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Odds for Derek Carr’s Next Team Favor Colts, Jets and Titans; 30-1 to Remain in Vegas

John Perrotto

By John Perrotto in NFL News

Published:


Derek Carr getting tackled
Dec 24, 2022; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr (4) is sacked by Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackle Cameron Heyward (97) during the first quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Raiders benched Derek Carr after nine years as their starting quarterback
  • The Colts are the favorites to be Carr’s team at the start of the 2023 season
  • A look at Carr’s situation along with odds on his next team can be found below with a prediction

The Las Vegas Raiders and longtime quarterback Derek Carr seem headed for a divorce.

The Raiders benched Carr last week in favor of Jarrett Stidham. Las Vegas asked Carr to stay away from the team for the final two weeks of the season and almost certainly will trade him in the offseason.

Odds have been posted about which team Carr will play for next season:

Derek Carr’s Team to Start 2023 Season Odds

Team Odds
Indianapolis Colts +275
New York Jets +400
Tennessee Titans +500
New England Patriots +800
Washington Commanders +850
Carolina Panthers +900
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +900
New York Giants +1000
New Orleans Saints +1000
Houston Texans +1800
Pittsburgh Steelers +2000
Seattle Seahawks +2000
Atlanta Falcons +2000
Las Vegas Raiders +3000
Miami Dolphins +3000
Baltimore Ravens +3000
Arizona Cardinals +4000
Green Bay Packers +5000
Minnesota Vikings +5000
Los Angeles Rams +6000
Denver Broncos +6000
Detroit Lions +6000
Chicago Bears +6000
San Francisco 49ers +6500
Dallas Cowboys +8000
Jacksonville Jaguars +10000
Buffalo Bills +10000
Cleveland Browns +10000
Philadelphia Eagles +10000
Kansas City Chiefs +10000
Los Angeles Chargers +10000
Cincinnati Bengals +10000

Odds as of January 2nd at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Raiders Park Carr

The Raiders decided to bench Carr after losing to the Steelers 13-10 on Christmas Eve in Pittsburgh to fall to 6-9. He was intercepted three times while completing just 16 of 30 passes for 174 yards and one touchdown.

Carr had been the Raiders’ starting quarterback since being drafted in the second round in 2014 from Fresno State. He made the Pro Bowl three consecutive seasons from 2015-17 but has compiled a 63-79 record and appeared in only one playoff game, which came last year.

This season, the 31-year-old completed just 60.8% of his passes for 3,522 yards and 24 touchdowns with an NFL-worst 14 interceptions.

Stidham made the first start of his four-year career Sunday and threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns and two interceptions in a 37-34 overtime loss to the San Francisco 49ers.

Colts the Favorites to Sign Carr

The Indianapolis Colts are listed as +275 favorites to be Carr’s landing spot next season. That is an implied improbability of 26.67%.

The Colts have used three quarterbacks this season on their way to a 4-11-1 record and the firing of coach Frank Reich. They traded with the Atlanta Falcons for Matt Ryan but that hasn’t worked out. Second-year pro Sam Ehlinger and journeyman Nick Foles have also started games.

Since Andrew Luck retired just before the start of the 2019 season, the Colts have had seven different starting QBs.

Contenders for Carr’s Next Team

The New York Jets are the second choice for Carr at +400 and the Tennessee Titans are next at +500.

Both teams are 7-9 and in late-season freefalls. The Jets are on a five-game losing streak and the Titans have lost six in a row.

The Jets seem certain to move on from the overmatched Zach Wilson at quarterback. The No. 2 overall selection in the 2021 draft has been a bust.

The Titans might also be looking to change QBs following a poor season by Ryan Tannehill. Rookie Malik Willis made two starts after Tannehill sustained a foot injury but was benched last week for journeyman Joshua Dobbs.

Derek Carr Next Team Best Bet

The Jets seem like the best fit from this vantage point. Wilson clearly isn’t the long-term answer the organization had hoped for, and backup Mike White is more a placeholder than a QB1.

The Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010, the longest current drought in the NFL, and haven’t had a winning season since 2015. They desperately need to shake things up and Carr needs a change of scenery.

It seems like a perfect match.

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John Perrotto
John Perrotto

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

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