Nuggets vs Clippers Odds, Picks, Predictions & Props to Bet (Game 6)

• The Denver Nuggets can end their best-of-seven series with the LA Clippers in Game 6 on Thursday night
• The Clippers are heavy favorites to force a seventh and deciding game
• See the Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers odds, picks, predictions, and player props to bet for Game 6

After a decisive home-court win in Game 5 gave them a 3-2 series lead, the Denver Nuggets (53-34, 25-18 away, 40-46-1 ATS) can close out their best-of-seven first-round series with the LA Clippers (52-35, 31-12 home, 50-37 ATS) on Thursday night at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood at 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET. But oddsmakers see this series going the full seven games, setting the Clippers as heavy six-point home favorites in Thursday’s NBA odds.

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers Odds for Game 6

In addition to laying six points against the spread, the Clippers are -260 moneyline favorites, which equals a 72.22% implied win probability. The Nuggets come back as +210 road underdogs, which amounts to a 32.26% implied win probability. The game total is sitting at 212.0, which is up 2.5 points from Game 5.

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The first four games of this series all stayed under the total, which led sportsbooks to drop the number in each successive game, going from 224.5 in Game 1 to 209.5 in Game 5. But Denver and LA soared over that 209.5-point total on Tuesday during a 131-115 Nuggets victory (246 total points), which is what spurred oddsmakers to move it back up ahead of Game 6.

Nuggets vs Clippers Series Betting Trends

The winning team has covered the spread in each of the last four games in the series, while the Clippers covered in a two-point Game 1 loss as 2.5-point road underdogs.

Denver managed a road split in LA during Games 3 and 4. After getting blown out 117-83 in Game 3, Nikola Jokic and company managed a massive 101-99 road win in Game 4 to avoid falling in a 3-1 hole. Jokic had 36 points, 21 rebounds, and eight assists in Game 4, but was held to just 13 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 dimes in Game 5 as Jamal Murray took on the scoring burden with 43 points on 17-of-26 shooting.

Neither team lists any notable names on Thursday’s injury reports. Russell Westbrook returned from a one-game absence in Game 5, scoring a huge 21 points off the bench and allowing head coach David Adelman to give his starters some valuable rest.

Denver’s NBA championship odds improved to +3500 after the Game 5 victory, which is still just sixth-best on the board. The Clippers are next at +4000.

DEN vs LAC Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook at 3:50 pm ET, May 1st.

Jokic (25.4 PPG, 12.8 RPG, 11.0 APG postseason) has the highest point total for the fifth straight game in the series, but after scoring just 13 points in Game 5, his O/U has dropped a point to 27.5. Kawhi Leonard (25.2 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 5.2 postseason) has the highest total on the Clippers’ side at 24.5.

Jokic and LAC center Ivica Zubac (20.4 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 2.8 APG postseason) are tied for the highest rebound total at 12.5 O/U, while Jokic and James Harden (19.2 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 8.6 APG postseason) are tied for the highest assist total at 9.5 O/U.

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers Picks & Prediction

• Jokic over 12.5 rebounds (+105) at DraftKings
• Leonard under 24.5 points (-105) at bet365

Jokic went over 12.5 rebounds in both Games 3 and 4 at the Intuit Dome, pulling down 13 and 21, respectively. Jokic averaged 12.7 rebounds per game on the road in 34 regular-season games, as well, including 14 boards in his only regular-season road game at the Clippers on Dec. 1st.

The aging and not-terribly-deep Clippers were showing serious signs of fatigue on Tuesday in Denver’s rarified air. While they won’t have the altitude issues back at home, there’s been a ton of hard travel in his series and the 30-plus bodies of Leonard, Harden, and Norman Powell won’t have the same spring in their step as they did in Games 1 and 2.

I expect that to lead to more misses at the offensive end than we saw in Games 3 and 4 at home, which will lead to more rebound opportunities for Jokic.

I’m also betting Leonard to stay under his point total of 24.5. That’s a number he’s only exceeded once in this series – though he smashed it with 39 points in Game 2 – and he tied his lowest field-goal attempts of the series in Game 5 with just 15. I really don’t expect the oft-injured 33-year-old to get better as we get deeper into the postseason.