Giants vs Rams Player Props & Anytime TD Picks – 4 Best Bets for MNF
By Blair Johnson in NFL News
Published:
Player-prop bettors have plenty to parse as the New York Giants visit the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium on Monday Night Football in Week 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on September 21 with the broadcast airing on ABC/ESPN.
With Rams receiver Puka Nacua missing practice time due to a hip injury, focus shifts to how Matthew Stafford navigates the pocket and connects with fellow wideout Davante Adams.
On the Giants’ side, signalcaller Jaxson Dart looks to build on a three-touchdown performance, fueling prop opportunities alongside top target Malik Nabers. Here are the top player prop picks for this Week 2 primetime clash.
Best Player-Prop & Touchdown Picks for Giants vs Rams
Bettors can uncover distinct value in this matchup by blending situational splits with the raw volume available in primetime. Targeting established individual baseline performances rather than chasing noise is the smartest way to build a prop betting card.
Pick #1: Malik Nabers 60+ Receiving Yards (-127 at Kalshi)
Nabers remains the undisputed focal point of New York’s aerial attack, commanding an elite 29.2% target share and an 86.5% route participation rate since entering the league. As a situational tendency, Nabers has cleared 60+ receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog (80.0% hit rate), averaging 69.7 receiving yards per game in those competitive spots.
Facing a Rams secondary that surrenders 6.8 yards per target to outside receivers dating back across last season, Nabers’ projected 8 to 10 targets provide a heavy-volume floor. At -127 juice (56% implied probability), backing an 80% historical hit rate offers substantial positive expected value (+EV).
Pick #2: Kyren Williams Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (+100 at Kalshi)
Sean McVay continues to lean on Williams as a dynamic three-down safety valve, especially in standalone broadcasts where Stafford faces pressure. Historically, Williams has eclipsed 14.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 primetime/standalone games (88.9% hit rate), posting a robust 25.4 receiving yards per game average over that span—giving bettors a generous +10.9-yard cushion over this total.
The matchup aligns perfectly against a New York defense that deploys heavy blitz packages (ranking top-8 in blitz frequency since 2025), which consistently forces Stafford into quick checkdowns to his running backs. Logging routes on over 62% of dropbacks, Williams needs just 2 to 3 catches to smash this modest number.
Pick #3: Jaxson Dart Over 31.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at bet365)
Dart’s dual-threat mobility serves as the engine of Brian Daboll’s offense in tight, physical matchups. As an individual trend, Dart has exceeded 31.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 6 games as an underdog by fewer than 7 points (83.3% hit rate), racking up 48.7 rushing yards per game in those contested game scripts—representing a massive +17.2-yard surplus over this line.
Facing a Rams defensive front that frequently loses edge discipline against designed zone-reads and allows over 4.6 yards per carry to opposing scrambles dating back to last year, Dart’s baseline of 6 to 8 designed rushing attempts creates an exceptionally safe floor. Claim your bet365 bonus now to get involved.
Pick #4: Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (61¢ at Kalshi)
Williams is the undisputed focal point of the Rams’ scoring attack, boasting one of the most bankable red-zone roles in football. At 61¢ on Kalshi (61.0% implied probability), bettors gain substantial value against traditional sportsbooks that juice Williams’ anytime touchdown prop as high as -185 to -200 (65.0%+ implied).
Dating back to the start of last season, Williams has commanded a staggering 84.6% of the Rams’ carries inside the opponent’s 5-yard line and scored at least one touchdown in 14 of his last 18 regular-season home games (77.8% hit rate). With his goal-line dominance complemented by red-zone pass involvement, Williams offers the safest touchdown floor on the board.
Sports Writer
Blair Johnson is a veteran journalist and seasoned sports content creator. He has been writing and producing content as long as he can remember, with such familiar names as CNN, NFL Media and Yahoo. Blair currently lives and works in the greater Los Angeles area.
