Best Touchdown Scorer Picks for Bills vs Broncos
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- The Bills face the Broncos in the first game of the Divisional Round slate
- Courtland Sutton has seen double digit targets in four straight full games
- Keep reading for the best touchdown scorer picks the Bills vs Broncos Divisional Round showdown on Saturday
The Divisional Round, aka the best weekend of football each year, kicks off Saturday. First up is the Bills vs Broncos showdown, as a hobbled Josh Allen seeks another road victory for his playoff resume.
We’ll get to Allen momentarily, but he’s not our favorite target in the anytime touchdown market. That honor belongs to Courtland Sutton, who’s established himself as the true Alpha among Denver receivers.
Below, you’ll find a table with the Bills vs Broncos touchdown-scorer props available in the NFL odds, plus my favorite anytime TD picks to target.
Bills vs Broncos Touchdown Scorer Odds
The “best odds” in the table are as of 12:00 pm ET, on Jan 16. Readers can bookmark SBD’s NFL player props page to see up-to-the-minute props for every Divisional Round game.
Claim the bet365 promo code for a bonus to use on NFL anytime TD bets for the Divisional Round games.
SPORTSBOOK
Sutton checks in with the fourth shortest odds to score on Saturday at +200, just behind Allen, who we’re also betting, James Cook and RJ Harvey, who we’re targeting as well.
Bills vs Broncos Best Touchdown Scorer Pick #1: Courtland Sutton
- Courtland Sutton Anytime TD (+200) at bet365
For the first 11 weeks of the season, Sutton was in fierce competition with Troy Franklin for targets. Since that point however, Sutton has emerged as Bo Nix’s favorite option, out targeting Franklin 60 to 23. Sutton’s seen seven more red zone looks than Franklin during that stretch, while the ladder is losing snaps to Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims.
Neither or those two threaten Sutton, who’ll remain on the field in all types of different formations. That’s key since the Broncos may lean into heavy personnel in this game, looking to exploit the Bills atrocious run defense. The moment Buffalo overcommits to the run, the play action game will open up, and Sutton will be the primary beneficiary over the top.
He can score on an explosive pass or in the red zone, giving him multiple outs. The Bills just surrendered two TD to Jacksonville wideouts last week, and Sutton has seen double-digit targets in four straight games that he’s started and finished.
Bills vs Broncos Best Touchdown Scorer Pick #2: Josh Allen
- Josh Allen Anytime TD (+100) at Fanatics
Buffalo’s chances to remain in the Super Bowl odds conversation rest on Allen’s shoulders. Multiple key offensive pieces have either been ruled out or are doubtful, and the only way they keep their season alive is if Allen puts on his Superman cape.
He did so last week scoring twice, giving him 8 TD in his last eight postseason starts. Denver’s defense grades out well, but they’ve been nowhere near as strong over the second half of the season.
The Broncos are the 18th ranked defense by DVOA since Week 11. They still do a great job stopping opposing running backs on the ground, which could result in even more Allen scrambles. As the team’s defacto goal line running back, he’s the most likely Bill to score in tight, a fact that’s amplified with his top receiving target Dalton Kincaid banged up as well.
Bills vs Broncos Best Touchdown Scorer Pick #3: RJ Harvey
- RJ Harvey Anytime TD (-125) at Fanatics
On to Harvey, who draws arguably the best matchup of the game. He’ll get to attack a Buffalo run defense that ranks bottom-five in most metrics. The Bills are 31st in EPA/rush and 27th in rushing yards allowed. No team surrendered more rushing touchdowns than Buffalo during the regular season, and Harvey is coming in red-hot.
Bills Run Defense
The rookie scored eight times over his final seven games, and is a threat to find the end zone through the air as well. Five of his 12 TD this season came as a receiver, and with JK Dobbins on IR, Harvey will have little competition for backfield touches.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.