celestino homered.
Second baseman Jorge Polanco did not play a day after leaving the game with left knee soreness. He is likely to sit out Wednesday’s game, too.
Hot-hitting rookie Vinny Pasquantino had two of the Royals’ five hits.
Royals infielder/outfielder Hunter Dozier is expected to miss his third straight game while on the paternity list.
The Twins are 8-4 against the Royals this season, including 4-2 at Target Field.
KC vs MIN Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/16/22 | Twins | Royals | MIN, 9-0 |
| 8/15/22 | Twins | Royals | MIN, 4-2 |
| 5/29/22 | Twins | Royals | MIN, 7-3 |
| 5/28/22 | Twins | Royals | KC, 7-3 |
| 5/27/22 | Twins | Royals | MIN, 10-7 |
| 5/26/22 | Twins | Royals | KC, 3-2 |
| 5/22/22 | Royals | Twins | MIN, 7-6 |
| 5/21/22 | Royals | Twins | MIN, 9-2 |
| 5/20/22 | Royals | Twins | MIN, 6-4 |
| 4/21/22 | Royals | Twins | MIN, 1-0 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction
Lynch is a tempting underdog, but Mahle is coming off a strong start and seems to be settling in quickly with the Twins.
Pick: Twins ML (-190)
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
