Inter Milan vs Bodø/Glimt Prediction, Picks, Injuries & Odds – Is Lautaro Playing?
By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News
Published:
The UEFA Champions League playoffs continue on Tuesday, February 24. The most-intriguing match on the four-game slate sees Inter Milan trying to overcome a 3-1 deficit when they host Bodø/Glimt at Giuseppe Meazza.
What might appear a more-than-attainable task most days will be made all the more difficult without club captain and top scorer Lautaro Martinez, who suffered a soleus muscle strain in the first leg.
Below, I have set out the latest Inter Milan vs Bodø/Glimt odds and betting splits, followed by my Inter/Bodø picks, and the latest injury news.
Inter Milan vs Bodø/Glimt Odds
The consensus lines list Inter as roughly a -410 home favorite and Bodø/Glimt as a +880 road underdog, with the draw at +570. Currently, the best Inter Milan moneyline odds are available at BetMGM (-375), while FanDuel has the longest price on Bodø/Glimt (+950). The best draw price is +600 at theScore Bet.
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At prediction site Kalshi, bettors can get roughly the same price on an Inter victory; “yes” is trading at 79¢, which is equal to a -376 moneyline price.
The prices at Kalshi are significantly better for the draw, which is trading at just 13¢ (equivalent to +669 odds). FanDuel’s +950 moneyline price on a Bodø/Glimt is better than the 10¢ price at Kalshi, which is equal to +900 odds.
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Odds Movement & Public-Betting Splits
Despite the Martinez injury, Inter’s moneyline has shortened significantly. The home side opened at just -263.
Public-betting sentiment is highly concentrated on a high-scoring affair. A staggering 94.0% of the total-goals handle is backing the over, driving the over 3.5 goals from an opening underdog position to a favored -128.
On the moneyline, 70.5% of the ticket handle supports Inter Milan, compared to 26.3% on the Norwegian visitors, and 3.2% on a full-time draw.
Bodø vs Inter: Tactical Matchup & Team Stats
The first leg at Aspmyra Stadion showcased Bodø’s ruthless counter-attacking efficiency. Despite holding just 45% possession and registering fewer overall shots (8 to 11), the hosts generated six shots on target compared to Inter’s four, capitalizing on swift transitions and drawing 12 fouls to disrupt the Italian rhythm.
Over their nine tournament matches, Inter has been a volume-shooting machine, racking up 139 total shots, 52 on target, and 45 corners. However, their defense has shown cracks, conceding 10 goals (1.11 per game).
Bodø/Glimt counters with the exceptional attacking duo of Kasper Waarst Hogh (5 goals, 4 assists) and Jens Petter Hauge (5 goals, 3 assists), both of whom were instrumental in the first-leg victory.
Defensively, the visitors have struggled throughout the campaign, allowing 18 goals in 11 matches (1.64 per game), making them highly vulnerable to sustained pressure.
Inter Milan vs Bodø/Glimt Picks & Best Bets for Leg 2
Total-Goals Pick: Over 3.5 (-125 at bet365)
Inter averages 15.4 shots per match and must aggressively chase the aggregate score from the opening whistle. Given Bodø’s porous defense and potent counter-attack, this match is perfectly scripted for a high-scoring shootout.
Spread Pick: Inter Milan -1.5 (-160 at DraftKings)
With Inter needing a multi-goal victory just to force extra time, Chivu’s squad will keep the offensive pedal down for 90 minutes. Sustained pressure in the final third should ultimately overwhelm the visitors’ backline.
Best Goalscorer Pick: Marcus Thuram Anytime Goalscorer (-120 at FanDuel)
With Martinez (four goals) sidelined, the goal-scoring burden shifts to Thuram. The French forward has two goals in the competition and will command a massive usage rate against a defense that has faced 123 total shots.
Longshot Prop: Jens Hauge Anytime Goalscorer (+400 at theScore Bet)
Priced as a +400 longshot, Hauge offers tremendous value. He has netted five times in 11 tournament appearances and thrives in the open space Inter will inevitably concede while pushing forward.
Inter vs Bodø Injury Updates
Inter Milan is missing two key pieces. Lautaro Martinez is expected to miss 3-4 weeks with a calf strain, joining defender Denzel Dumfries, who remains sidelined with a long-term injury.
Bodø/Glimt arrives with a largely clean bill of health, missing only youth forward Mikkel Bro Hansen, allowing them to deploy their preferred high-pressing lineup.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
