Norway vs England Goalscorer Picks – Where to Bet Haaland, Kane, Bellingham at Plus-Money

• See my top Norway vs England goalscorer picks for a match that promises fireworks
• Kalshi has the three most-prolific players at plus-money to score 1+ goal
• Erling Haaland at 47¢ (+113) stands out as exceptional value

Saturday brings the final pair of World Cup quarterfinal matchups, staring with England vs Norway in Miami at 5:00 pm ET.

The spotlight naturally falls on the talismanic forwards: Erling Haaland spearheads a relentless Norwegian attack against an English side armed with the lethal finishing of Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham.

The Norwegian defense has shown persistent vulnerabilities, creating a dream scenario for dynamic English playmakers to exploit. With game-changers capable of breaking open the match, the player prop markets offer tremendous value across goals, assists, and goal-or-assist contracts. I will handicap the best Kalshi-backed player props for this massive quarterfinal showdown.

Best Kalshi Player Prop Picks for Norway vs England

I was somewhat surprised by the prices available on the three most-clinical finishers on the field, given the rate at which both teams are scoring. Haaland is the best Norway-side goal bet, while Bellingham has solid value as an attacking midfielder.

Erling Haaland 1+ Goal (+113 / 47¢ at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets

Anytime Goal Pick #1

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Kalshi

Erling Haaland 1+ Goal

47%

Predict

Backing Erling Haaland to score has been one of my most reliable tournament angles. In this World Cup run, he has scored in every match he has started: two goals against Iraq, two against Senegal, one against Ivory Coast, and two more in the 2-1 knockout upset of Brazil. That is seven goals across just four tournament starts, all while playing the full 90 minutes in each of those appearances.

The only World Cup match in which he did not score was the 4-1 loss to France, when he was on the bench.

Haaland’s broader game logs reinforce the case, with multi-goal international outings against Israel, Estonia, Italy, Senegal, Iraq, and Brazil over the past year.

Although England’s defense has been relatively solid, yielding just five goals across their five World Cup fixtures, Haaland’s tournament volume makes him nearly impossible to fade at a sub-50¢ price. He accounts for more than half of Norway’s 12 total tournament goals, and the Norwegian attack flows directly through his boots.

Jude Bellingham 1+ Goal (+257 / 28¢ at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets

Anytime Goal Pick #2

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Kalshi

Jude Bellingham 1+ Goal

28%

Predict

Jude Bellingham still presents value in this market. Through five matches, the dynamic midfielder has netted four goals and provided one assist. He faces a Norwegian defense that conceded nine goals in its five tournament appearances.

Because England should command a significant share of possession, Bellingham will have opportunities to make his trademark late runs into the penalty area.

He has also played at least 71 minutes in every tournament match, so the role is stable enough to chase a late box-arrival goal rather than treating him as a short-minute attacking mid.

At 28¢, I prefer his goal contract to the 43¢ goal-or-assist price because the goal-only number better captures the upside in his advanced role.

Harry Kane 1+ Goal (+100 / 50¢ at Kalshi)

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Anytime Goal Pick #3

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Kalshi

Harry Kane 1+ Goal

50%

Predict

My initial lean here was Kane to record a goal or assist at 62 cents, but his helper against Mexico was a rarity for the prolific England striker. He only had five assists in 31 matches with Bayern Munich last season. His assist against Mexico was his first for the national team since a 2024 match against Ukraine, a span of 33 games without an assist.

Kane still has enough link-play value to create for Bellingham, Saka, or another runner, but the recent evidence is overwhelmingly goal-led. At a 12¢ discount, the cleaner play is Kane 1+ goal.

Norway have conceded at least one goal in each of their last seven matches. This persistent defensive leakiness is a problem the English forward line is built to exploit. Tuchel engineered a squad that suffocates hope through possession and structure. England will control the tempo and find inevitable gaps in a generous Norwegian defense with Kane at the tip of the spear. Even-money is a more than fair price.