Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 7: Public Betting Splits & World Series Trends

• The public is backing the Blue Jays moneyline but hammering the Dodgers runline in Game 7
• Sharp money has pushed the total down from 8.5 to 7.5 at most sportsbooks
• Read below for full Dodgers vs Blue Game 7 public money splits, plus historical Game 7 World Series trends

We’ve reached the ultimate showdown. Game 7 of the World Series on Saturday night will crown a champion, and the betting public is sending mixed signals about who takes home the trophy.

The series is tied 3-3 after the Dodgers won Game 6 at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are getting slight majority support on the moneyline, but bettors are overwhelmingly backing the Dodgers to win big if they win at all.

Let’s break down the Game 7 betting splits, line movement, and key trends that could decide this winner-take-all finale.

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 7 Public Betting

Betting percentages from MLB betting trends consensus books on Nov. 1, 2025 at 4pm ET. First pitch is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto.

Conflicting Public Signals

The betting public can’t make up its mind. Toronto is getting 52% of moneyline bets and 60% of the money, suggesting larger wagers are backing the home underdog at +120.

But here’s where it gets weird. The Dodgers runline (-1.5) is getting absolutely crushed with 79% of bets and 82% of the handle. Bettors think if LA wins, they win big.

This is the third straight game where Toronto has received the majority of moneyline handle. The public wants to believe in the Blue Jays closing out their first World Series since 1993.

Game 7 Line Movement Signals Sharp Action

The total has crashed hard. Books opened between 8.0 and 8.5, but sharp money has driven most down to 7.5. TonyBet showed the most dramatic move, dropping a full run.

Most books now show better juice on the under. Pinnacle sits at o7.5 -113 / u7.5 +100, while Bet99 and Betway both show -115/-105 favoring the under. Professional bettors clearly expect a pitcher’s duel.

First Inning Under Getting Hammered

The NRFI (No Run First Inning) market is seeing massive one-sided action. DraftKings reports 81% of bets and 93% of the money on under 0.5 runs in the first inning.

That’s sharp and square money aligned. With Max Scherzer and Shohei Ohtani starting, bettors expect zeros early.

Most Bet Player Props for Game 7

The superstar showdown dominates the prop market. Ohtani and Guerrero Jr. are the most bet players across multiple categories, setting up the MVP vs MVP battle everyone wants.

Ohtani’s strikeout props are getting heavy action both ways. He’s on three days rest after throwing 93 pitches Wednesday, so durability questions have bettors split.

World Series Game 7 History Since 2000

Since 2000, there have been seven World Series Game 7s. The road team has dominated recently, winning four straight from 2014-2019. Overall this century, it’s a 4-3 split favoring the road team.

Scoring has been unpredictable. We’ve seen a shootout (15 total runs in 2016) and several defensive battles (three games with 5 runs). The average across all seven games is 7.1 runs, below tonight’s 7.5 total at most books.

Game 7 World Series Trends

Home teams are just 3-4 in World Series Game 7s since 2000, with all three home wins coming consecutively from 2001-2011. The road team has won every Game 7 since.

The under has hit in four of seven Game 7s this century when using a hypothetical 8-run total. Only the 2019 Nationals-Astros (8 runs) and 2016 Cubs-Indians (15 runs) games would’ve gone over.

Favorites have won five of the seven Game 7s since 2000. The Dodgers will close around -140 at most books, making them slight chalk despite being on the road.

The Pitching Puzzle

Both managers are treating this like the all-hands-on-deck situation it is. John Schneider says everyone is available for Toronto, including Game 6 starter Kevin Gausman who threw 93 pitches Friday.

Dave Roberts is getting creative with Ohtani starting on short rest. The two-way star has never pitched relief in MLB, making the starter role his only realistic option if the Dodgers want him on the mound.

Tyler Glasnow saved Game 6 but threw just three pitches. He could provide bulk innings behind Ohtani. Blake Snell and Roki Sasaki are also available despite recent usage.

Where Smart Money Lands

The sharp line movement on the total points to the under. Professional bettors have pushed it down a full run at some books, and the first inning under is getting crushed.

The moneyline presents value on Toronto at home. They’re getting plus money with 60% of the handle, suggesting bigger bettors see value at +120.

Fade the public on the Dodgers runline. When 82% of the money is on one side, it’s usually wrong. Toronto +1.5 could be the contrarian play.