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Predictions & Props to Target in Blue Jays vs Cubs

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in MLB Baseball

Published:


Dylan Cease delivers a pitch during the All-Star Game.
Jul 14, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Dylan Cease (84) throws a pitch during the first inning for the All-Star Game at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images
  • The Blue Jays and Cubs square off in a make-up game from last month
  • Dylan Cease faces David Peterson in a duel between pitchers performing much differently
  • See the Toronto vs Chicago odds, my prediction and favorite MLB player props

The Toronto Blue Jays (54-61) travel to the Windy City for a make-up game against the Chicago Cubs (66-49) Thursday afternoon. First pitch for this battle is scheduled for 2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field.

Coming off hard-fought, one-run victories against different opponents yesterday, both clubs head into this one winning five of their last seven. Toronto’s elite strikeout artist Dylan Cease squares off against Chicago’s pitch-to-contact lefty David Peterson, with the former having an outstanding season.

There are plenty of angles to exploit on the MLB odds. Let’s break down the MLB player props and find the best markers for this tilt.

Best Blue Jays vs Cubs Prop Bets & Predictions

Finding actionable betting value in MLB total hits props and strikeout markets comes down to identifying structural advantages. I am relying purely on current season splits and recent form to build my betting card.

Pick: David Peterson Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100 at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets
Peterson Ks
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Peterson Under 3.5 Ks
50%

While much of the strikeout hype in this game revolves around Cease, the most compelling edge on the mound lies in fading Peterson. Operating primarily as a pitch-to-contact arm rather than a power pitcher, he owns a modest 6.0 K/9 rate.

When diving into his recent game logs, betting the under on his MLB pitcher strikeout props has been highly profitable. Peterson has stayed under 3.5 strikeouts in eleven of his last 14 starts, cashing at a 78.5% success rate.

Situationally, he has gone under this mark in four of six starts with Chicago (66.7%) after previously pitching for the Mets on the campaign.

Pick: Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits (-154 at DraftKings)

Toronto outfielder Myles Straw might not have explosive power, but his contact-heavy approach makes his hits market incredibly appealing. Straw has exceeded 0.5 hits in four of his last five games overall (80.0% cover rate), averaging 1.2 base knocks per contest in that span, with extra-base hits in all but one of those affairs.

He has cleared this prop in four straight games against Chicago. His ability to put the ball in play makes this a very safe floor bet.

Blue Jays vs Cubs Starting Pitcher Props

PitcherStrikeoutsTotal Outs
Dylan CeaseOv 7.5Ov 17.5
David PetersonOv 3.5Ov 16.5

Cease brings massive strikeout upside, backed by a dominant 13.1 K/9 rate this season. DraftKings offers -109 juice on the over for his 7.5 line. His MLB pitching outs props are heavily juiced at 17.5 (-170), indicating oddsmakers expect him to pitch deep into this contest.

Blue Jays vs Cubs Odds & Ballpark Factors

When handicapping totals, the environment is just as vital as the matchup. Wrigley Field has played as a hitter-friendly track this season. In 58 games, it averages 9.5 runs, 16.9 hits, and 2.8 home runs per game.

This offensive backdrop adds mathematical backing to the MLB home run probabilities for sluggers like Kazuma Okamoto. It also reinforces fading a low-strikeout pitcher like Peterson in a run-heavy environment.

Bet TypeToronto Blue JaysChicago Cubs
Moneyline-121+110
Runline-1.5 (+143)+1.5 (-170)
Total RunsOv 7.5 (-105)Un 7.5 (-115)

Odds as of August 6 from Caesars Sportsbook.

Toronto enters as a slight road favorite on the moneyline at -121. The game total sits at a modest 7.5 runs. Start betting at Caesars now to grab these lines.

Blue Jays vs Cubs Injury Report

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatus
Blue JaysVladimir Guerrero Jr1BHamstringQuestionable
Blue JaysAnthony SantanderRFShoulder60-Day IL
Blue JaysJosé BerríosSPElbow60-Day IL
Blue JaysPatrick CorbinSPShoulder60-Day IL
CubsJustin SteeleSPElbow60-Day IL
CubsClay HolmesSPFibula60-Day IL
CubsEdward CabreraSPHamstring15-Day IL
CubsMatt ShawRFHand10-Day IL

How to Watch Blue Jays vs Cubs

TV Networks: Rogers Sportsnet, TVA Sports, Marquee Sports

Away Team: Toronto Blue Jays

Home Team: Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, August 6th

Game Time: 2:20 PM ET / 11:20 AM PT

Venue: Wrigley Field

Location: Chicago, Illinois

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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