Tigers vs Reds Predictions & Best Bets (Apr 24)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Tigers are -130 moneyline favorites versus the Reds tonight
- Cincy starter Andrew Abbott carries a 5.84 ERA and 1.74 Whip across 24 innings of work this season
- Keep reading for my favorite Tigers vs Reds predictions and best bets for April 24th, below
The Detroit Tigers (14-12) hit the road to open an Interleague series against the Cincinnati Reds (16-9) tonight at Great American Ball Park. Online sportsbooks are siding with the Tigers in the latest MLB odds, in a contest with an 8.5 run total.
Detroit will send Framber Valdez to the mound to try and cool down a Cincinnati lineup anchored by the dynamic Elly De La Cruz. The Reds will counter with Andrew Abbott as they look to defend their home diamond. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm ET, with the forecast calling for 79 degree temperatures and a risk of thunderstorms.
Keep reading for my favorite Tigers vs Reds predictions and best bets for the April 24th contest.
Tigers vs Reds Predictions
- Detroit Tigers Moneyline (-130 at Bet365)
- Over 8.5 Runs (-120 at Bet365)
- Andrew Abbott Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-143 on DraftKings)
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My top wager tonight is on the Tigers moneyline. Detroit hands the ball to Cy Young odds contender Framber Valdez, who brings a sturdy 3.30 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average over 30.0 innings of work. The southpaw is keeping hitters off-balance and limiting free passes with a respectable 2.70 BB/9.
Conversely, Cincinnati is rolling out Andrew Abbott, who has struggled immensely to find his footing this season. Across 24.2 innings, Abbott carries a bloated 5.84 ERA, a 1.74 WHIP, and is allowing opponents to hit an alarming .314.
Abbott is surrendering a staggering 11.68 hits per 9 innings alongside a 4.01 BB/9 rate. Because of his ongoing struggles, targeting over 2.5 runs for him in the MLB props is the most glaring value on the board. Expect a Detroit lineup featuring Kevin McGonigle (.319 AVG, .907 OPS) and Riley Greene (.841 OPS) to consistently put men on base and easily push three or more runs across against the struggling left-hander.
For the total, I’m betting over 8.5 runs. While the Reds are batting a major league-worst .183 at home, they make up for it in sheer impact, launching 1.25 home runs per game at Great American Ball Park. If Cincinnati can get into Detroit’s vulnerable bullpen (4.24 ERA, 1.51 WHIP) late in the game, both offenses should contribute to a higher-scoring script.
As for the trends, they also support a high-scoring affair. Detroit games have exceeded the total at a 61.5% rate this season. Not to be outdone, Reds games have gone over in 68% of their matchups.
Tigers vs Reds Best Bets
- Same Game Parlay (+144 on DraftKings)
To capitalize on these specific matchup edges, I recommend constructing a highly correlated Same Game Parlay on DraftKings. Combine Andrew Abbott Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-143) with Sal Stewart to record a hit (-250). Stewart is hitting an excellent .297 on the year and serves as a reliable anchor in the batter’s box to pair with my fade on Cincinnati’s starting pitching.
Tigers vs Reds Odds
SPORTSBOOK
Tigers vs Reds Public Betting Splits
When it comes to the MLB public betting splits, the Tigers are commanding 63% of the moneyline tickets and 54.4% of the stake. Interestingly, there has been a massive late surge in volume backing the home underdog. The overall stake on Cincinnati’s moneyline has skyrocketed to 45.6% over time, making this a tighter financial split than the ticket count suggests.
If there is one thing bettors universally agree on heading into tonight, it is that there will be plenty of offensive fireworks. The over is dominating the splits, drawing an incredible 95% of the tickets and 94.4% of the overall stake. This lopsided action shows absolutely zero resistance from under backers, fuelled by the glaring pitching mismatch and Abbott’s early-season struggles to keep opposing hitters off the base paths.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.