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Early College Football Player Props for Week 11: Best Bets to Target

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in College Football

Published:


Ashton Daniels scrambles in a game vs Miami.
Oct 17, 2026; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles quarterback Ashton Daniels (14) runs during the first quarter against the Miami Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
  • Week 11’s college football slate is loaded with player props value
  • I’m targeting the Florida State vs Pitt matchup for my two top wagers
  • Read below for my early college football player props for Week 11, including the best bets to target

Florida State quarterback Ashton Daniels ran for a touchdown last Saturday. Houston’s top receiver Amare Thomas scored twice. Both are back on the road Friday, and both make my early Week 11 touchdown watchlist.

I’m targeting offenses that extend drives and convert inside the 20, while weighing the defensive splits on the other side for my Week 11 early college football player props card. Keep reading for my favorite picks for Week 11 and the best bets to target, below.

Early College Football Player Props for Week 11

PlayerMatchupBest Bet
Ashton Daniels (FSU QB)Florida State at PittAnytime TD Scorer
Damon Ferguson (Pitt RB)Florida State at PittAnytime TD Scorer
Amare Thomas (Houston WR)Houston at ColoradoAnytime TD Scorer

All three best bets are anytime touchdown scorer props. These are early targets. Check the price once the market opens. Find player markets on your college football betting apps before betting, and compare the latest college football odds as kickoff approaches.

Best Week 11 College Football Player Prop Bets to Target

Early College Football Player Prop Best Bet #1: Ashton Daniels Anytime TD vs. Pitt

  • Best Bet: Ashton Daniels Anytime TD Scorer

This Florida State-Pitt ACC clash takes place outdoors at Acrisure Stadium, and it features two offenses that know how to execute when the field shrinks.

Ashton Daniels is Florida State’s quarterback, but this prop needs him to score himself. Passing touchdowns do not count toward an anytime touchdown bet, so his legs make the case. Last week at Boston College, Daniels went 15-for-26 for 178 passing yards and added 38 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown.

The Seminoles put up 30.2 points and 410.6 total yards per game, backed by an 88.9% red-zone conversion rate (32 of 36). That gives Daniels chances near the goal line.

Pittsburgh’s defense has generated 25 sacks, nine interceptions, four fumble recoveries and 29 third-down stops. A quarterback scoring prop depends on designed runs and scrambles, and pressure can end a drive before he gets that chance.

Early College Football Player Prop Best Bet #2: Damon Ferguson Anytime TD vs. Florida State

  • Best Bet: Damon Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer

On the other sideline, Damon Ferguson is Pitt’s clearest touchdown target. The running back has 123 carries for 662 yards and six touchdowns this season, roughly 5.4 yards per carry.

The Panthers average 31.2 points and 446.1 total yards per game. They convert 83.3% of their red-zone trips (30 scores on 36 attempts) and 40.8% of their third downs, which keeps drives alive long enough to reach scoring range.

Florida State’s defense counters with 24 sacks, six interceptions, one fumble recovery and 18 third-down stops. Six touchdowns on 123 carries is a steady rate rather than a weekly guarantee, and red-zone trips can end in passing scores or field goals. Treat this as a volume-based target.

Early College Football Player Prop Best Bet #3: Amare Thomas Anytime TD vs. Colorado

  • Best Bet: Amare Thomas Anytime TD Scorer

Hosted at Folsom Field in Boulder on Friday night, this Big 12 contest features a high-powered Houston offense taking on the home-standing Buffaloes.

Amare Thomas is coming off a two-touchdown game against Cincinnati, as Conner Weigman hit him for scores of 8 and 31 yards.

The Cougars average 35.4 points and 470.2 total yards per game, with a 59.3% third-down conversion rate (67 of 113) and an 84.4% red-zone conversion rate (38 of 45). Those splits point to an offense that sustains drives and reaches scoring range often.

Colorado’s defense has recorded 23 sacks, four interceptions, three fumble recoveries and 22 third-down stops. Receiver touchdowns are volatile, and one two-score game does not guarantee another, especially on the road, but this is a smash spot for Thomas.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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