Cowboys vs Broncos Player Props & Picks – Best Over/Unders to Bet
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
- Dallas’s top-ranked scoring offense meets Denver’s elite defense in a huge Week 8 interconference game
A fascinating inter-conference showdown is set for the altitude of the Centennial State as the Dallas Cowboys (3-3-1, 4-3 ATS, 5-2 O/U) bring their explosive offense to challenge the formidable defense of the Denver Broncos (5-2, 2-5 ATS, 2-5 O/U) at Empower Field at Mile High. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:25 pm MT/4:25 pm ET.
This game presents a stark contrast in styles, with one team built to win shootouts and the other designed to grind out victories through defensive dominance. Ryan Potts has Dallas covering in his Cowboys vs Broncos picks, but my favorite player props to bet in Dallas/Denver are both on the home team.
The table below sets out the main Cowboys vs Broncos player props for the skill-position players on both teams. Under the table, I have set out my Cowboys vs Broncos prop picks plus details on where to find the best odds.
Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos Player Props
Dak Prescott’s passing yardage prop is set below his season average of 268.4, a testament to the strength of Denver’s pass defense. The Over on his passing touchdowns seems plausible given Dallas will likely need to score through the air. Bo Nix’s passing yards prop is slightly above his season average, reflecting the incredibly soft matchup against Dallas’s league-worst pass defense.
NFL player props as of 12:01 pm ET, October 26th, at BetMGM. Bettors can bookmark SBD’s BetMGM Missouri page to see the latest updates ahead of launch.
Cowboys vs Broncos Player Prop #1: Dobbins Over 67.5 Rushing Yards
The Dallas defense is missing a ton of pieces, especially in the secondary. On the surface, that should mean an easier day for Bo Nix and the Denver passing game, but I also expect Dobbins to have a field day against the shorthanded Cowboys.
Dobbins is averaging 74.7 rushing yards per game and has exceeded 67.5 in five of his last six. The Cowboys have the third-worst rush defense in terms of total yards (141.3 YPG) and won’t be able to devote extra resources to the box with so many DB injuries.
Cowboys vs Broncos Prop Pick #2: Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing TDs
As alluded to above, the Cowboy secondary is in shambles, and that should mean easier throws for Nix everywhere, including the red zone. Cornerback Trevon Diggs and free safety Malik Hooker are both still on IR, while Hooker’s backup, Juanyeh Thomas, is also out, as is starting strong safety Donovan Wilson.
Dallas is in the bottom half of the league with just 15 sacks in seven games. If they can’t consistently pressure the Denver QB, he’s likely to pick apart a secondary filled with backups. Nix has 11 passing TDs in seven games, which is just a 1.57 TD/game average. But he’s also faced multiple elite defenses, including the Chargers and Eagles. Against the five worst defenses he’s played (Titans, Colts, Bengals, Jets, Giants), Nix has nine touchdowns (1.8 TD/game).
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.