Early 2026 NASCAR Autotrader 400 Odds, Best Picks & Longshot Value at Atlanta

• Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano, and Chase Elliott are co-favorites at +1000 in the Autotrader 400 odds
• EchoPark Speedway plays like a mini superspeedway with pack racing and drafting since its 2022 reconfiguration
• Read below for 2026 NASCAR Autotrader 400 odds, best picks, and longshot value at Atlanta

The NASCAR Cup Series rolls from Daytona Beach to Hampton, Georgia, for the Autotrader 400 at EchoPark Speedway this Sunday, February 22. The green flag drops at 3:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Atlanta’s 1.54-mile quad oval was completely repaved and redesigned before the 2022 season. Banking jumped from 24 to 28 degrees in the corners, while the racing groove narrowed from 55 to 40 feet. That turned it into a mini superspeedway where drafting, pack positioning, and momentum matter more than raw horsepower.

Tyler Reddick leads the Cup Series standings with 58 points after his Daytona 500 win, followed by Joey Logano (46 points) and Chase Elliott (43 points). Ryan Blaney led all drivers with 26 Stage points at Daytona despite finishing 27th, putting him inside the top 10 after Race 1.

2026 NASCAR Autotrader 400 Odds

Blaney, Logano, and Elliott sit at +1000 apiece, giving each roughly a 9.1% implied probability to win. Three of the last eight races at reconfigured Atlanta have produced double-digit caution counts. Elliott actually won the most recent race here at +1500.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Sign up with the DraftKings promo code to wager on Sunday’s Autotrader 400. Odds are also available at BetMGM, where new users can register with the BetMGM bonus code.

NASCAR Autotrader 400 Picks

Blaney owns the best average starting position (3.1) across eight starts on the new configuration with four top-5s, six top-10s, and 107 laps led. His 10.9 average finish trails only Chase Elliott’s 9.1. He won the pole and finished fourth in this exact race one year ago.

The 27th-place Daytona result was misleading. Blaney racked up a field-best 26 Stage points before wrecks around him damaged the No. 12 car. His speed was never the problem.

Logano has led a series-best 333 laps on reconfigured Atlanta and is one of three two-time winners here. He came off a Duel win and a third-place finish in the Daytona 500, sitting second in points. His 16.3 average finish shows he can disappear on bad days, but Logano ranks first among all drivers in average driver rating (101.6) over the last two years at this track. When he’s on, he’s on.

Elliott nearly won the Daytona 500, finishing fourth while earning 10 Stage points. Now he heads to his home track in Georgia, where he owns the field’s best average finish (9.1) across eight starts and 166 laps led. Elliott is one of three two-time winners in the new configuration, and he ranks first in laps run in the top 15 (772) over the last two years at Atlanta.

• Autotrader 400 Pick to Win: Ryan Blaney (+1000 at DraftKings)

Autotrader 400 Longshot Picks & Value

Kyle Busch at +1800 is one of the sharper plays on the board. Since 2023, Busch has the best average finishing position at EchoPark Speedway among all Cup Series drivers at 8.8. He has five top-10s in eight starts in the new configuration and led 28 laps in the spring and 24 in the fall in 2024.

Busch came within 0.007 seconds of winning the 2024 spring race in that legendary three-wide finish with Daniel Suarez and Blaney. That kind of track comfort at +1800 is hard to pass up.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+2800) is another name to target after his runner-up finish in the Daytona 500. He has the best average finish (7.8) over the last two years at Atlanta among all drivers, with fifth- and sixth-place results here last season. Stenhouse now has four top-10s across eight starts on the reconfigured oval. He waits to make his move and uses momentum to get to the front at crunch time.

One driver to fade is Kyle Larson (+1200). He has five DNFs in eight new-Atlanta starts with a 24.9 average finish and just one top-10. Paying co-favorite prices with that track record is tough to justify.

The winning manufacturer market has Ford at +185. Ford drivers have won four of eight races on the new configuration, and the Penske trio of Blaney, Logano, and Cindric gives that camp serious drafting firepower on Sunday.

Autotrader 400 Picks:

• Winner Pick: Ryan Blaney (+1000 at DraftKings)
• Longshot Pick: Kyle Busch (+1800 at DraftKings)
• Value Pick: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+2800 at DraftKings)