North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction, Props & Odds for Thursday Night CFB
By Chris Amberley in College Football
Published:
- North Texas clashes with Tulsa on Thursday Night CFB
- The Mean Green are averaging 39.5 points and 516 total yards per game
- See my North Texas vs Tulsa prediction, plus props and odds for Thursday Night CFB, below
North Texas visits Tulsa at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium on Thursday at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Mean Green enter after a win over FCS opponent Houston Christian, while Tulsa is coming off a loss at Arkansas.
North Texas has built one of the more productive offenses in the FBS, but Tulsa is at home and has enough rushing production to keep the game competitive. The college football odds reflects a narrow contest rather than a clear mismatch.
Below, I’ll break down this game from every angle. Keep reading for my North Texas vs Tulsa prediction, plus props and the latest odds for Thursday Night CFB.
North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction
- Pick: North Texas -1.5 (-105 at bet365)
I’m backing North Texas laying 1.5 points. The Mean Green are averaging 39.5 points and 516 total yards per game, with 1,368 passing yards and 696 rushing yards through four outings. Their 54.9% third-down conversion rate, 28-for-51, gives them a strong foundation for sustaining drives.
Tulsa has averaged 23.8 points and 354.8 total yards per game. The Golden Hurricane have 726 rushing yards and 693 passing yards, but their 27.3% third-down conversion rate, 15-for-55, is a meaningful concern when trying to keep pace with North Texas.
Tulsa has also scored on four of seven red-zone trips. North Texas has scored on 19 of 21 red-zone trips, a 90.5% scoring rate including field goals.
North Texas vs Tulsa Odds
Odds from bet365 as of September 30. New users can claim the bet365 bonus code to use on tonight’s game.
The betting market lists North Texas -1.5 at -105, with Tulsa +1.5 at -115. The moneyline is North Texas -115 and Tulsa -105, while the total is 57.5 with both sides at -110. North Texas’ offensive efficiency and superior third-down profile make the short road spread preferable, although Tulsa’s home-field advantage and balanced offense make this a modest, not an aggressive, position.
North Texas vs Tulsa Props
Tayven Jackson Passing Prop
- Pick: Tayven Jackson 300+ passing yards (+140 at bet365)
My favorite college football player props wagers is Tayven Jackson to rack up 300+ passing yards. Jackson’s recent passing-yard sequence is 192, 233, 492 and 270 yards. That range shows both the ceiling needed for this milestone and the volatility that comes with it.
He has a favorable team environment because North Texas is averaging 342 passing yards per game, and the offense converts more than half of its third downs. His 492-yard outburst supplies the upside case, while the three lower results explain why +140 is necessary compensation for the risk.
Justin Stevenson Receiving Prop
- Pick: Justin Stevenson 70+ receiving yards (-105 at bet365)
Justin Stevenson has posted 47, 43, 122 and 69 receiving yards in his last four games. He has reached the 70+ yard milestone once in that stretch and came within one yard in his most recent game.
North Texas’ passing volume supports another opportunity, particularly if Tulsa keeps the game close enough to force Jackson to continue throwing. This prop is correlated with the Jackson passing angle, so a slower North Texas game script would hurt both positions. Scan the best college football betting apps to lock in the best line for this wager.
Damari Alston Rushing Prop
- Pick: Damari Alston 70+ rushing yards (-115 at bet365)
Damari Alston’s last four rushing totals are 73, 45, 68 and 27 yards. He has cleared 70 once and narrowly missed at 68 in another game, making volume the central question.
Tulsa’s 726 rushing yards indicate a willingness to use the ground game, and a competitive home matchup would give Alston a path to enough carries. The risk is Tulsa’s weak third-down rate, which can produce short possessions and limit rushing opportunities. Still, 70+ at -115 is the most practical Tulsa player-yardage angle among the listed markets.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.