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Final Notre Dame vs BYU Prediction, Picks & Latest Betting Line

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Published:


BYU quarterback Bear Bachmeier throws against Iowa State at LaVell Edwards Stadium
Oct 9, 2026; Provo, Utah, USA; BYU Cougars quarterback Bear Bachmeier (47) throws the ball during the first half against the Iowa State Cyclones at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Baker-Imagn Images
  • Undefeated Notre Dame brings one of the nation’s top offenses into Provo.
  • Unbeaten BYU puts an elite defense and a strong run game on the line.
  • Read below for our Notre Dame vs BYU prediction, picks and latest betting line.

A top-10 showdown is on tap Saturday, October 17, as No. 8 BYU (5-0) hosts No. 2 Notre Dame (6-0). Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC from LaVell Edwards Stadium.

Both teams are rolling. Notre Dame crushed Stanford 58-7 last week, while BYU handled Iowa State 24-10. The winner takes a big step toward the College Football Playoff.

Notre Dame is a sizable road favorite, but a night game in Provo is never easy. Here’s my Notre Dame vs BYU prediction, my two picks and the latest betting line.

Notre Dame vs BYU Prediction

My Notre Dame vs BYU prediction starts with how differently these teams win. The Irish are outscoring opponents 44.0 to 11.0 per game, and quarterback CJ Carr has completed 70.8% of his passes for 1,378 yards and 16 touchdowns. His top target, Jordan Faison, already has 387 receiving yards.

Carr faces a real test, though. BYU allows just 13.4 points, 254.4 total yards and 174.0 passing yards per game.

The Cougars lean on the run. Running back LJ Martin has 344 rushing yards, and quarterback Bear Bachmeier adds 239 more with his legs. That attack runs into an Irish front allowing only 58.3 rushing yards per game, so this matchup in the trenches could decide the night.

Turnovers are the wild card. Notre Dame is +13 on the year, with 14 takeaways and just one giveaway. BYU has to avoid careless mistakes to keep drives alive.

Notre DameStatisticBYU
44.0Points Per Game34.6
11.0Points Allowed Per Game13.4
456.7Total Yards Per Game433.4
261.8Passing Yards Per Game209.6
194.8Rushing Yards Per Game223.8
44.6%Third-Down Conversion %54.4%
92.9%Red-Zone Scoring %82.6%
1Turnovers Committed3
14Takeaways Forced7
+13Turnover Differential+4

Notre Dame vs BYU Picks

1. BYU +10.5

Prediction Markets
ATS Prediction
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Kalshi
BYU +10.5
50%

My first Notre Dame vs BYU pick is the Cougars getting double digits at home. On Kalshi, that means taking NO on the Notre Dame -10.5 contract at 50¢.

Notre Dame’s scoring margin and +13 turnover differential make it dangerous for any underdog. Still, laying more than 10 points on the road against a top-10 defense is a lot to ask. BYU allows just 13.4 points per game and converts 54.4% of its third downs, which helps it control the clock and shorten the game.

At 50¢, I like BYU’s chances of keeping this one inside the number.

2. Over 47.5

My second Notre Dame vs BYU pick is the Over, priced at 50¢ for YES on Kalshi. Both defenses are stingy, but both offenses have been excellent at finishing drives.

Notre Dame has scored on 92.9% of its red-zone trips, and 20 of its 28 trips ended in touchdowns. BYU has an 82.6% red-zone scoring rate and has found the end zone on 17 of 23 visits, a 73.9% touchdown rate.

Teams that turn red-zone trips into touchdowns instead of field goals can push a total over in a hurry. If both offenses keep doing that, the Over has a strong path. New users can check our Kalshi promo code page before making either pick.

Prediction Markets
Notre Dame vs BYU Over 47.5
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Over 47.5 points
49%

Notre Dame vs BYU Latest Betting Line

Notre Dame / OverMarketBYU / UnderPlatform
Notre Dame 79¢MoneylineBYU 22¢Kalshi
Notre Dame -10.5: 51¢SpreadBYU +10.5: 50¢Kalshi
Over 47.5: 50¢TotalUnder 47.5: 51¢Kalshi

Odds from Kalshi as of October 17, 2026. Compare more apps like Kalshi before you lock in a price.

The Notre Dame vs BYU betting line has the Irish as clear favorites. At 79¢, a Notre Dame moneyline contract risks 79¢ to win 21¢ if the Irish win.

The spread is much tighter. Notre Dame -10.5 sits at 51¢ and the BYU side sits at 50¢, so the market sees this as close to a coin flip around 10.5 points. The total is just as balanced, with the Over at 50¢ and the Under at 51¢.

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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