Brewers vs Reds Player-Prop Picks (Sep 6)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Reds and Brewers wrap up their three-game series today in Cincinnati
- I’m backing David Hamilton to stay hot against Brady Singer
- See the Brewers vs Reds player-prop picks for Sep 6, below.
The Milwaukee Brewers (88-55) and Cincinnati Reds (68-74) conclude their series at Great American Ball Park this afternoon, with first pitch at 12:10 PM ET. The Reds secured a tightly contested 5-3 victory in their previous matchup, highlighted by home runs from dynamic stars Elly De La Cruz and William Contreras.
Oddsmakers have positioned the Brewers as -167 moneyline favorites to bounce back on the road per the MLB odds, but I’m more interested in the player props market. With elite offensive talent stepping to the plate and plenty of scoring expected, I see excellent opportunities to capitalize on individual performances. Let’s dive into the Brewers vs Reds player-prop picks for Sep 6, below.
Milwaukee vs Cincinnati Player Prop Odds
Brewers vs Reds Player Prop Picks
I am targeting three specific MLB player props where historical data and recent form collide. Here are my top Brewers vs Reds player prop picks for today’s clash.
David Hamilton, Over 0.5 Total Hits (-140 at BetMGM)
David Hamilton matches up phenomenally against Reds starter Brady Singer, making his hits prop my favorite angle today. In 10 career at-bats against the right-hander, Hamilton has racked up four hits for a .400 average, including two doubles per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats. This historical success aligns perfectly with his reliable road performance. Hamilton has exceeded 0.5 hits in five straight away games, earning a flawless 100% cover rate in that scenario. Singer has fallen off a cliff against left-handed hitting this year, allowing a .303 opposing average and 111 total hits across 366 at-bats.
Hamilton is swinging a scorched-earth bat, hitting .327 over his last 15 games compared to a modest .248 season baseline. The strongest reason to take the over is the intersection of Hamilton’s current hot streak and his proven track record against Singer. The most evident risk is his low .343 season slugging percentage, meaning he relies primarily on singles to clear this line.
You can claim your BetMGM promo code now to lock in the best odds on the board at -140.
Brady Singer, Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (+117 at bet365)
Singer faces a familiar Brewers lineup that is a legit World Series odds contender. He has effectively carved through key Milwaukee bats historically, fanning Andrew Vaughn nine times in 35 at-bats and striking out Jackson Chourio eight times in just 14 at-bats. The betting data heavily supports this side of the line, as Singer has exceeded 4.5 strikeouts in 11 of his last 15 games for a strong 73% cover rate. Additionally, Milwaukee hitters like Jake Bauers (20 strikeouts) and Brice Turang (21) have struggled with whiffs over their recent splits.
While his strikeout stuff has been volatile—registering five, five, three, four, and three across his last five starts—his underlying metrics remain solid. He holds a 7.43 K/9 rate across 27 season starts, averaging 5.25 innings per appearance. I highly recommend grabbing the best odds at +117, so go ahead and claim your bet365 bonus code now. The strongest justification for this pick is Singer’s historical dominance against the top half of the order. The primary risk lies in his low ceiling, as he rarely extends deep into games.
Elly De La Cruz, Under 1.5 Total Bases (-150 at Kalshi)
Fading Elly De La Cruz offers massive hidden value despite his undeniable talent. His history against Brewers starter Kyle Harrison is limited to an eight at-bat sample, but he has managed just one hit for a .125 average while striking out twice. Home field has not been an advantage for this specific market, as De La Cruz has failed to exceed 1.5 total bases in nine of his last 12 games at Great American Ball Park, rendering a poor 25% cover rate for over bettors.
His season totals are spectacular, boasting 22 home runs and a .484 slugging percentage, but Harrison effectively suppresses extra-base hits. The left-hander has surrendered just one home run to left-handed hitters all year, holding them to a .331 slugging percentage. The strongest reason to target the under is this stylistic clash, as Harrison’s splits directly neutralize the switch-hitter’s power. The obvious risk is his blistering form; he is hitting an exceptional .410 over his last 15 games.
Claim the Kalshi promo code to get the market-best price of -150 (60 cents).
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
