Week 17 NFL Parlay – Get a +2689 Longshot for Sunday Afternoon
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- I’ve put together a +2689 longshot parlay for Sunday’s Week 17 NFL slate
- The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five contests
- See my Week 17 NFL picks, parlay and top bets for Sunday, below
If you’re looking to turn a small investment into a big pay day in the NFL parlay streets on Sunday, then I’ve got you covered. I’ve scored online sportsbooks looking for the best bets for my Week 17 parlay, and I’ve identified five that you need to make right now.
Below you’ll find my favorite Week 17 NFL picks, including the best parlay and top bets to make for Sunday.
Best NFL Parlay for Week 17
My favorite longshot NFL parlay for Sunday comes with +2689 odds if you play it at bet365, which had (by far) the best odds at the time of writing.
I also like betting each of these legs as straights as well. I detail the best odds you can find on each leg in my analysis below. If you want to shop for the best odds on over/unders, check out the NFL player props tool.
NFL Parlay Pick #1: Tee Higgins Anytime TD
- Tee Higgins Anytime TD (+100) at bet365
Let’s start with the Cardinals vs Bengals matchup, for which I have three bets to make. The game features a slate high 53.5 point total, with Cincinnati implied for 30.5 points. Ja’Marr Chase may be Joe Burrow’s favorite target, but Tee Higgins is the touchdown producer.
Chase hasn’t scored since Week 7, while Higgins has 8 TD in his last seven games, scoring at least once in six of those outings.
The matchup doesn’t get much better, as Arizona’s defense has thrown in the towel. They’ve surrendered 111 points in their last three games alone, allowing eight touchdown passes along the way.
NFL Parlay Pick #2: Cincinnati Bengals -7
- Cincinnati Bengals -7 (-110)
I’m going to continue picking on the Cards by taking the Bengals -7. Cincy is 4-1 ATS in their last five games, and boast an offense as good as any Super Bowl odds contender when Burrow is healthy.
They hung 45 points on Miami last week, after putting up 32+ points in two of their previous three outings. Arizona meanwhile, has been entertaining with Jacoby Brissett under center, but an easy win for most opponents at the same time.
Arizona Defense Stats – Since Week 12
The Cards are 1-9 straight up in Brissett’s 10 starts, and have failed to cover in six of their last seven games. They’ve lost by 19 or more points four times during that stretch, and boast some of the worst defensive metrics in the NFL since Week 12.
Over the last five weeks, they rank bottom-five defensively in EPA/play, dropback EPA and success rate.
NFL Parlay Pick #3: Trey McBride Anytime TD
- Trey McBride Anytime TD (+110)
Bright spots have been few and far between for Arizona this season, with the exception of Trey McBride. The big tight end ranks third in catches and sixth in receiving yards in the entire NFL, and has drawn at least 8 targets in every Brissett start.
McBride has hit pay dirt nine times alongside Brissett, and now gets to face a Cincinnati defense that ranks dead last in catches, yards and touchdowns to opposing tight ends.
NFL Parlay Pick #4: Browns +3.5
- Cleveland Browns +3.5 (-114)
Whenever you’re putting together any kind of NFL bet slip, make sure to use the best football betting apps to find the best price. That’s especially important when wagering on the Browns this week, as most books have them listed as 3-point underdogs, but you can still get the hook if you shop around.
Cleveland will take on the rival Steelers, with Pittsburgh one win away from clinching the AFC North in the NFL divisional odds. A matchup with the Browns might look like a lay up, but there’s a big difference playing them at home as opposed to on the road.
Over the past three seasons, Cleveland has been the most profitable team at home against the spread. On the road, they’re one of the least profitable squads.
The Steelers won’t have number one wideout D.K. Metcalf due to suspension, and are also dealing with offensive line injuries. That spells trouble against the Browns defense, that ranks fourth in pressure rate, and top-three in EPA/play, success rate and EPA/rush.
Pittsburgh’s defense is also banged up, with three starters including T.J. Watt slated to sit. In a game with a 34.5 total, every point matters. 3.5 points is too much for Pittsburgh to lay, as the Steelers are 1-5-1 straight up in Cleveland since 2018.
NFL Parlay Pick #5: Buffalo Bills Moneyline
- Buffalo Bills Moneyline (-120)
Speaking of the Bills, I’m taking them to beat Philadelphia as the final leg of my parlay. NFL MVP odds contender Josh Allen is virtually unbeatable at home. Since 2022, Buffalo is an NFL best 31-5 in their own stadium, and Allen is the most profitable quarterback of all-time when the spread is between -3 and +3 (31-14-1).
I don’t even need the Bills to cover 1.5 points, I just need them to win. Philly comes in with back-to-back victories, but let’s not get too excited about victories over the dreadful Raiders and Commanders. The Eagles dropped their previous three outings, two of which were against playoff contenders, and Jalen Hurts still has significant holes in his game.
Hurts ranks bottom-10 among qualified QB’s against zone coverage, and that’s precisely what he’ll see almost exclusively against Buffalo. The Bills also do a great job of limiting explosive plays, and we’ll make the Eagles methodically march down the field, something they struggle to do.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.