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Wilder Listed as -125 Favorite vs Fury One Day Before Fury vs Wilder II

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated Apr 14, 2020 · 4:15 PM PDT

Wilder vs Fury
Deontay Wilder is a slight favorite over Tyson Fury on Saturday.
  • Fury vs Wilder II has created a wave of public interest ahead of their fight on Saturday, February 22, 2020
  • Who is the sharp money on? Who’s getting the bulk of the handle?
  • Check out the odds a day out from fight night by scrolling below

Fury vs Wilder II is a generation-defining boxing bout on Saturday. A prizefight that has truly captivated the public and their attention. With that comes a certain level of fascination on a betting level. Lines fluctuate, people’s opinions do the same, and things heat up especially in the 24 hours prior to the big day.

All but 16-percent of the money is being allocated towards Deontay Wilder. This is just one of the intriguing figures that I’ll be delving into with today’s article. Where the money and bets are is the name of the game for today’s proceedings.

Fury vs Wilder II Odds

Fighter Odds
Tyson Fury +105
Deontay Wilder -125

Odds taken Feb. 21.

If you want to immerse yourself in a technical breakdown/sweet science nerdfest, click the link provided. This piece is squarely focused on how oddsmakers’ perception has shifted the day prior to fight night. Things have shifted ever so slightly in the line with Wilder going from -120 to -125 and Fury going from +100 to +105. Some of the more specific facets of where the money is going is compelling though.

It seems like based on the percentile of who the smart money is on, which will be mentioned later, there’s a decent segment of respected boxing minds who are mitigating risk a bit. It underscores a level of pronounced respect for Deontay Wilder’s KO power in as far as most see Fury winning but the X-factor of Wilder’s power has a meaningful amount of experts being sheepish.

Seismic Sequel

One betting site reports that 69% of the sharp money is on Fury. I’ve detailed at length in my previous articles exactly why that is, while 84% of the handle is on Wilder. This makes a great deal of sense considering the nature of his highlight reel, his pro record, and the general public’s affinity for bombastic knockouts. This also informs why 87% of the handle is on Under 10.5 Rounds. A similar portion of the general public who believes Wilder gets the KO obviously would see it ending it before it gets into the championship rounds.


68% of the bet count is on the Under and 55% of the sharp money is also on the “Under” at the sportsbook as well. This reflects a clear divide in a lot of ways. The connoisseur of the sweet science who favors the more technically brilliant approach of Fury versus the general public’s proclivity to become enamored with a heavyweight KO artist. It’s a hardcore-vs-casuals kind of dynamic.

Despite some new information coming to light in regards to sharp money, the handle, etc, I still sit here favoring my initial pick. At the end of the day, I still see Tyson Fury getting it done. The Gypsy King will wrest the WBC gold from the clutches of The Bronze Bomber.

Pick: Tyson Fury (+105)

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