Kansas vs Baylor Predictions & Odds (Jan. 23)
By George Nassios in College Basketball
Updated: April 12, 2023 at 1:03 pm EDTPublished:
- The Kansas Jayhawks go up against the Baylor Bears on Monday, January 23rd
- Kansas is ranked 2nd overall in the nation, but is coming off a 23-point home loss to TCU
- Check out the Kansas vs Baylor odds and picks, below
Depending on how you see it, Baylor could be meeting Kansas when they’re ripe for the picking or, they could be going against a squad that is very motivated to put one of the programs most embarrassing losses in recent history behind them.
Coming off an 83-60 beatdown at the hands of TCU, their second-largest home loss under Bill Self, Kansas are 3.5-point underdogs and in danger of losing their 3rd straight game after starting the season with a 15-1 record.
Tipoff between Kansas and Baylor is set for 9:00 pm ET on Monday, January 23rd from the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. We break down the Kansas vs Baylor odds below and offer up our best bet and prediction for this Big 12 battle.
Kansas vs Baylor Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas Jayhawks | +3.5 (-118) | +122 | O 150.5 (-106) |
| Baylor Bears | +3.5 (-104) | -146 | U 150.5 (-114) |
Odds as of January 22nd from FanDuel. Unlock the FanDuel promo code to bet on this game.
Kansas is desperate for a win here and with +122 odds on the moneyline, they own an implied win probability of 45.05% to upset the Bears who have moneyline odds of -146 giving them a 59.35% probability to take this contest.
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Kansas Jayhawks Reeling After Massive Defeat
What happened to the Jayhawks on the weekend? This is a squad that’s ranked number 2 overall in the nation and pegged as one of the legit players in the odds to win the NCAA tournament. It’s one thing to lose, but to get destroyed by 23 points at home is another matter altogether.
Kansas trailed by 10 at halftime in that loss to the Horned Frogs and never closed the gap within single digits after that. In fact, things got much worse, as the Jayhawks shot only 32.1% in the second half.
For the first time ever, @TCUBasketball has won in Lawrence‼️
The Horned Frogs dominate the No. 2 Jayhawks. pic.twitter.com/yDnbHhyQ1C
— CBS Sports College Basketball 🏀 (@CBSSportsCBB) January 21, 2023
That loss comes after suffering a heartbreaking one point defeat to their rivals from Kansas State just a few days earlier. The Jayhawks had not lost consecutive games in the state since 1989, over 30 years ago.
One positive they can take is that Wooden Award odds contender Jalen Wilson can’t stop scoring. The junior forward is coming off back-to-back 30-plus-point outings in those losses and is the top scorer in the Big 12 conference.
Baylor Bears Run Offensive Machine
You wouldn’t be able to tell from their last outing, but this Baylor Bears offense is as unstoppable as it gets in college basketball. According to KenPom, they have the second best adjusted offensive efficiency in the nation.
It’s one of the reasons they’re the favorites in the college basketball odds against a Kansas team considered one of the best in the country.
The Bears are riding a four game winning streak after suffering three losses in a row. In their last game, they emerged with a slim two point win over Oklahoma despite scoring just 62 points. Jalen Bridges was the hero in that one, hitting a trio of game-turning 3-pointers in the final five minutes to hold off the Sooners.
Jalen Bridges at the end of every game pic.twitter.com/SiAy0UfMVq
— Baylor Barry (@baylorbarry69) January 21, 2023
Baylor have played four times at home since the Christmas break and have averaged 85.3 points per game on offense in those outings. Led by freshman sensation, Keyonte George who puts up over 17 points per game, the Bears roll out a three-headed monster of a backcourt that combines to score over 47 points per outing.
Upperclassmen Adam Flagler and LJ Cryer are the other two members of that trio. They are more trusted from three point range than George, with both hitting 40% or better from beyond the arc.
Kansas vs Baylor Prediction
Offense off the bench was almost non-existent for Kansas in their loss to TCU, contributing just eight points. While Wilson is on fire lately, he accounted for 50% of their points in their last game and that can’t happen again if the Jayhawks hope to snap their mini losing skid against Baylor.
Kansas vs Baylor Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/26/2022 | BAY 80 – KU 70 | BAY | Over |
| 02/05/2022 | KU 83 – BAY 59 | KU | Under |
| 02/27/2021 | KU 71 – BAY 58 | KU | Under |
| 01/18/2021 | BAY 77 – KU 69 | KU | Over |
| 02/22/2020 | BAY 61 – KU 64 | KU | Under |
While both sides boast offenses that can usually score the ball with ease, the over/under total sits at a very high 150.5 points. In their previous 10 head-to-head matchups, these squads have never gone above that total.
While we may see a lot of points, our prediction in the Kansas vs Baylor odds is that we won’t see over 150, so take the under in this huge Big 12 clash on Monday night.
Pick: Under 150.5 Points (-114)
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GET $300 IN BONUS BETS EVERY DAY FOR 10 DAYS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBDDYW & DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 WAGERS!
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GET 100% BET MATCH UP TO $100 FOR 10 DAYS
DRAFTKINGS T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-522-4700, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 4/6/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.
BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
Sports Writer
George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.